gulfcoastgal
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I Root For: Memphis Tigers
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RE: NY6 down to 3
(11-30-2019 01:54 PM)quo vadis Wrote: (11-30-2019 12:39 PM)slhNavy91 Wrote: (11-30-2019 10:51 AM)RUScarlets Wrote: Boise St probably has the brand recognition more so than UC. If UC wins and splits with Memphis in a tight match, I would go with BSU. Not much different resume than UC, whose 42-0 showing against OSU, albeit early in the year, is not indicative of a worthy two loss champ getting in. Plus, UC does not have wins over SMU and Navy this year.
You can take UGa or Fla at two losses, Utah two loss, or a third place B1G team vs Boise and get a nice turnout in Jerry World.
Resumes:
Rankings of opponent for each team's wins. (CFP where in, otherwise Massey Composite from last week's results, with 117 rankings compiled)
Team A: #30,56,67,79,95,96,100,110,117,124,FCS
Team B: #29,49,57,58,59,63,108,111,120,122,FCS
Team C: #18,26,48,63,69,72,83,86,91,112,125
I think Team C's wins are clearly better at the top. A wash or Team B slight advantage in the middle, but Team A and B bottom are putrid. I didn't double up #30 for Team A (App over Louisiana in CCG) or #57 for Team B (Boise over Hawaii in CCG).
Losses:
A to #75
B to #45
C to #1 and #18, with #18 being avenged in the CCG.
Team B and C have a common opponent.
B eked by Marshall on their blue home turf 14-7; C blew out Marshall in Huntington 52-14
I don't see how anyone can think Team B (Boise) has a similar resume, but okay.
Team A is App State. Distant third here.
I agree that looking at wins, team C beats team B.
But, we all know that the single most important factor in deciding who goes to playoffs and big bowls is losses. And to me, the win advantage of C over B isn't enough to overcome 2 losses to 1.
But the CFP coukd think differently. I agree there is a decent chance that if it boils down to C vs B, C could get it. Maybe 40%?
They just might. A while back, I posted a snippet from an interview with the Ark St AD (now on the selection committee) where he said a team is not penalized for a loss to a top CFP team. Now, this also fits his scheduling philosophy so I don’t think he was trying to divulge info...more justifying payday games. Who knows for sure, but since he mentioned the particular situation now in play, it’ll be interesting to see how it plays out.
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