(08-06-2009 08:52 AM)wvucrazed Wrote: As far as specific issues – keep in mind that there is a wide swath of people on the far left who believe he is not going far enough on these issues, and will respond they disapprove of his handling of those issues.
I think this gets to the crux of Obama's dilemma.
He got himself elected by putting together a coalition ranging from socialists/communists on the left edge of the political spectrum to centrists who hated Shrub, by promising each of them what they wanted to hear, never minding (and never being called to account by anyone because of the widespread disdain for Shrub) that most of those promises were mutually exclusive. Now he's in office and he's got to wend his way through the minefield he has created. Being president is sorta like being a community organizer, except there are consequences.
I would much prefer he move toward the center at the risk of losing the extreme fringe, just as Clinton did and just as I wish Shrub would have. Over and above my own preferences, I think this makes sense because:
1. A lot of the far left vote is black, and unless they change color or he does, they're in his pocket no matter what.
2. If he loses support in the center, they will go to a republican who can beat him in 2012; if he loses support on the left, they will go to Ralph Nader who can't.
3. The recent experiences of Clinton and Shrub should make it obvious which one works best.
I think he's going to have a hard time doing that. I think he is a socialist/communist/fascist at heart (I wouldn't have included fascist based on the campaign, but I've been surprised at how much fascism has crept in during the first 6 months of his term), and the center doesn't really fit his instincts. He will have to decide whether he cares enough about his legacy to move to the center and save it, and if he decides yes then he will have the potentially larger problem of figuring out how to bring Reid and Pelosi into that mindset. The Blue Dogs could loom huge before all is done, and I'm probably more comfortable with them holding the balance of power than anyone else.
I still see him as a Chicago street hustler, and this is his ultimate con. The problem with street hustlers is that things go great as long as nobody catches them in a lie, but once that happens things can fall apart in a hurry.