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'This time I'm scared': experts fear too late for China virus lockdown
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JRsec Offline
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RE: 'This time I'm scared': experts fear too late for China virus lockdown
(03-08-2020 01:04 AM)TripleA Wrote:  
(03-08-2020 12:59 AM)JRsec Wrote:  
(03-08-2020 12:35 AM)Attackcoog Wrote:  
(03-07-2020 11:29 PM)TripleA Wrote:  
(03-07-2020 11:25 PM)Attackcoog Wrote:  What your pointing to is the real objective. The goal is for Covid-19 NOT to spread to the point that it infects hundreds of millions like the flu.

I certainly agree with that. 04-cheers

I'm just not convinced yet that it's any more dangerous than H1N1.

I think it probably is worse---but even if you're right---the vast majority of our "at risk" population gets a flu shot each year and is largely immunized against H1N1. Nobody in our "at risk" community is immunized against this---thus the mortality rate would probably be higher simply because the number of unprotected "at risk" infections will be higher. The Washington St elderly care facility is your case and point on that one. Either way---I think we are taking the correct path thus far. We have done what we can to minimize spread without having the government resort to shutting down cities. Frankly, I think if we can get through March and April without infections getting into the millions in the US---we will get a reprieve during the warmer spring and summer. We'll just have to see where it goes from there.

This is wholly new, and if the virus hides in the brain to avoid the immune system as does HIV, then it will at best only be controllable, and at worst will be a perennial killer and I still don't rule out that it and its variant could be a weaponized biological pathogen either accidentally released or not. Those who are listed as recovered but which have severely scarred or damaged lungs are hardly survivors as almost any secondary infection could take them out.

IMO it's nastier than the flu, and whether it is deadlier will take a few years to figure out. I just really hope it doesn't hide in the brain like Herpes and HIV because if it doesn't it can be eradicated or treated successfully once the virus is unlocked as the Israelis claim they have done.

I agree with all that except the part about the flu. It can permanently scar lungs, and it gave me congestive heart failure, when I had a perfectly normal and healthy heart, until I got the flu.

And it kills anywhere from 11K to 95K people a year. Right now, CV-19 is hitting nothing like those numbers in this country. We just have to wait and see.

I'm not discounting the scourge of influenza one bit. It and malaria are still among the most prolific killers of humanity out there. I'm just saying this is a whole new threat and we don't know yet whether it is passing phase or if it will be an ever present threat, and if so to what degree.
03-08-2020 01:07 AM
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RE: 'This time I'm scared': experts fear too late for China virus lockdown - JRsec - 03-08-2020 01:07 AM



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