RE: AAC Expansion Candidates
I would definitely try to go west first. If you can convince Boise State to come, the AAC would arguably have the 3 best "G5" football programs in Boise, Memphis, and SMU if Houston, UC, and UCF leave. Would need to have a west division to make it work, so the schools over there in order of desirability IMO:
1. Boise State
2. San Diego State
3. Colorado State
4. Air Force
5. Fresno State
Honorable mention: UNLV (lots of potential, but football has been awful)
In the east, Army seems like the clear favorite to me. UAB would probably be 2nd due to location, new stadium, and history with current conference members. After that, everyone in the east seems to have at least one fatal flaw; either a small market (Marshall, App State, Louisiana, Troy), sub-20k attendance (Old Dominion, Georgia State, Coastal Carolina, Buffalo), overlap with existing markets/footprints (North Texas, Arkansas State), bad football/lack of commitment to competing (Rice, Charlotte, UMass), or a critically low athletic budget (Southern Miss). Some of the schools have multiple issues. So I think the AAC has to go west.
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