(08-21-2024 11:43 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:25 AM)TripleA Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:12 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:08 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:06 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  Then why post it?

Because it shows that people who put their money where their mouth is watched 2 days of the DNC and started betting on Trump heavily.

Sure...using crypto.

You don't think crypto spends? Yeah, it's volatile, but it's still an exchange media.

Just like shooting the messenger when you don't like the message.

I couldn't care less where people waste their money betting. The thread is/was about polling. Just pointing out that this is not a poll.

Really? Then why did you mention crypto?

You should have been a speaker at the DNC this week. You would fit right in.

(08-21-2024 11:49 AM)TripleA Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:43 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:25 AM)TripleA Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:12 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:08 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  Because it shows that people who put their money where their mouth is watched 2 days of the DNC and started betting on Trump heavily.

Sure...using crypto.

You don't think crypto spends? Yeah, it's volatile, but it's still an exchange media.

Just like shooting the messenger when you don't like the message.

I couldn't care less where people waste their money betting. The thread is/was about polling. Just pointing out that this is not a poll.

Really? Then why did you mention crypto?

Because that's what Polymarket is, a crypto betting site and not a polling site...and that's the figures UMabla posted.

(08-21-2024 11:55 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:49 AM)TripleA Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:43 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:25 AM)TripleA Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:12 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  Sure...using crypto.

You don't think crypto spends? Yeah, it's volatile, but it's still an exchange media.

Just like shooting the messenger when you don't like the message.

I couldn't care less where people waste their money betting. The thread is/was about polling. Just pointing out that this is not a poll.

Really? Then why did you mention crypto?

Because that's what Polymarket is, a crypto betting site and not a polling site...and that's the figures UMabla posted.

I'd call it a voter sentiment site.

(08-21-2024 11:55 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:49 AM)TripleA Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:43 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:25 AM)TripleA Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:12 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  Sure...using crypto.

You don't think crypto spends? Yeah, it's volatile, but it's still an exchange media.

Just like shooting the messenger when you don't like the message.

I couldn't care less where people waste their money betting. The thread is/was about polling. Just pointing out that this is not a poll.

Really? Then why did you mention crypto?

Because that's what Polymarket is, a crypto betting site and not a polling site...and that's the figures UMabla posted.

You suck at dodging your untruths.

(08-21-2024 12:16 PM)TripleA Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:55 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:49 AM)TripleA Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:43 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:25 AM)TripleA Wrote:  You don't think crypto spends? Yeah, it's volatile, but it's still an exchange media.

Just like shooting the messenger when you don't like the message.

I couldn't care less where people waste their money betting. The thread is/was about polling. Just pointing out that this is not a poll.

Really? Then why did you mention crypto?

Because that's what Polymarket is, a crypto betting site and not a polling site...and that's the figures UMabla posted.

You suck at dodging your untruths.

fyp

(08-21-2024 09:43 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

maybe ... and it's just a maybe ... maybe, folks are realizing commies suck the turd nuggets off the sidewalks and floss with pubes...

@justMuhMuhMuh2pence

(08-21-2024 11:25 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:12 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:08 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:06 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:03 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  we know

Then why post it?

Because it shows that people who put their money where their mouth is watched 2 days of the DNC and started betting on Trump heavily.

Sure...using crypto.

Here you go Tom, just to take the sting out of your morning butthurt. YouGov shows Harris up 3 nationally.

Of course, all it took is for them to sample the following way to get that number:


Dems: 531 (39%)
Indi: 450 (33%)
Gop: 387 (28%)

So Tom, I have good news and bad news. The good news is that if the gop turnout is only 28% of the total, and dems make up 39% of the total, Harris could win by 3 points nationally.

The bad news is that a 3 point national lead is still an electoral loss for Harris.

Maybe crank the GOP turnout down to 25% and you can get there.

bwahahahahahahhahahahahahahaha

ps: you should be nervous

Not only do I care nothing about polls, I care about them even less...if that's even possible...in August.

But keep on projecting, UMabla.

(08-21-2024 11:49 AM)TripleA Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:43 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:25 AM)TripleA Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:12 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:08 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  Because it shows that people who put their money where their mouth is watched 2 days of the DNC and started betting on Trump heavily.

Sure...using crypto.

You don't think crypto spends? Yeah, it's volatile, but it's still an exchange media.

Just like shooting the messenger when you don't like the message.

I couldn't care less where people waste their money betting. The thread is/was about polling. Just pointing out that this is not a poll.

Really? Then why did you mention crypto?

You should have been a speaker at the DNC this week. You would fit right in.

(08-21-2024 01:11 PM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:25 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:12 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:08 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:06 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  Then why post it?

Because it shows that people who put their money where their mouth is watched 2 days of the DNC and started betting on Trump heavily.

Sure...using crypto.

Here you go Tom, just to take the sting out of your morning butthurt. YouGov shows Harris up 3 nationally.

Of course, all it took is for them to sample the following way to get that number:


Dems: 531 (39%)
Indi: 450 (33%)
Gop: 387 (28%)

So Tom, I have good news and bad news. The good news is that if the gop turnout is only 28% of the total, and dems make up 39% of the total, Harris could win by 3 points nationally.

The bad news is that a 3 point national lead is still an electoral loss for Harris.

Maybe crank the GOP turnout down to 25% and you can get there.

bwahahahahahahhahahahahahahaha

ps: you should be nervous

Not only do I care nothing about polls, I care about them even less...if that's even possible...in August.

But keep on projecting, UMabla.

oh, we know, mr/ms independent voter.

even though your frantic butthurt on this topic says otherwise....

(08-21-2024 12:05 PM)The Sicatoka Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:55 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:49 AM)TripleA Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:43 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:25 AM)TripleA Wrote:  You don't think crypto spends? Yeah, it's volatile, but it's still an exchange media.

Just like shooting the messenger when you don't like the message.

I couldn't care less where people waste their money betting. The thread is/was about polling. Just pointing out that this is not a poll.

Really? Then why did you mention crypto?

Because that's what Polymarket is, a crypto betting site and not a polling site...and that's the figures UMabla posted.

I'd call it a voter sentiment site.

Good for you. But when you have no idea of the demographics of who participates in it, it's worthless as far as a polling or probability of winning metric.

(08-21-2024 01:14 PM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:49 AM)TripleA Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:43 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:25 AM)TripleA Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:12 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  Sure...using crypto.

You don't think crypto spends? Yeah, it's volatile, but it's still an exchange media.

Just like shooting the messenger when you don't like the message.

I couldn't care less where people waste their money betting. The thread is/was about polling. Just pointing out that this is not a poll.

Really? Then why did you mention crypto?

You should have been a speaker at the DNC this week. You would fit right in.

(08-21-2024 01:11 PM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:25 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:12 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:08 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  Because it shows that people who put their money where their mouth is watched 2 days of the DNC and started betting on Trump heavily.

Sure...using crypto.

Here you go Tom, just to take the sting out of your morning butthurt. YouGov shows Harris up 3 nationally.

Of course, all it took is for them to sample the following way to get that number:


Dems: 531 (39%)
Indi: 450 (33%)
Gop: 387 (28%)

So Tom, I have good news and bad news. The good news is that if the gop turnout is only 28% of the total, and dems make up 39% of the total, Harris could win by 3 points nationally.

The bad news is that a 3 point national lead is still an electoral loss for Harris.

Maybe crank the GOP turnout down to 25% and you can get there.

bwahahahahahahhahahahahahahaha

ps: you should be nervous

Not only do I care nothing about polls, I care about them even less...if that's even possible...in August.

But keep on projecting, UMabla.

oh, we know, mr/ms independent voter.

even though your frantic butthurt on this topic says otherwise....

Nothing frantic whatsoever about my responses. Your continued objection only bolsters your projection.

(08-21-2024 01:11 PM)Redwingtom Wrote:  Not only do I care nothing about polls, I care about them even less...if that's even possible...in August.

But keep on projecting, UMabla.

I think your inability to avoid posting in Poll Threads might suggest otherwise there tubby.

(08-21-2024 01:20 PM)Eldonabe Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 01:11 PM)Redwingtom Wrote:  Not only do I care nothing about polls, I care about them even less...if that's even possible...in August.

But keep on projecting, UMabla.

I think your inability to avoid posting in Poll Threads might suggest otherwise there tubby.

Way to hit your moronic point home with an ignorant fat retort. What's your 5k time hovering at these days, micropenis?

Polls actually do matter, but not because they are predictive of anything, few if any are even worth wiping your arse with after trip to Taco Bell.

What matters about polls is the perceptions that they are used to influence other with. Tom you are a perfect case in point. And I am not even taking a shot at you [this time].

I actually believe you don't care about the results of these polls, but the media (and the pollsters) are constantly, daily, pushing polling results because people are sheep and want to follow the herd. If they think "the polls" are leaning to one or the other, it is instinctual for too many people that they want to be on the right side. They slant their perceptions in that way. IMO the media does have bias and they push the poll results that sway people in the direction they want them to go.

To my original point tom, you are the perfect case in point because you are frustrated by how serious too many take these things and treat them as fact, and you do speak to that.

There are roughly 210,000,000 eligible voters in our country....

A poll of 1,000 people represents 0.00047% of those voters, but the headline will read that "Harris has a 7-point lead in national polling".


It is deceitful, it is misguided, and it is one c-hair short of an outright lie.

(08-21-2024 01:37 PM)Eldonabe Wrote:  Polls actually do matter, but not because they are predictive of anything, few if any are even worth wiping your arse with after trip to Taco Bell.

What matters about polls is the perceptions that they are used to influence other with. Tom you are a perfect case in point. And I am not even taking a shot at you [this time].

I actually believe you don't care about the results of these polls, but the media (and the pollsters) are constantly, daily, pushing polling results because people are sheep and want to follow the herd. If the think "the polls" are leaning to one or the other, it is instinctual for too many people that they want to be on the right side. They slant their perceptions in that way. IMO the media does have bias and they push the poll results that sway people in the direction they want them to go.

To my original point tom, you are the perfect case in point because you are frustrated by how serious too many take these things and treat them as fact, and you do speak to that.

There are roughly 210MM eligible voters in our country....

A poll of 1,000 people represents 0.00047% of those voters, but the headline will read that "Harris has a 7-point lead in national polling".


It is deceitful, it is misguided, and it is one c-hair short of an outright lie.

XACLY!

the fkbags understand their electorate ... we've discussed all this to ad nauseam at this point ... it's no longer worth muh time unless /sarc or sig line 4s ... for myself, it's nothing but the tally at this point...

@>270EVsBlueBakedInn(653) or moo-moo-chelle (aka big mike) if all else fails by Aug. 22, 2024 ... (AM) … #7*states30counties

(08-21-2024 01:37 PM)Eldonabe Wrote:  There are roughly 210,000,000 eligible voters in our country....

A poll of 1,000 people represents 0.00047% of those voters, but the headline will read that "Harris has a 7-point lead in national polling".

It is deceitful, it is misguided, and it is one c-hair short of an outright lie.

You clearly don't understand polling. Polls of around 1k people are just as accurate as ones with scores more sampled. Oops.

Polling soup for your soul...
https://www.markpack.org.uk/168548/why-i...nion-poll/

(08-21-2024 01:11 PM)Redwingtom Wrote:  Not only do I care nothing about polls, I care about them even less...if that's even possible...in August.

But keep on projecting, UMabla.

No one likes that communist bytch even in her own party.

She is going lose, and you know it as well as we do.

(08-21-2024 02:39 PM)ericsrevenge76 Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 01:11 PM)Redwingtom Wrote:  Not only do I care nothing about polls, I care about them even less...if that's even possible...in August.

But keep on projecting, UMabla.

No one likes that communist bytch even in her own party.

She is going lose, and you know it as well as we do.

I notice that Christ mention by your name. Way to glorify him with more false witness bearing!

Don't care about polls but made 19 of the 78 posts in a thread about polls.

(08-21-2024 02:31 PM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 01:37 PM)Eldonabe Wrote:  There are roughly 210,000,000 eligible voters in our country....

A poll of 1,000 people represents 0.00047% of those voters, but the headline will read that "Harris has a 7-point lead in national polling".

It is deceitful, it is misguided, and it is one c-hair short of an outright lie.

You clearly don't understand polling. Polls of around 1k people are just as accurate as ones with scores more sampled. Oops.

Polling soup for your soul...
https://www.markpack.org.uk/168548/why-i...nion-poll/

You clearly missed the point you f-ing toolbox.... ooops

(08-21-2024 02:48 PM)Eagleaidaholic Wrote:  Don't care about polls but made 19 of the 78 posts in a thread about polls.

Yep