Polymarket is a swingin'.....

If it keeps up like this they might as well cancel the last two days of the DNC.

YouGov poll just came out that has Harris up 3pts Nationwide. Didn't take long to see the breakdown of who was polled. Harris up only 3 points in this poll has got to be scaring the Hell out of the DNC.
Breakdown of those polled.
1565 "Adult Citizens"
734 Lean Dem 47%
572 Lean Rep 36.5%
RealClearPolitics YouGov

(08-21-2024 09:55 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 09:50 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 09:48 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 09:43 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

Maybe it has something to do with the impending resignation of Blinken?

If Biden* fired him like he said he was going to, then you wouldnt have the additional failures in the middle east which may have prevented Biden* from being removed by a coup.

Ah yes, still sticking with that lie. Dude, even your demoted piss tester deleted his tweet with the made up "firing" that was going to occur.

So pathetic.

But I do find it amusing to see you polish the Biden voluntary drop out as a coup while simultaneously glorifying J6 as a tourist visit encouraged by the Capitol Police.

You are right CommieTom. Biden never fires anyone know matter how badly things go.

They sure as Hell fired his Ass though, didn't they?

Holy crap. Missed this

Rasmussen's 8/19 Country Right Direction Wrong Direction poll is +25 wrong direction.

35% to 60%. That is brutal.

(08-21-2024 10:31 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  Polymarket is a swingin'.....

If it keeps up like this they might as well cancel the last two days of the DNC.

Quote:Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform where users can bet on real-world event outcomes using cryptocurrencies. Learn about its features, functionality, benefits, risks, and how it compares to other platforms like PredictIt

(08-21-2024 10:47 AM)rath v2.0 Wrote:  Holy crap. Missed this

Rasmussen's 8/19 Country Right Direction Wrong Direction poll is +25 wrong direction.

35% to 60%. That is brutal.

Honestly---Im wondering how delusional and out of touch anyone in the real world would have to be in order to think we are on the "right" track.

(08-21-2024 10:52 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 10:31 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  Polymarket is a swingin'.....

If it keeps up like this they might as well cancel the last two days of the DNC.

Quote:Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform where users can bet on real-world event outcomes using cryptocurrencies. Learn about its features, functionality, benefits, risks, and how it compares to other platforms like PredictIt

we know, numbnuts.

(08-21-2024 11:03 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 10:52 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 10:31 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  Polymarket is a swingin'.....

If it keeps up like this they might as well cancel the last two days of the DNC.

Quote:Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform where users can bet on real-world event outcomes using cryptocurrencies. Learn about its features, functionality, benefits, risks, and how it compares to other platforms like PredictIt

we know

Then why post it?

(08-21-2024 11:06 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:03 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 10:52 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 10:31 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  Polymarket is a swingin'.....

If it keeps up like this they might as well cancel the last two days of the DNC.

Quote:Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform where users can bet on real-world event outcomes using cryptocurrencies. Learn about its features, functionality, benefits, risks, and how it compares to other platforms like PredictIt

we know

Then why post it?

Because it shows that people who put their money where their mouth is watched 2 days of the DNC and started betting on Trump heavily.

(08-21-2024 11:08 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:06 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:03 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 10:52 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 10:31 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  Polymarket is a swingin'.....

If it keeps up like this they might as well cancel the last two days of the DNC.

Quote:Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform where users can bet on real-world event outcomes using cryptocurrencies. Learn about its features, functionality, benefits, risks, and how it compares to other platforms like PredictIt

we know

Then why post it?

Because it shows that people who put their money where their mouth is watched 2 days of the DNC and started betting on Trump heavily.

Sure...using crypto.

(08-21-2024 10:47 AM)rath v2.0 Wrote:  Holy crap. Missed this

Rasmussen's 8/19 Country Right Direction Wrong Direction poll is +25 wrong direction.

35% to 60%. That is brutal.

It has been like that for months in every poll I've seen. In fact, it was up in the 70s with Biden.

(08-21-2024 11:12 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:08 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:06 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:03 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 10:52 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

we know

Then why post it?

Because it shows that people who put their money where their mouth is watched 2 days of the DNC and started betting on Trump heavily.

Sure...using crypto.

You don't think crypto spends? Yeah, it's volatile, but it's still an exchange media.

Just like shooting the messenger when you don't like the message.

Quote:In other words, Rassmussen has morphed from a quantifier of public opinion into a participant in the spread of noxious propaganda. It still tries to validate its results by claiming that they’re “relevant, timely and accurate,” citing its “track record.”

But that track record has been sprouting gray hairs. The most recent election polling cited by the web page documenting its track record is from 2010.

More recently, 538, now owned by ABC News, dropped Rasmussen from its polling averages in March. ABC took that step after Rasmussen failed to respond suitably to a questionnaire 538 submitted asking Rasmussen to explicate its polling methodology. Rasmussen published ABC’s query on its website under the headline, “ABC News: ‘Answer Our Questions — Or Else!’”

I love how this is an important part of the story, but it almost is written as a footnote to the overall story: ABC wanted to know "what are you asking, and how are you asking it".

(This was rumoured to be a threat by ABC demanding to know why they weren't getting in line with some of their other polling systems, aka asking the exact same questions ABC was asking).

Rasmussen told ABC to take a hike, that was NONE of their business, other than Rasmussen ONLY polls "likely voters"

(08-21-2024 11:12 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:08 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:06 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:03 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 10:52 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

we know

Then why post it?

Because it shows that people who put their money where their mouth is watched 2 days of the DNC and started betting on Trump heavily.

Sure...using crypto.

Here you go Tom, just to take the sting out of your morning butthurt. YouGov shows Harris up 3 nationally.

Of course, all it took is for them to sample the following way to get that number:


Dems: 531 (39%)
Indi: 450 (33%)
Gop: 387 (28%)

So Tom, I have good news and bad news. The good news is that if the gop turnout is only 28% of the total, and dems make up 39% of the total, Harris could win by 3 points nationally.

The bad news is that a 3 point national lead is still an electoral loss for Harris.

Maybe crank the GOP turnout down to 25% and you can get there.

bwahahahahahahhahahahahahahaha

ps: you should be nervous

(08-21-2024 11:21 AM)TripleA Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 10:47 AM)rath v2.0 Wrote:  Holy crap. Missed this

Rasmussen's 8/19 Country Right Direction Wrong Direction poll is +25 wrong direction.

35% to 60%. That is brutal.

It has been like that for months in every poll I've seen. In fact, it was up in the 70s with Biden.

If those numbers hold there is no earthly way the sunshine and unicorns polls for the current sitting VP hold any water.

+25 Wrong Direction is peasants with pitchforks storming the castle area.

lol!

(08-21-2024 11:35 AM)rath v2.0 Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:21 AM)TripleA Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 10:47 AM)rath v2.0 Wrote:  Holy crap. Missed this

Rasmussen's 8/19 Country Right Direction Wrong Direction poll is +25 wrong direction.

35% to 60%. That is brutal.

It has been like that for months in every poll I've seen. In fact, it was up in the 70s with Biden.

If those numbers hold there is no earthly way the sunshine and unicorns polls for the current sitting VP hold any water.

+25 Wrong Direction is peasants with pitchforks storming the castle area.

Don Lemon just discovered that in Atlantic City, lol.

(08-21-2024 11:25 AM)TripleA Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:12 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:08 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:06 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 11:03 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  we know

Then why post it?

Because it shows that people who put their money where their mouth is watched 2 days of the DNC and started betting on Trump heavily.

Sure...using crypto.

You don't think crypto spends? Yeah, it's volatile, but it's still an exchange media.

Just like shooting the messenger when you don't like the message.

I couldn't care less where people waste their money betting. The thread is/was about polling. Just pointing out that this is not a poll.

(08-21-2024 11:02 AM)Attackcoog Wrote:  

(08-21-2024 10:47 AM)rath v2.0 Wrote:  Holy crap. Missed this

Rasmussen's 8/19 Country Right Direction Wrong Direction poll is +25 wrong direction.

35% to 60%. That is brutal.

Honestly---Im wondering how delusional and out of touch anyone in the real world would have to be in order to think we are on the "right" track.

Communists.