Getting back to the statistics; here is what we know to be factual (notwithstanding the scam diagnoses), about covid in the US among those aged 15-24.
COVID
- 6% of deaths attributed to covid only
- 94% had at least one other underlying comorbidity
PLAYER AGE GROUP SPECIFIC
- 315 Deaths among those aged 15-24
- Assume 10% have no other serious underlying medical conditions, no other comorbidities (give the benefit of the doubt).
- Give the benefit of the doubt, all deaths among those 18-24
CDC Covid Deaths 15-24
- 21,630 million Americans between the ages of 15-24
US Population By Age
So if we assume that 10% of deaths involve no other comorbidities and we assume that no NCAA D1 players have any, here is what we can say about the chances of dying from covid as a D1 NCAA player.
COVID AGE 19-24
- Assume that NCAA players with any comorbidity is being held out
- 32 deaths
- 21,630 population
- A mortality rate of roughly 1.5 per million
Now to the fear mongering, from the CDC itself.
Quote:Dr. Sheldon Jacobson told CBS Sports he expects a 30%-50% infection rate of the approximately 13,000 players competing in FBS this season. Based on his research, he also projects 3-7 deaths among those players due to COVID-19. Taking into account that range and medical care provided for football players, the death rate would be lower than the general population, Jacobson said.
The CDC projects 3-7 deaths from a pool of 13,000 NCAA players. So far, out of a pool of 21,630,000 in the US between the ages of 15-24, there have been 315 covid deaths in this age group. This projects to .19 total deaths and that doesn't even take into account that none of the NCAA players will have a comorbidity, which is responsible for 94% of all covid deaths.
USA CAUSE OF DEATH 15-24 (per million)
SOURCE: CDC NATIONAL VITAL STATISTICS REPORT
CDC NVSR
1,480 Overall
226 Homicide
311 Accidents
177 Firearm
145 Suicide
130 Accidental Overdose
30 Involuntary Alcohol Poisoning
21 Heart disease
14.5 Covid
1.5 Covid (no comorbidities)
So, we all understand that every life is precious, every death is tragic. We all understand that personal tragedy isn't bound by statistics or percentages. When people want everything to open up, they aren't saying that they want everyone to die. When people say to keep everything shut down, they don't want everyone to enter into poverty or commit suicide.
The trick is to find a balance between the two. Based on the data and the science, it seems that playing football is the obvious choice for four reasons. One, the players are tested at an exponentially higher rate than the general public. Two, almost nobody in their age group dies even if they become infected. Three, they have access to very high quality medical care. Four, there is a much better chance that the virus can be detected which will prevent the players from unknowingly spreading it to others.
Feel free to try and dispute any of this.