beefcake0520
Special Teams
Posts: 656
Joined: May 2013
Reputation: 50
I Root For: marshall
Location:
|
RE: The next 5 years of ECU, Memphis, Navy, SMU, Temple, Tulane, Tulsa, & USF foot...
(05-11-2022 01:45 PM)Cubanbull1 Wrote: (05-11-2022 12:03 PM)Attackcoog Wrote: (05-10-2022 06:29 PM)SMUstang Wrote: (05-10-2022 05:47 PM)Milwaukee Wrote: .
With the AAC slated to add 6 CUSA FB programs in 2023, what are you as an ECU, Memphis, Navy, SMU, Temple, Tulane, Tulsa, and/or USF football fan expecting over the next 5 seasons?
Trends (#wins/season) over the past 4 seasons:
.................2017......2018......2019......2020......2021....recent trend:
ECU..............3............3............4..........3...........7............up
Memphis......10............8..........12..........8...........6............flat
Navy.............7............3...........11.........3...........4............down
SMU..............7............5..........10..........7...........8............flat
Temple..........7............8............8..........1...........3............down
Tulane...........5............7............7..........6...........2............down
Tulsa.............2............3............4..........6...........7............up
USF..............10...........7............4..........1...........2............down
Q: What would you predict for the team(s) you're rooting for, and why?
What general trend would you predict for each team in the conference over the next five years?
ECU............up, down, or flat, or "unclear"?
Memphis.....up, down, or flat, or "unclear"?
Navy...........up, down, or flat, or "unclear"?
SMU............up, down, or flat, or "unclear"?
Temple........up, down, or flat, or "unclear"?
Tulane..........up, down, or flat, or "unclear"?
Tulsa............up, down, or flat, or "unclear"?
USF..............up, down, or flat, or "unclear"?
.
Here are my predictions:
ECU: Up - will average ~5-7 wins/year (multiple bowl games)
Memphis: Up - will become an elite FB program & will join Big 12.
Navy: Unclear, but would expect some improvement.
SMU: Up - will be one of the AAC's top 2-3 programs; may join Big 12.
Tulane: Unclear, but would expect some improvement.
Temple: Steady improvement - will play in 2-3 bowl games in next 5 years.
Tulsa: Continued improvement - will play in multiple bowl games.
USF: Unclear, but would expect some improvement.
Explanation:
* Most, if not all should win 1 or 2 more games per year as of 2023, since they will be playing CUSA6 teams rather than UC, UCF, or UH.
* Memphis & SMU have the Big 12 in their sights and will make a big push for that.
* ECU and Tulsa seem to have gotten their football programs back on track.
* Temple has rebooted with a promising new coaching staff with P5 experience.
* Need to learn more about developments at Navy & USF.
.
I agree, but some of those CUSA6 teams will not be pushovers. We just barely got by La Tech last year. And UTSA beat Memphis.
We didnt add LaTech. Other than UAB, the AAC really didnt add anyone that should really give the legacy AAC teams much to immediately worry about. For the additions---its all about potential and what they do with this opportunity. When CUSA expanded after the Big East/AAC raids----the legacy left behind teams flourished---Marshall, UAB---heck---even Rice won a championship. S Miss fell off and then rebounded. The only legacy team that failed to have any success within the first 4 or 5 years was UTEP. And, now nearly a decade after the 2011 realignment even UTEP the last legacy team to enjoy post-realignment success is finally trending upward. The new line up should be a positive for the legacy team records overall---especially for those that have had reasonably consistent success in the original AAC and 2011 version of CUSA. So, Id expect Memphis, SMU, Temple, and ECU to all do fairly well. USF should at least do better than they have in the previous version of the AAC.
I disagree. I think UAB and UTSA will compete right away. North Texas and FAU have the recruiting areas and have had success in the past to ramp up quickly. Charlotte and Rice are the two that I see struggling the most from the get go.
From the remainders, I think all 8 have proven at some time or another the ability to compete for the top and I don’t see that changing. That’s what has made the AAC successful in past that it’s not just a one trick pony.
We will get a better idea who will compete for title in 2023, after we see what happens in 2022.
Not that my opinion matters, but the AAC took schools that mostly lacks fans with a couple of exceptions. UAB, as long as they maintain their level; UTSA, same thing. UAB prior to winning drew flies, when UTSA went through a down swing, drew flies. FAU even with Kiffin and winning games, still didn't draw anything. UNT, pretty much the same as UAB UTSA but didn't draw as well when winning. UNCC, well stadium only holds 15K lol Rice, didn't matter if they won or not, no one cares. If the AAC wanted good programs that were supported, they made 3 or 4 bad choices. None of these schools minus UAB and maybe UTSA will come in ready to take on most of the schools in the AAC on a weekly basis.
One other aspect to look at, CUSA added most of these schools when the AAC took ECU, UCF, Tulane, Tulsa etc. What happened to the TV contract once the one in place expired? Yes CUSA added UNCC, UNT, UTSA, FAU, the very same ones that the AAC thinks is good because of the metro/potential viewers strategy that failed soo miserably for CUSA and was actually part of the reason why 9 teams are leaving it.
There are going to be growing pains if they grow at all, for most of the schools you all went after. Especially in basketball.
Just my opinion of the experience from a long time Marshall fan, wish the AAC and the new incoming teams noting but the best. As a G5, we have to fight back hard against the P5.
|
|