(05-14-2018 03:34 PM)Hambone10 Wrote: (05-09-2018 10:53 AM)RiceLad15 Wrote: That is the difference, as I basically spelled it out, and I think it's a worse situation for the incoming person to be working behind that scenes.
That's because the person who is incoming can more actively undermine the current admin, because those they are negotiating with know that the incoming person will have power and the ability to affect change.
The person who is no longer in power doesn't really have any sway - the person they're negotiating with knows that and understands that the person won't be able to affect change. So at that point, it's less negotiating and more lobbying.
Neither are really good, though.
Wow.. I don't think I could possibly disagree more, especially in a situation like this where (like Iraq or Scalia's replacement) if Iran or Republicans didn't like the deal they were given, they could merely hold their breath and see what the next option was.
It's funny though..., Your claim seems dependent upon Trump seeking to void the deal with Iran day one, which obviously didn't happen... otherwise he's not working to undermine the existing deal in November 2016 any more than he was in January 2017. Why do you presume that he was working to undermine it as opposed to merely gathering pertinent, previously classified information and introducing himself as the incoming SOS to key players?
I'd also note that a former SOS has zero power, while a SOS in transition HAS some power. So why you see the latter as being worse is odd. If CANDIDATE Trump's SOS selection had done it, I'd see them as essentially the same. This was President Elect Trump's selection. Not at all the same
I'm trying to keep on hiatus, but Ham, we haven't really interacted much recently, so I figured I'd clarify my comments.
One - I wasn't specifically talking about the Iran deal, but I think some of your comments are still pertinent regardless.
Two - I think we're on the same page here, but to flesh it out more, since there are no incoming SOS's based on the way we handle our Cabinet, it would be a bit careless to have someone acting as a incoming SOS when their nomination could be voted down by Congress and they never actually hold that position.
Three - I'm not advocating that the incoming administration is not privy to classified information or the current intelligence/foreign service structure that is already in place. Someone in an incoming administration can be preparing themselves to begin meeting and negotiating with foreign leaders during the transition, using information that they should be allowed to review.
Four - I would advocate that, should the incoming admin want to hit the ground running on reaching goals on day 1 and do introductions during the transition, it should be done in conjunction with the outgoing admin. The outgoing admin should facilitate meetings of all three parties to assure a smooth transition and make it clear what current policies are, and that their time in office hasn't quite ended yet.
Five - I've said that I'm opposed to both situations, when you have people who are not representatives of the current executive branch trying to insert themselves into international diplomacy before their administration has started. Perhaps I muddied the waters by stating that I find one more problematic than the other, but the more important aspect is that I think they're both behaviors that should be discouraged and avoided.
This is one of the issues with a lame duck period, as a sort of gray area is created. But it's my thought that we should assume the acting POTUS is the acting POTUS, regardless of whether there is an incoming administration. And if the incoming administration wants to have a head start in their relations with foreign countries, that they go through the established channels of the incoming administration, and therefore, the incoming administration should be willing to facilitate those meetings.
If anything, that stance helps make it clear who is in charge, should an international crisis break out during the transition period.
Back to the break - but I hope that clarifies things a bit.