(04-25-2018 07:24 AM)BadgerMJ Wrote: (04-25-2018 04:45 AM)XLance Wrote: (04-24-2018 11:54 PM)JRsec Wrote: (04-16-2018 06:40 PM)Kaplony Wrote: (04-16-2018 06:28 PM)Nerdlinger Wrote: You mean the Big 12? Not much of a lifeline if the Pac-16 had also happened. And I doubt the SEC would have taken Clemson in when the "marketz" mindset was in vogue.
The Pac16 was never going to happen. There's a reason why the Texas & Oklahoma schools all bailed from the WAC and MWC...because the needed eyeballs are in the east. Western based conferences are at a disadvantage because of the time zone differences and they always will be.
With a solidified eastern flank the Big XII schools wouldn't have wanderings eyes.
There was a time when the lead schools in the Big 12 wanted to merge their whole conference with the SEC. We weren't interested.
Then they were interested in merging with the PAC but I believe realized the limitations they would face with regard to financial growth. And I don't think the PAC was interested either.
Then Deloss Dodds wanted to look east again. Only this time the key components would be divided between the SEC and ACC and that fell through in 2010.
I'd say that some version of that might still be viable if ESPN/FOX wanted to pursue it. But if they do we won't be hearing about it ahead of time. There's too much at stake.
The reality of realignment is that it is complex for a school or a University President. When Boren's demands weren't met he was ready to march Oklahoma out of the Big 12 hand in hand with Kansas. Then reality started to sink in. Even if he could secure an invitation to the B1G and be reunited in a conference with Nebraska it wouldn't be long before the fans would have him hanging from a tree when they realized that the Sooners conference division would consist of Kansas, Iowa, Nebraska, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Northwestern and Illinois. Plus the likelihood that Texas would give them the A&M treatment and cancel the RRS. The thought of that happening even hurts me, and I don't care anything about Oklahoma.
You're probably right, it wouldn't be the ideal set-up for OU and I'm sure some fans will gripe........
Until that B1G money starts coming in. Money has a way of making the sting from perceived wounds hurt less.....
Let's look at that money. 51.1 million distributed by the Big 10 to each member school consists of the media rights money, the BTN share, bowl money, tourney credits, and any other money which might be earned by Women's hoops, hockey, or any other sport that can generate TV revenue.
Where Oklahoma is concerned they made about 34.7 million last year on their T1 and T2 rights. But in the Big 12 where there is no conference network they, independent of the Conference payout, pocket their own T3 revenue. So Oklahoma last year made 41.7 million or roughly the same as the SEC. So assuming that even for 1 year their deficit as compared to the new Big 10 payout is 9.4 million out of the 150 million plus earned by the OU athletic department, where the bulk of their revenue comes from ticket sales and donations, do you really think that is enough to compel them to move?
Do you risk your donations and ticket revenue to get 9.4 million more when you have roughly 100 million in revenue that might be affected by the move should your fan base not buy in? A move bringing about a substantially different annual schedule is a huge unknown which if not liked could result in the loss of 3 times as much or more if it proves to be wrong?
I'm not so sure that the Maryland and Missouri moves are going to pan out to be beneficial for the schools involved and they are hardly iconic brands that were built with decades of nationally recognized rivalries.
If you put Alabama in the Big 10 or Ohio State in the SEC the end result could be devastating to each. Their conference affiliation is at the heart of their iconic brands.
If the Big 12 ever implodes Oklahoma, like Nebraska, could lose its national cache in a move. Now does that mean they have no value to the new conference? No. But the bang that the Big 10 was looking for from Nebraska simply hasn't been there and the reasons are many, but chiefly it might be said that the loss of the Oklahoma game, which made Nebraska's iconic image that much more memorable, was lost. Pulling Oklahoma away from Texas might reunite them with Nebraska, but it probably would reunite them with Nebraska in a diminished way.
You'll note that I'm not talking about Kansas. The Big 10 move would be a home run for the Jayhawks because the basketball profile in the Big 10 would build their historic brand even more. Kansas has not achieved its pinnacle in hoops because of the Big 8 schedule. They have achieved it in the NCAA tourney against other brand schools.
Whoever it is that gains Texas and Oklahoma will also have to make sure that rivals key to those brands are taken as well. Those are the games their fans donate to see. The Big 10 money would represent a 6.3% raise for the Sooners. Do you risk your brand power for 6.3%? Probably not. And that is simply on core identity issues meaning familiarity and desire for the same core schedule. And for the Sooners that means Texas and Oklahoma State which trump Kansas and Nebraska. Furthermore it doesn't take a genius to see that OU's recruiting base is in Texas. Any move that cuts them off from games in Texas (and right now in the Big 12 they are guaranteed 2 games a year in Texas and sometimes 3) is probably a non starter.
TV revenue alone, even for 9.4 million more, is not the panacea that message boards believe it to be. If it was that important then North Carolina, Duke, Southern Cal, Stanford, Virginia, and Florida State would never have signed a GOR, and neither would have Texas or Oklahoma. But, they all did sign. Why? Their brands are inextricably tied to their conference identity, maybe less so with F.S.U., but you get my point.
If Birmingham was found to have a major gold deposit underneath the SEC headquarters and the dividend for being an SEC member suddenly saw a 20 million dollar a year boost do you really think money would solve all problems for Michigan and Ohio State to join the SEC? I don't, not ever.