(11-15-2018 03:32 PM)georgia_tech_swagger Wrote: (11-15-2018 03:27 PM)Tom in Lazybrook Wrote: I'm fine with him doing it. Farange just got absolutely punked by Merkel, the EU, Macron, and even the Tories. And many of the people voting for Brexit did so with the understanding that this would be orderly and that the UK would be able to keep much of its trade links with the EU in the process. The DUP did so thinking that they'd be able to prevent a border between the 6 counties and Great Britian and institute one between NI and the Republic of Ireland. Many voted for it because they though they'd get more money for the National Health Service. None of that is happening. I don't think that Hard Brexit is nearly as possible as the Brexit attempted to be sold to the UK. Hard Core Brexiteers, are probably around 20-25 of the electorate. Soft Core Brexiteers are 10-15 percent. And everyone else, just wants to undo it.
Basically, the EU has told the Brexiteers....Go for it...do whatever you think you can do. We're going to play hardball.
I suspect that Farange might be able to find some constituency that might put him into parliament (Boston, perhaps?) but, no, UKIP isn't going to have any more control than they do now. Because there isn't a party in the UK that will have anything to do with them.
The person "punked" here was Theresa May. Who is done as PM. And keep in mind the head of opposition -- Corbyn -- is just as much a Euroskeptic as Farage is. The UK in the EU is done one way or another. The Tories went in half hearted and refusing to demonstrate leverage. As a result they'll start being consumed by UKIP domestically now too.
Jeremy Corbyn is thought to be an Euroskeptic. However, he knows that he'll never get into power if he acts on it, and will never keep it if he does so once in power.
Labour rank and file is much more of a 'remain' camp.
Either way, Corbyn might do a "Brexit" that really means the UK leaves in nothing but name.
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You might be correct that the Tories might get consumed with them splitting into the
Economic Conservative/Globalist wing
UKIP/non-PC/nativist/Brexit at all cost wing
My guess is that the UKIP wing would take around 30 percent of the Tory vote. The UKIP also has major problems with people who are repelled by their nativism and what some call bigotry.
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I think that the only way UKIP actually gets anywhere is if there's a five way split in the constituencies that allows them to take a majority. That's unlikely.
May and Corbyn would work together to stop anything with Farange. As would the SNP and the Lib Dems.
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Sure, there will be an ugly election in the UK coming up, but unless the Big 4 parties (Tories, SNP, LibDems, and Labour) shoot themselves in the foot...Farange has little chance.