Brendan Keefe
@BrendanKeefe
Clayton County expected to upload a count of 4,200 votes by midnight Eastern Time. Biden currently leads Trump there by 85% to 14% right now. The math could swap the lead of the Georgia race...
lead will be gone...85% of 4200 = 3570
Trumps current lead is 1797
Biden will lead by 1773
The AJC says there are still 3,600 provisional ballots and an undetermined amount of military/overseas ballots left to be finalized. The deadline for those is 5 p.m. Friday
It’s been over in GA since they were at 98% of the count at 10 am today when they were supposed to be done by noon. They will keep producing em until they get the result needed.
(11-04-2020 09:44 PM)random asian guy Wrote: [ -> ]Did AZ give an updated numbers? Looks like the gap became slightly smaller from 93k to 79k. The gap is now less than 3 percent. Does anyone know?
The gap in Arizona was further reduced from 79k to 69k or from 2.9 percent to 2.4 percent. According to AP, 88 percent of votes were counted. Wapo thinks only 85 percent were counted. Will Trump catch up with Biden in AZ? Probably not but I am going to keep watching.
Again the gap in Arizona got narrower from 69k to 47k, or from 2.4 percent to 1.6 percent. By the way the gap in Michigan is 2.6 percent.
I have zero clue on whether this favorable trend will continue. But if it does, we will see a less than 1 percent gap by around this time tomorrow.
"According to Pew Research, “overwhelming shares of voters who are supporting Trump and Biden say they are also supporting the same-party candidate for Senate.” Typically, this means that that the number of votes for a presidential candidate and that party’s Senate candidates are relatively close.…
It's not noted in this article but the same phenomenon of 90K presidential votes for Biden with no down ballot votes happened in WI too. See the stats in the tweet below.
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wyatt
@wyattsheepie
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11h
Quick math here need to double check:
Wisconsin
GOP house candidate votes 1,620,435. Trump 1,610,001
Dem house candidate votes 1,525,836 Biden 1,630,535
The phenomenon of having 80-90K votes for Joe Biden with no down ballot votes shows up in MI, WI, GA.
Does this same trend show up in PA, NV, AZ?
(11-05-2020 10:54 PM)mptnstr@44 Wrote: [ -> ]Brendan Keefe
@BrendanKeefe
Clayton County expected to upload a count of 4,200 votes by midnight Eastern Time. Biden currently leads Trump there by 85% to 14% right now. The math could swap the lead of the Georgia race...
lead will be gone...85% of 4200 = 3570
Trumps current lead is 1797
Biden will lead by 1773
The AJC says there are still 3,600 provisional ballots and an undetermined amount of military/overseas ballots left to be finalized. The deadline for those is 5 p.m. Friday
Georgia is definitely a good candidate for a recount.
(11-04-2020 09:44 PM)random asian guy Wrote: [ -> ]Did AZ give an updated numbers? Looks like the gap became slightly smaller from 93k to 79k. The gap is now less than 3 percent. Does anyone know?
The gap in Arizona was further reduced from 79k to 69k or from 2.9 percent to 2.4 percent. According to AP, 88 percent of votes were counted. Wapo thinks only 85 percent were counted. Will Trump catch up with Biden in AZ? Probably not but I am going to keep watching.
Again the gap in Arizona got narrower from 69k to 47k, or from 2.4 percent to 1.6 percent. By the way the gap in Michigan is 2.6 percent.
I have zero clue on whether this favorable trend will continue. But if it does, we will see a less than 1 percent gap by around this time tomorrow.
From fivethirtyeight:
"The contest for Arizona just got closer, but Biden still leads there. That’s the takeaway from Maricopa County’s approximately 75,000-vote report a moment ago. Trump won 56 percent of that batch to Biden’s 42 percent, which cut Biden’s statewide lead to 1.6 points, or about 46,000 votes. With perhaps another 200,000 votes outstanding from Maricopa — and at least a few from other counties in Arizona — Trump is not out of the race for the state’s 11 electoral votes yet."
Trump would need over 60% of the 200k votes to make up 46000, but it doesn't sound like that would be a very surprising result. If the 200k had the same 56%, it would reduce Biden's lead by 28000 to around 18000, so well under a 1% difference.
Corrupt Dems tried this in Florida 2018 and he fought back and wouldn't let them
There is a reason Florida was silky smooth this year with a fair and honest count.
If he hadn't in 2018 do you think these shenanigans would have spread to Florida??
I genuinely don't remember that. What was the result of the investigation? Not being snarky, a quick google brought up the articles where Scott was asking for the investigation but not any articles with the results.
I have no clue. The first few pages of Google are all results MSM articles at the time just saying he was suing & it's dumb for him to. Thanks Google! Nothing on what ended up happening
(11-05-2020 11:40 PM)Bronco14 Wrote: [ -> ]I have no clue. The first few pages of Google are all results MSM articles at the time just saying he was suing & it's dumb for him to. Thanks Google! Nothing on what ended up happening
The only thing I found was a NYT article saying no fraud was found.
There was some interesting stuff about GA from the 2018 gubernatorial election, though. I would think that if anyone would know if something was going on with the counting there it would be Brian Kemp or his administration.
(11-04-2020 09:44 PM)random asian guy Wrote: [ -> ]Did AZ give an updated numbers? Looks like the gap became slightly smaller from 93k to 79k. The gap is now less than 3 percent. Does anyone know?
The gap in Arizona was further reduced from 79k to 69k or from 2.9 percent to 2.4 percent. According to AP, 88 percent of votes were counted. Wapo thinks only 85 percent were counted. Will Trump catch up with Biden in AZ? Probably not but I am going to keep watching.
Again the gap in Arizona got narrower from 69k to 47k, or from 2.4 percent to 1.6 percent. By the way the gap in Michigan is 2.6 percent.
I have zero clue on whether this favorable trend will continue. But if it does, we will see a less than 1 percent gap by around this time tomorrow.
From fivethirtyeight:
"The contest for Arizona just got closer, but Biden still leads there. That’s the takeaway from Maricopa County’s approximately 75,000-vote report a moment ago. Trump won 56 percent of that batch to Biden’s 42 percent, which cut Biden’s statewide lead to 1.6 points, or about 46,000 votes. With perhaps another 200,000 votes outstanding from Maricopa — and at least a few from other counties in Arizona — Trump is not out of the race for the state’s 11 electoral votes yet."
Trump would need over 60% of the 200k votes to make up 46000, but it doesn't sound like that would be a very surprising result. If the 200k had the same 56%, it would reduce Biden's lead by 28000 to around 18000, so well under a 1% difference.
There is also several Trump precints where the "black sharpies" were used, and those will have to be hand counted as many of those votes arent in the tally. Trump will pick up thousands of votes there to literally zero for Biden.
Also, 200K of the 260K are Maricopa, and those have been breaking for Trump by nearly 2 to 1.