RE: Obligatory AAC bowl situation going from bad to worse
I think the article slightly overstates how dark it is for you guys. Just because the P5 conferences will run out of bowl-eligibles at some point. Figure a P5 conference can reliably send 2/3 of their teams to bowls. That's 7 for the Big 12, 8 for the PAC, 9 for the Big Ten and SEC, and 10 for ACC+ND.
Think about the Independence Bowl.
They'd like a Big 12 tie in, right? But Big 12 is already lined up with the CFP, Alamo, Russell(Orlando II), Meineke(Houston), BWW (Arizona) and Liberty, plus the HEart of Dallas, kind of. That's 6-7 commitments already. So you're looking at the Big 12 having 8 bowl eligible teams, maybe 9 to send one to the Independence Bowl.
How about the SEC? CFP, Cap One(Citrus), Outback, Gator, Music City, Belk, Liberty, Houston makes 8. SEC #9/14, if they don't have a second team in the CFP bowls--or a third SEC team making it #11. Plus I think Silve said they'd like to keep Birmingham.
Big Ten? CFP, Cap One, Outback, Gator/Music City, Pinstripe, Detroit, Kraft, Holiday makes 8. So #9/14, if they don't have a second team in the CFP Bowls. EDIT: Oh, yeah, and wasn't the Big Ten supposed to be part-time in the Heart of Dallas Bowl?
PAC? CFP, Alamo, Holiday, Kraft, Las Vegas (vs MWC), BWW(ARizona), Sun makes 7. So you're looking at PAC #8/12, again if they don't have a second team in the CFP Bowls.
ACC? CFP, Russell Athletic, Gator/MC, Pinstripe, Sun, Belk are set, so that's 6/15. The ACC is short on bowls. Even if they get a P5 tie-in for the Independence Bowl, it's basically a part-time one. Maybe they get two P5 tie-ins, so the bowl is pretty much covered. But they still need to play someone in the Military Bowl, and I don't see Navy getting locked out of a bowl in their own stadium. The ACC plus Notre Dame basically needs 10 bowls, the way I figure it.
I don't see any way that part-time slots from the Big Ten, SEC and PAC, and a "reach" slot from the Big 12, fills the ACC's dance card.
EDIT: I just realized the math on the CFP: There are 11 spots essentially for 5 conferences. So you pencil in all 5 power conferences for 2 CFP teams each, and adjust the numbers above. The ACC needs dance partners.
(This post was last modified: 06-11-2013 11:26 AM by johnbragg.)
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