Dr Dawgma III
Hark the Sound

Posts: 26,033
Joined: Feb 2007
Reputation: 2766
I Root For: The SoCon
Location: The 19th Hole
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RE: Protect College Sports Act
(10-04-2026 01:41 PM)Lurker Above Wrote: (10-04-2026 01:37 PM)Just Joe Wrote: (10-04-2026 01:18 PM)Lurker Above Wrote: (10-04-2026 12:24 PM)bryanw1995 Wrote: (10-04-2026 07:02 AM)Jhawkinva Wrote: I think schools like Clemson should be legitimately concerned they might not make it at 20 and 22 provides them cushion.
If football isn't national title contender worthy (and there's no signs of that coming back any time soon), what does Clemson give you moving forward? They're going to play South Carolina at the end of the year regardless.
UNC would be good with 20, but they also want to be able to tell their friends they advocated for a higher cap so they could join with them. "Demanding" they want 22 allows them to say, "Look at the paper trail. We tried. It wasn't our call that you were left behind."
Clemson has by far the greatest attendance outside of the P2, even more than ND, and even in bad years they pull about as many eyeballs as FSU and Miami. Do the P2 want schools that have to say “but we’d get on tv more and pull more eyeballs if we played SEC teams every week”, or perhaps rather schools that get on tv and get water by lots of people, win or lose? Clemson pulls 3x as many eyeballs every year as UNC if they’re both 7-5 or 9-3, and perhaps 1.5-2x as many if they’re both 11-1 or 4-8.
People act like Clemson is at death’s door. They’re still freaking CLEMSON. If somebody wants to say “school X would be a better P2 candidate than Clemson”, show us why.
This is correct. People drastically under appreciate the staying power of large sports brands. Reading people on here discount brands like Tennessee, Auburn, Nebraska, and even Florida because they have had a run of bad years is naive to the point of sympathetic embarrassment.
Other than having sufficient academics, which is now a little lower bar than it used to be a few years ago because the money at stake has grown to epic proportions, the only real challenge to brand value supremacy in conference realignment is the still relevant cable market dynamic of a new state, or possibly still a large metropolitan area, that generates new cable fees. Of course that dynamic is slowly shrinking, but it may level off at about 50 million households nationwide.
That means UVA and/or VT, North Carolina, and maybe another NC school or two, can still offer about an additional $40 to $60 million dollars a year to a new conference. That is a big advantage these schools have over larger football brands. However, the importance of ad rates has also increased as college football continues to grow. My estimation is a new national brand that can bring in a 6.5 million viewers per football game matches the new media footprints of North Carolina and Virginia.
I think FSU, Miami and Clemson most likely bring that level of interest, or more, as college football continues its growth, and over time brand power probably continues it value enhancement while regional cable carriage fees continues its decline against national streaming fees primary driven by national brands. It is important to note that while carriage fees are shrinking they still offer guaranteed income for many years, so those dollars are worth a little more now in predicting future income.
I don’t discount big brands/programs. I do discount that Clemson has the pedigree to qualify compared to OU, Notre Dame, Texas, etc. Clemson wasn’t “freaking CLEMSON” 18 years ago when Dabo took over mid season for a fired Tommy Bowden and the Bowden era wasn’t some outlier of mediocrity like Gibbs at OU or Gerry Faust at ND. Clemson pre-Dabo was a historically good (not great) program that had one national title without ever really being close to another and had been irrelevant in the ACC after FSU arrived. And Dabo’s best years get further in the rear view mirror every season.
You really think so? Name 24 bigger college football programs as of 18 years ago.
18 years ago:
West Virginia
Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech, FSU, Miami
Tennessee, Georgia, Florida, Auburn, Alabama, Ole Miss, Arkansas, LSU
Penn State, Ohio State, Michigan, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Iowa
Texas, aTm, Texas Tech, Oklahoma, Kansas State, Nebraska, Colorado
Washington, Oregon, Cal, Southern Cal, UCLA, Arizona State
Utah, TCU, heck even Boise State
All were more nationally relevant than Clemson in 2008.
People seem to forget Clemson was a national afterthought for about 20 years until Dabo. There was the Woody Dantzler for Heisman blip and that’s about it.
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