(01-20-2020 09:18 PM)JRsec Wrote: (01-20-2020 09:13 PM)Transic_nyc Wrote: (01-15-2020 08:33 PM)Fighting Muskie Wrote: JR is one of the most knowledgeable posters on here and he is absolutely right that the SEC and Big Ten will continue to add high value inventory at the expense of the other 3.
Having more of the big value programs consolidated in a smaller number of conferences absolutely increases their leveraging power against the networks. If you want college football content that is actually going to draw viewers you are going to have to go through one of them.
Phase one will occur in 2024, when the assets off the Big 12 are divided. I surmise that it will be Texas and TTU to the SEC and Kansas and Oklahoma to the Big Ten.
In 2037 phase two will occur. Florida St and Clemson join the SEC and ND and a tbd school join the Big Ten. The move to 18 apiece will lead to both the SEC and Big Ten to go for a 3 divisions of 6 alignment and the 3 division winners and a wildcard will compete in a conference playoff.
From a Big Ten perspective it's an open question whether they'd be willing to wait an extra thirteen years for a program that has rejected their overtures in the past and, due to the way they recruit, may potentially suffer a Nebraska-like decline, when they might have a chance to win over two brands, a basketball brand and a +1 in a growing area of the country.
I wouldn't be surprised if there's a full-court press behind the scenes to win over all of UT, TT, OU and KU. While getting to 18 in one shot would be awkward, the risk of waiting additional years for something that may not pan out might be even greater.
Just my humble opinion.
And that's where it gets interesting. That's where an OU/OSU, UT/TTU offer comes into play for the SEC. ESPN if they want those brands to complete their hold on Texas will commit the resources.
I would think if ESPN placed TT/UT/OU/OSU into the SEC and went to 18 that they would place TCU, Kansas and one other in the ACC for two conferences with three divisions of six.
SEC West - TT, Texas, OU, OSU, Arkansas, Mizzou
SEC Gulf TAMU, LSU, Ole Miss, MSU, TN Bama
SEC East Florida, UGA, Auburn, SC, Vandy, Kentucky
Two rivals, and they can come from the ACC.
Bama - Vandy, Auburn
UGa -
GT, LSU
Florida -
FSU, Mizzou
Texas - TAMU, LSU (Texas gets TAMU, LSU, OU, TT, OSU, Arkansas, and Mizzou and two rotations)
Kentucky -
Lousivlle, TN
TN - Vandy, Kentucky
LSU - Texas, Arkansas
Oklahoma - Ole Miss,
Nebraska OU gets Nebraska, Ole Miss, Texas, TT, OSU, Arkansas, and Mizzou and two rotations)
Vandy - Bama, TN
Ole Miss - OU, Mizzou
MSU - , Auburn, TT
TT - Ole Miss, MSU
Auburn - Alabama, MSU
Mizzou - FLorida, Ole Miss
TAMU - Texas, SC
SC -
Clemson, TAMU
OSU - Arkansas
Arkansas - LSU, OSU
What you are doing is giving reciprocity for up to one game from an equal league based on past history. Each division gets a champ, there is one wild card and they make for a 4 school playoff.
ACC North - ND, Pitt, BC, Syracuse, Miami, Navy
ACC West - Kansas, TCU, GT, FSU, Louisville, Clemson
ACC Atlantic - VT, UVa, UNC, NCSU, Duke, WF
Like the SEC, the ACC gets two rival:
GT - Duke and
Georgia
Miami - FSU and Syracuse
FSU -
Florida and VT (FSU gets Florida, VT, Clemson, TCU, GT, Lousville, and Kansas, plus two rotations)
ND -
USC and UVa (Regular schedule of USC, Navy, UVa, Pitt, BC, Syracuse, and Miami and 2 rotations)
UNC - Kansas and Navy
Navy - UVa and UNC
Pitt - VT and NCSU
NCSU - Pitt and Clemson
Clemson - NCSU and
South Carolina (Clemson gets South Carolina, NC State, FSU, GT, TCU, Kansas, and Lousville, plus 3 rotations)
VT - Pitt and FSU
WF - BC and TCU
TCU - WF and BC
Syracuse - Miami and Duke
Duke - GT and Syracuse
Louisville -
KY and Kansas
Kansas - Louisville and UNC
BC - WF and TCU
UVa - Navy and ND
All 36 schools have 9 conference games but their former out of conference rivals are allowed into the standings in the case of ND/USC, Clemson/SC, FSU/UF, Louisville/UK, GT/UGa, Texas/TAMU, ND/Navy,
Ideally you agree to schedule another P-5, then you can have two chumps but if your other P-5 is one of the 36, that game gets to count.
Using last years results in the SEC LSU would host wild card Bama and Georgia would host OU. In the ACC Clemson would host Navy, and ND would host UVa.
LSU/Georgia and Clemson/ND
Our 36 could break away and make an offer to the P12, Big East, and AAC to join a basktball agreement with out. That makes about 70 for basketball