Yeah, right, a Republican named "RebelKev" is going to be an objective source on race relations in American politics... :rolleyes:
Quote:IF Mr. Keyes runs, he will get most of the Republican vote = 40%
He will do better than the national average (for Republican candidates) with minorities 5%
Keyes 45%
Obama 55%
If he had more time Keyes may have beaten Obama. But I do not understand Illinois politics and the margin of victory for Obama will largely depend on the number of dead people in the Chicago Metro area who cast votes in the election.
Now I know you are truly delusional. Keyes never got more than 29 percent of the vote in the Senate races *in his home state*. You think he's going to get 45 percent here? You're high.
And Keyes will not get most of the Republican vote. Not even close. The Tribune, the solidly Republican paper that has never endorsed a Democrat for governor, senator or President, bashed Keyes as a "rent-a-candidate" in their editorial this morning. There were letters from angry Republicans from around the state, who are upset that the State Central Committee bypassed Jim Oberweis, who finished a respectable second in a seven-way primary race to Jack Ryan before Ryan was forced out of the race over a sex scandal. Oberweis is well-liked by Republicans in the state, and owns a popular chain of ice cream restaurants here that bear his family name. These folks will either vote for Obama or will stay home on election day.
Oh, yeah, and two former Repubican governors, Jim Edgar and Jim Thompson, arguably two of the most popular politicians in the history of the state of Illinois, are refusing to endorse Keyes, too.
Not to mention that Keyes' is about the Republicans' 14th choice for the slot, after Jack Ryan, Steve Rauschenberger, Edgar, Thompson, Judy Baar Topinka, Corinne Wood, Al Salvi, Mark Kirk, Jerry Weller, Tom Cross, Kirk Dillard, Elizabeth Gorman, Mike Ditka and Ted Nugent all said "no," because they knew they would lose to Obama.
How funny that all of you that were screaming about Hillary being a "carpet bagger" suddenly have no objections now that it's a guy on your side doing the same thing (actually, what Keyes is doing is far worse.... Hillary bought a house in New York a year before the election, and had to win a primary by the voters of New York state, and then had to win in a general election. Keyes was selected in a smoke-filled room of 19 people and is being placed straight into the general election less than 90 days ahead... Moderates in Illinois, of which there are many, are furious that their votes are being cast aside...)
For a little perspective, Dick Durbin, who is popular here but nowhere near as popular as Obama, won his last Senate race in 2002 with 67 percent of the vote. Look for Obama to get at least that much and perhaps more...
Something else to chew on.... Obama got more votes in the *primary*, where he won a six-way race in commanding fashion, than the entire *field* of Republican candidates did (a field that represented just about every wing of the party). Meaning, that if Obama didn't get a single vote in the general that went to any of his Democratic opponents (which won't happen, the party is united behind him) and even if Keyes got every single vote that went to the entire field of Republican candidates (he won't, for reasons I mentioned above), then Obama would still win, by nearly half a million votes.
Face it, you're out of your depth on this topic and have no frigging clue what you're talking about.