XLance
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Posts: 17,149
Joined: Mar 2008
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I Root For: Carolina
Location: Greensboro, NC
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RE: Protect College Sports Act
(10-05-2026 09:37 AM)bryanw1995 Wrote: (10-05-2026 04:37 AM)XLance Wrote: (10-04-2026 09:50 PM)bryanw1995 Wrote: (10-04-2026 01:15 PM)Dr Dawgma III Wrote: (10-04-2026 12:52 PM)bryanw1995 Wrote: Links? And don't say "b/c some SEC Presidents told McMurphy they want UVA". That's the EXACT same thing that happened with the B1G with Cal and Stanford, yet they magically pivoted to Oregon and Washington b/c those 2 actually add value. Let's see some actual financial analysis that explains how UVA's paltry tv numbers would magically quintuple overnight if they joined the SEC and lost to Alabama instead of Miami. Because when it comes down to it, these school Presidents are also SEC Presidents, and they're not going to hurt their school's bottom line so they can take tea 4x a year with UVA instead of Clemson (or FSU or Miami). You want to talk about FSU or Miami instead of Clemson? I'm all ears, that's a good conversation to have. But don't try to gaslight me into thinking that Arkansas, Miss St, Texas or Georgia are ultimately going to vote in a school that costs us all a bunch of money, one that barely breaks us even in the absolute rosiest possible projections.
People here seem to think that the SEC HAS TO do something. With a 19 or even 20 cap, the SEC need to nothing at all. The B1G will still wait on ND, leaving the ACC completely alone, or perhaps alone other than Miami, unless and until the SEC decides as 2034 rolls around that, ok, fine, I guess we can add 2 more schools. If people want to make a claim that UVA is more suitable than VT, GT, Louisville, Colorado, or any other M2 schools, I mean, I'd dispute that, too, but at least you can have a conversation about it, and UVA does have some things in its favor in that comparison. But compare them with UNC, Miami, Clemson or FSU, and UVA's best hope is that the SEC holds off on expansion for 5-10 years and the landscape looks remarkably different in the mid-2030s than it does in the mid-2020s. As in, they turn the tables on VT, they start collecting big scalps and huge ratings, and their State and fanbase start actually caring what happens to UVA football, b/c right now it's hard to see that, or that it's ever been the case in the entire history of the school.
I'd say that the closest comparison in P4 expansion to UVA is Maryland. Both quality ACC founding members, Flagships, AAU, in pretty good regions with lots of people. How is Maryland doing in the B1G in a day and age in which cable subscriptions are worth less and less? I don't think that Maryland is any better than they'd have been if they remained in the ACC. Sure, their long term outlook is better, but is the B1G's long term outlook any better b/c they have Maryland instead of any of a dozen others they could have added 10 years ago? Maryland did their part a decade ago, but there's no way either of the P2 would invite Maryland today if they were still in the ACC.
Bryan, I’ve shared multiple links with you before. You’re being obtuse if you think UVa as a pro-rata vs Clemson as a pro-rata produces an equal result or somehow favors Clemson. It doesn’t. UVa brings the Commonwealth and lucrative NOVA. Clemson brings, well, nothing the SEC doesn’t already have.
McMurphy, Low, Finebaum, heck even resident SEC expert JR has told you.
UVA brings nothing. They're Cal on the east coast. You can trumpet this crap about how great UVA allegedly is until you're blue in the face, but it doesn't change that. What we know from the past 50 or so years of watching football, at least what I know since I've been watching football instead of basketball, is that nobody gives a darn what UVA does on the gridiron. If football wasn't 85% of the money in Realignment, like, say, 20 years ago, then UVA to the SEC would make a whole lot of sense. I'd even bet a lot of money that the old time SEC powers that be would have loved a shot at UVA. However, it's a different world today, and mere proximity to another potential SEC school doesn't quite get it done.
But, you know, I could be wrong. Perhaps none of the SEC Presidents are very capable with a calculator, or at least 75% of them aren't, and they collectively decide to subsidize UVA from here to Kingdom Come b/c, you know, AAU and Geography. Lord knows my Aggies could use some more easy games, we looked like world beaters against Arkansas yesterday.
If all we want is an Academically superior partner for UNC then Duke is better. If all we want is quality football in Virginia with a big fb fanbase then VT is better. If we must have an AAU school to pair with UNC then Miami is lightyears better. If we still care about football enthusiasm then Clemson and FSU are both a million times better. Any way you slice it, UVA is the odd little duckling. Their one, tiny, faint hope, I suppose is that the B1G adds Miami + GT/Stanford/maybe even ND, then the SEC decides to just grab 4 all at once with UNC, FSU and Clemson the obvious first three and then, belatedly, reluctantly, we foolishly give that 20th spot to UVA instead of someone who can carry their own weight for the next 100 years.
You can't bring the ACC of your choice with you. If you're gonna leave, then leave, and let go of the barnacles.
It's interesting how few private schools there are in the P2 (only 3). Northwestern in the B1G and Vanderbilt in the SEC have been long time members of their conferences while USC is the only private to be added during modern realignment. The M2 have more, the Big 12 has three while the ACC has 8, if Notre Dame is included plus Pitt which has an unusual status.
For the most part the P2 is built with public flagship Universities. UVa and Carolina are top 5 Public schools, the flagship Universities of their respective states. If you are checking boxes on membership criteria (Public Flagship, with a bonus of being a top 5 Public) UVa gets the check mark......Duke does not.
That's true ofc, but all of our Public Flagship schools share one thing in common: they are absolutely bonkers about football. Their fans are, their admins, their boosters, the random dudes 80 miles away wear their colors b/c it's STATE U, etc etc etc. As noted above, VT has that bonkers football enthusiasm in Virginia, not UVA. Good luck stealing those fans from VT now. At least with Duke, they're truly elite in mbb, certainly top 3 and probably #1 these days as a Brand, so they bring something to the SEC. And Duke actually has a rivalry with UNC, one of the biggest in any sport I'm not saying that we will or we should invite Duke by the way, I'm just giving a reason why we should if our only choice was "UVA or Duke and you have to pick one of them".
Carolina is not "bonkers" for football either.
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