(10-30-2022 06:20 PM)SouthernConfBoy Wrote: (10-30-2022 12:40 PM)random asian guy Wrote: Let's compare it with the ACC money.
The ACC television revenue was $397.4 M for 2020-2021 including ND
Without ND, it would have been $370.91M. The ACC TV money increases at 4.1 percent per year (the ACCN revenue increases faster but let's try to be conservative).
2020-2021 $370.91
2021-2022 $386.23
2022-2023 $402.19
2023-2024 $418.81
2024-2025 $436.12
2025-2026 $454.14
2026-2027 $472.91
2027-2028 $492.45
2028-2029 $512.80
2029-2030 $533.99
2030-2031 $556.05
Six Year Average 2526-30/31 $503.72
Average Payout per team $35.98
The B12 money doesn't include Tier 3 but the ACCN payout was not fully developed in 2020-2021. The inflation does help the B12 but the ACC team will get at least $5 million more than the B12 team.
My math is a little different.
One thing that I notice is that a lot of folks like to present numbers "on the come" meaning they present fiscal 2020 as if it were the calendar year 2020.
ACC numbers always have the football season at the start of a fiscal year s fiscal year 2020 is actually football season 2019.
I have FY 19,20, and 21 tv at $288 M, $322 M, and $373 M for the 14 ACC members while that last year number in total was $413 M (this includes the full ND share).
Going foward I get the following:
FY Total Per School Slightly Rounded
22 393 28M
23 411 29M
24 430 31M
25 449 32 M
26 470 33.5 M
27 490 35 M
28 513 36.6 M
29 536 38.2 M
30 560 40 M
31 585 41.8 M
So for the 2030 football season that's $ 585 shown at June 30, 2031.
All the other distributions run about $12 million a year so add that to the TV total so that's $40 M (this year) to $54 M by 2030. No increase in football playoff or recapture of NCAA basketball tourney shown. No added schools. No big negotiated ratchet.
I am going to take a different approach to this.
The overall deal is for 2.28B over six years beginning in 2025-26.
So, 2.28B divided by 6 years is an average of 380M per year.
Assuming there is no further expansion that pot of money is divided 13 ways - 12 institutions and the Conference Office which is an average of $29.23M over 6 years. Subtract out the $29.23M annual conference share that leaves a total 350M per year for the 12 teams in the B12 or basically $2.1B total for all 12 schools over 6 years.
Since we are dealing with an even number of years instead of an odd number of years, I will assume the average is reached in both years 3 and 4 though we all know it won't be that exactly - but for simplicity's sake that is how I will put it down.
Year 1 - 2025-26 - $26.23M per school average
Year 2 - 2026-27 - $27.23M per school average
Year 3 - 2027-28 - $29.23M per school average
Year 4 - 2028-29 - $29.23M per school average
Year 5 - 2029-30 - $30.73M per school average
Year 6 - 2030-31 - $32.23M per school average
Again, the above is ONLY media $$$ numbers. It doesn't include $$$ via football bowl games, CFP, or NCAA tourney monies.
We have Pete Thamel saying Tier 3 rights were included per ESPN but so far I believe he is the only one I have seen reporting this. FOX isn't involved in Big12NOW since it's on ESPN+ owned by Disney I suppose it is possible that separate agreement was done at the same time. Whether or not the $2.28B included this or not is still not known.
So random asian guy and/or SouthernConfBoy if either of you have the data (or projected data) for what the 14 full-time football schools received from media money and ACCN dollars so we might have a credible way to project the 14 football schools media monies for that same 6 year period we might be able to compare apples to apples.
Understand if a "best guess" is required.
Just a thought.
Cheers,
Neil