CSNbbs

The one thread to rule them all and hopefully keep politics off the sports boards. Mods, feel free to update the results in this first post here as they come in:


PRESIDENT
Trump/Pence: 238 EV:
Biden/Harris: 213 EV:
Jorgensen/Cohen: ~1% PV


US SENATE BALANCE OF POWER
Democrats: 47
Republicans: 47
Independents: 0


US HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES BALANCE OF POWER
Democrats: 189 <-- PROJECTED MAJORITY
Republicans: 182
Independents: 0


BALLOT MEASURES:
AZ Prop 207: Recreational Cannabis -- PASS
CO Prop 114: Reintroduction of wolves on public lands -- Too close, leans yes.
CO Prop 113: Colorado joins interstate popular vote compact -- Too close, leans yes.
CO Prop 115: Prohibits abortion after 22 weeks -- FAILED
FL Amdt 3: Top-Two Primary System -- FAILED
IOWA CC: Iowa Constitutional Convention -- FAILED
MA Q2: Ranked Choice Voting -- FAILED
MT CI-190: Recreational Cannabis -- PASSED
NV Q6: 30% of all energy from renewables -- PASSED
NJ PQ1: Recreational Cannabis -- PASSED
OR 109: Legalized Psilocybin -- PASSED
SD Admt A: Recreational Cannabis -- PASSED

Sounds like Florida will be an early call for Trump.

Trump carries FL, OH, IA, and AZ.
Biden carries NC, PA, WI, and MI.

My predictions... hope POTUS gets PA and NC

(11-03-2020 06:08 PM)WalkThePlank Wrote: [ -> ]Trump carries FL, OH, IA, and AZ.
Biden carries NC, PA, WI, and MI.

My predictions... hope POTUS gets PA and NC

Trump in trouble if he doesn't get NC we should have a sense of NC winner by 9:00

(11-03-2020 06:11 PM)CardinalJim Wrote: [ -> ]A Democrat strategist just said Biden could win without Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio, or Texas. That’s why they sent Kamala to Michigan today. Democrats have to have Michigan. I just don’t see them getting Michigan.

I don't see how they can pull it off without PA and FL...

(11-03-2020 06:10 PM)THE NC Herd Fan Wrote: [ -> ]

(11-03-2020 06:08 PM)WalkThePlank Wrote: [ -> ]Trump carries FL, OH, IA, and AZ.
Biden carries NC, PA, WI, and MI.

My predictions... hope POTUS gets PA and NC

Trump in trouble if he doesn't get NC we should have a sense of NC winner by 9:00

Better hope the D crossover is big again.

MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN AGAIN

(11-03-2020 06:14 PM)UTSAMarineVet09 Wrote: [ -> ]

(11-03-2020 06:11 PM)CardinalJim Wrote: [ -> ]A Democrat strategist just said Biden could win without Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio, or Texas. That’s why they sent Kamala to Michigan today. Democrats have to have Michigan. I just don’t see them getting Michigan.

I don't see how they can pull it off without PA and FL...

Biden would need to hold onto MN, WI and MI and grab two of NC, AZ, GA, NV, and IA (but no NV+IA only). If it were AZ+NV or AZ+IA, he would also need the Omaha EV or rural Maine EV.

results are coming in from Indiana and Kentucky

(11-03-2020 06:25 PM)UTSAMarineVet09 Wrote: [ -> ]results are coming in from Indiana and Kentucky

both states will be red.
fir reading the tea leaves on other states the question is how red are they?
if they are pink it might indicate a move away from Trump by some Rs.

Just got home from voting. Lots of Trump backers at the polling site. I am ready for the red wave!!!

(11-03-2020 06:21 PM)CardinalJim Wrote: [ -> ]What I find interesting is Fox and TYT are both talking about Democrats having a huge advantage in mail in voting. That wasn’t the case in Florida, one of the few states that counts votes for 3 weeks before the election, and they were almost a wash. Biden had just over 100K lead when voting started this morning in Florida. I think more votes come in for Trump in mail in balloting then Democrats or the media are expecting.

I heard Biden out performed Hillary in early voting, based on democrat ballots, by less than 15k, strategists said he need to pickup 40k+.

(11-03-2020 06:21 PM)CardinalJim Wrote: [ -> ]What I find interesting is Fox and TYT are both talking about Democrats having a huge advantage in mail in voting. That wasn’t the case in Florida, one of the few states that counts votes for 3 weeks before the election, and they were almost a wash. Biden had just over 100K lead when voting started this morning in Florida. I think more votes come in for Trump in mail in balloting then Democrats or the media are expecting.

Trump is up 310,000 Election day voting in Florida.

DEPLORABLES FROM ALL OVER THE WORLD UNITE!!!!! 1!11!!!! !!!!!!!!



LOW ENERGY BUNCH GTHO OF THIS THREAD

Independent voting in Florida today so far

Split estimate
Estimated by proportional assignment of NPAs by county R/D share
Democrats: 131925 (36.44%)
Republicans: 230064 (63.56%)
Difference: (D-R) -98140 (-27.11%)
2016 overall split: 50.78%D - 49.22%R, gap 1.56%

Making my first BOLD projection Trump carries AL and Tuberville squeaks out win for US Senate.

Remember.

I don't feel to great about this election. Early reports are that NC and GA are in play.

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Correction: We've deleted an earlier tweet that referred imprecisely to the role of the news media in the U.S. presidential election. The news media projects winners and reports results; it does not declare the winner of the election