(05-23-2023 04:53 PM)quo vadis Wrote: (05-23-2023 04:20 PM)Attackcoog Wrote: Yup---pretty clear the Pac12 presidents see the writing on the wall and are not confident they will even be able to match current revenue levels---much less match the most recent Big12 deal.
The big advantage the nB12 has over the nPAC is that it has actual football fans. For example, for this past season, even with TX and OU averages subtracted out, the nB12 football average attendance for the leftover eight was about 51,000 per game. Now yes, that is likely somewhat still inflated, because games vs TX and OU are included in that and surely inflate it a bit, but still. In contrast, the PAC average attendance was 44,000 - with USC and UCLA fully included. So I suspect the nB12 will probably draw close to 10k fans more per game in 2024 than the nPAC, if it survives.
The nPAC just doesn't care much about football. Their conference average is around UCF-level, and with the advantage over UCF of playing much bigger brand-name schools and with far deeper-rooted rivalries.
They just don't care much, and yet want to be paid like they do.
They're not that far apart. somebody put a clickbait-y list of FBS Attendance 2013-18 out a few years ago, and I cut-and-pasted it into my own google doc and played spreadsheet games. For the 10 continuing PAC members and the 12 new Big 12 members:
Conf ----Mean ------Max ------3rd Q -----Median ----1Q ----Minimum
big 12 --45,638 ----56,925 ---55,579 ----48,301 ---34,294 ----26,650
Pac 10 --46,882 ----65,781 ---50,551 ----45,888 ---43,623 ----30,790
Pac 12 --43,654 ----65,781 ----45,261 ----44,969 ---36,353 ---21,122
Pac 12 includes SDSU and SMU.
In a vacuum, the Big 12 isn't much more valuable than the PAC. But the Big 12 and Yormark caught the last train out of the station, filled ESPN and Fox' need for Saturday inventory. The Big 12 is a Kenmore refrigerator you just bought and are having installed and hooked up. The Pac-10 or 12 is a Maytag refrigerator in the store. It's pretty much just as good as the Kenmore you just bought, but you just don't need a second fridge.