slhNavy91
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RE: Conference perception
(07-13-2022 07:27 AM)ballantyneapp Wrote: (07-12-2022 09:38 PM)Side.Show.Joe Wrote: (07-12-2022 07:28 PM)slhNavy91 Wrote: (07-10-2022 02:28 PM)owlumni Wrote: (07-10-2022 02:02 PM)CardinalBlackTrojan Wrote: LOL. Tulane had 1/3 of their games on ESPN+ last season, and Troy averages about 7,000 more per game than Tulane.
So would you like to try that again?
You try to talk big for a fan of a school that, again, has absolutely nothing to show for.
Tulane wasn't elite in CUSA. They aren't elite in the AAC. They're fodder that has reached its pinnacle.
CBT: Tulane only had 8 nationally televised games last season!
*checks notes* Troy only had 2.
What a weird flex.
This is worth drilling down a little more.
In 2021, Tulane had eight nationally televised games.
Seven of those eight were on the AAC media deal.
Of those seven, three on ESPNU don't have reported viewers.
In four AAC games with reported viewers, Tulane had 3,962,000 viewers. That's 15% of the AAC's conference controlled inventory viewers, so Tulane is pulling their weight.
Also -- that's about 67.9% of the entire Sun Belt conference controlled inventory viewership. No Sun Belt school had as many conference-controlled-inventory viewers as Tulane did in 2021. None.
Louisiana does edge ahead of Tulane when viewers are added for other conference's inventory -- Louisiana's body bag / paycheck game at Texas was a big number. The difference is that Tulane has the juice to get a home and home with Oklahoma, so the AAC gets money for selling that to Disney. (Some Sun Belt fans will come on here and saying those home ooc games don't matter, so I'll get ahead of that by saying those Sun Belt fans - or others saying that - are ignorant. In addition to the AAC vs AAC inventory we're selling Notre Dame at Navy every other year, and that Oklahoma game, and Florida at USF, and, and, and)
Troy? One Nielsen rated game - at Coastal got 290,000 viewers.
In 2020, I have Tulane with seven Nielsen rated games.
Six of the seven were in the AAC deal, involving 3,646,000 viewers. 17% of the AAC's conference controlled inventory viewers, so pulling their weight.
The seventh? Tulane at South Alabama on ESPN2 got 516,000 viewers. Tulane was the seventh best of nineteen Sun Belt Nielsen rated games. Eleven Sun Belt vs Sun Belt games have viewer numbers, and only four of eleven Sun Belt vs Sun Belt were better than Sun Belt vs Tulane. Tulane had three times as many Sun Belt conference controlled inventory viewers as Troy did.
Thank you. Points for you.
For years I have tried to explain the importance of signing home and home OOC games with quality P5 programs, because the rights to those home games fall into conference media packages. I tried to explain to posters on the C-USA board how signing on for body-bag games at P5 programs is a terrible path, but most either didn't want to hear it or just ignored the subject. Not surprisingly, those programs that are continuing to whore out their programs in P5 money games are the same programs that got left in C-USA or moved to the Sun Belt.
There are some Sun Belt trolls around this board that fail to understand how their body-bag scheduling philosophy will continue to hurt the the Sun Belt and keep them behind the AAC. Of course there are other factors that will also keep the Sun Belt behind the AAC.
its much harder to schedule H/H or even buy games with P5s when you have a competitive program and don't offer a marquee place to showcase for recruits. Our AD has spoken on this many times. Any mid level and lower P5 school that isn't located within the Carolinas has straight up declined to play us. The only ones we can get to play us are local (which is great) or the upper echelon SEC/B1G teams who are the least likely to agree to a home and home.
The trials of success.
ballantyneapp does have a decent point here: for scheduling it takes two to tango. "Schedule some home games with big names" is about as useful as "if you don't like how the committee treats the AAC champ, you should just join a 'P5' conference."
And yes, success does negatively influence bigger names' willingness to schedule. An increasing difficulty in scheduling was among the reasons Navy pulled the trigger on joining the Big East in 2011-12.
But sounds like the App AD also highlighted that it isn't solely the W-L aspect...that "marquee place to showcase for recruits" is a factor of the much-maligned-by-Sun-Belt-fans markets. Playing in an NFL stadium benefits USF and Temple just like it does UNLV (check out UNLV's home and homes). Playing in Tampa benefits USF and playing in Houston benefits Rice and playing in the Metroplex benefits UNT/SMU because the opposing coaches want to sit in the living room and tell Momma she can come see sonny-boy play right down the road.
Quote:
But having 70% of their viewership from one once in a lifetime game against a blue blood isn't sustainable.
We'll see how their 2022 #s add up with a very pedestrian OOC schedule, although i think the USM-TUL matchup could create a fair amount of regional interest.
Okay, you want to boresight in on Tulane, no I don't see Oklahoma on their schedule again. But the next media deal won't be about a single school. The point is, when you look at the conference as a whole -- at least the legacy eight -- is it ISN'T "once in a lifetime."
Copied over from me posting in a SunBelt board thread:
Quote:Here's some of what we're giving Disney in the AAC media deal in the next handful of years:
Notre Dame at Navy every other year
NC State, West Virginia, Wake, BYU at ECU
TCU, Vanderbilt, Colorado at SMU
Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Arkansas at Tulsa
Alabama, Louisville, NC State, Miami and Notre Dame at USF
Mississippi, Kansas State, Northwestern, Duke, Iowa State at Tulane
Rutgers, Miami, Oklahoma, Penn State, Duke at Temple
Missouri, Arkansas, Mississippi State at Memphis
Even if Disney starts to dislike our conference matchups, these games against contract-bowl-conference teams will take those better slots and deliver viewers. Some don't believe that matters, but there is a reason that the ND at Navy game every other year and one conference game at NMCMS were held out of the "Navy tier" the AAC sold to CBSSN - ABC/ESPN doesn't care that most of the 2 million watching ND-Navy are Irish fans...the check goes to the AAC.
I see four to five blueblood schools playing at four different AAC programs on that list . Two of those bluebloods at more than one AAC program.
Not as good an outlook for the incoming teams. No true powerhouses, but home games against contract-bowl-conference teams:
UNC and Mississippi at Charlotte
Missouri at FAU (looks like a 2 for 1)
Cal, TxTech, Baylor at UNT
Houston, Northwestern at Rice
none at UAB with schedule filled through 2025, room from 2026 on
none at UTSA with schedule filled through 2024, room from 2025 on
There are also occasional Boise, Army, Air Force and the like for the newbies - those will get you ESPN2/ESPNU rather than the Plus. But those aren't really a differentiator between AAC and the other four non-contract-bowl conferences.
If I remember correctly App had a home-and-home with Miami, but COVID / ACC cost App their end? Great job getting that, bummer if it doesn't get rescheduled. Looking at fbschedules-dot-com for all fourteen Sun Belt schools, I see a dozen or so home games against contract-bowl-conferences all told? Virginia, Virginia Tech, Mississippi, Mississippi State, South Carolina, NC State, Arizona State, UNC & Iowa State added in edit. The mwc gets some home-and-homes against PAC12, but I'd still say the AAC has a big advantage over them as well.
(This post was last modified: 07-13-2022 01:02 PM by slhNavy91.)
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