USF 2-0
Tulsa 2-0 surprise team
UTSA 2-0
UMass. 2-0 surprise team
Western Michigan everybody are saying they won including a lot of Michigan fans.
North Dakota State 3-0
New Mexico 2-0
Colorado State 2-0
App. State 2-0
Georgia State 2-0
JMU 2-0
Troy 2-0

9 AAC teams with 1 loss
5 CUSA with 1 loss
UConn with 1 loss
MAC with 8 with 1 loss
5 MWC with 1 loss
Boise State 1-1
Fresno State 1-1
San Diego State 1-1
9 SBC with 1 loss

UMass vs Western Michigan for the MAC title? That would be a good turn around. Who could have thought that Michigan and Ohio State at 1-1 and UMass at 2-0 this season starting?

Sagarin Top 6 of the G6:

61 Boise State
65 New Mexico
67 South Florida
69 Western Michigan
71 Army
72 North Dakota State

-Boise State's resume has tarnished with Oregon losing this week dropping to #33.

-MWC looks strong so far with UNM and NDSU however the MWC's average should drop as all the data points connect.

-Western Michigan still has to play Boise State yet and they have them at home. If WMU is as good as advertised they might be able to put themselves into the CFP driver seat with a win over Boise State.

(09-13-2026 09:47 AM)Garden_KC Wrote:  Sagarin Top 6 of the G6:

61 Boise State
65 New Mexico
67 South Florida
69 Western Michigan
71 Army
72 North Dakota State

-Boise State's resume has tarnished with Oregon losing this week dropping to #33.

-MWC looks strong so far with UNM and NDSU however the MWC's average should drop as all the data points connect.

-Western Michigan still has to play Boise State yet and they have them at home. If WMU is as good as advertised they might be able to put themselves into the CFP driver seat with a win over Boise State.

Yep. That’s a big game. Also. NDSU is looking very good in their first year of FBS. Doing better than I expected.

According to ESPN's FPI...

American: South Florida (10.6%), North Texas (6.2%), Tulsa (3.9%), Memphis (3.2%), UTSA (2.7%), Tulane (1.6%), everyone else (0.5% or lower)

South Florida does not play North Texas or Tulsa in the regular season. Their measuring-stick game will be October 8th at UTSA. North Texas plays at Tulsa on October 1st.

C-USA: Delaware (1%), everyone else (0.2% or lower)

They'll likely sit this one out.

MAC: Western Michigan (5.1%), Toledo (1.7%), UMass (1.1%), Ohio (0.6%), everyone else (0.2% or lower)

Broncos host Boise State on September 26th in a playoff elimination game for the MAC / Pac-12.

Mountain West: North Dakota State (11.0%), New Mexico (10.9%), everyone else (0.3% or lower)

October 24th is a must-see game between North Dakota State and New Mexico. If the Bison survive this trip, they'll run the table.

Pac-12: Boise State (18.2%), Fresno State (2.6%), San Diego State (1.5%), Colorado State (1%), everyone else (0.3% or lower)

It all comes down to "Will Boise see 11-1 through?" as they will have a lot of potential hiccups.

Sun Belt: James Madison (7%), Appalachian State (3.5%), Louisiana (1.4%), everyone else (0.6% or lower)

JMU travels to Boone on October 22nd for a Thursday night showdown that will likely decide the conference champion.

The biggest tragedy in this sport is that there will be no MWC Champion vs. Pac-12 Champion game in Las Vegas during conference championship weekend. Instead, we're just going to watch recycled content / Round 2 of games that already happened this year.

The way I look at it is who is the front-runner? IMO right now it clearly is Boise, they have the ball and someone has to knock it out of their hands. As long as they keep winning, it will be them. Of course it is very early in this race, but that's where we are now.

I do think USF is in the running, we're in the closest "chase group" so to speak, but we need help. Our biggest problem is our schedule is just so bad, both OOC and in conference, that we just cannot afford even the slightest trip up, and even that may not be enough.

I keep going back to the PAC-8 standings showing 4 teams at 0-2. Half the conference.

The PAC-8 appears to be Boise in a runaway...but the Oregon loss to a school that middling Tulsa handled does not bode well.

I think we found out in Denton yesterday that the Memphis win over UNLV didnt actually mean as much as originally thought.

USF coming back and beating Army on the road was impressive. And FAU's first half against Navy was impressive.

I think a lot of teams are trying to figure out their identities with all of these new players, but my gut is telling me, at least in the American to keep an eye on the programs with heavy recruiting in Texas and Florida so UTSA, North Texas, USF and FAU. Can one of these programs put it together and make a run?

Outside of that...New Mexico is currently the 3rd rated defense in the country and is rolling in to Oklahoma this weekend...that would be interesting if they are putting things together.

I dub the Boise St @ WMU game the Bronco Berry Bowl presented by Arby’s Jalepeño Poppers.

I hope that this finally ends up being South Florida’s year.

(09-13-2026 06:02 PM)Fighting Muskie Wrote:  I hope that this finally ends up being South Florida’s year.

That would be cool.

A crazy hypothetical but ...

If Oklahoma State finishes, say 9-3 and in the Top 25 ...

... and Tulsa goes 13-0 (in this scenario, the Golden Hurricane would also have a win over Arkansas to go with the victory vs. OSU)

Tulsa almost certainly would be the G6 team in the playoff

But the chances of this happening are very slim.

(09-13-2026 07:08 PM)SFLFB Wrote:  

(09-13-2026 06:02 PM)Fighting Muskie Wrote:  I hope that this finally ends up being South Florida’s year.

That would be cool.

I would be happy for your program.

Would it be funny that it comes down between NDSU and UMass for the playoff spot?

Sadly what kills UMass is the second FCS game next week. I struggle to see them being ranked higher then a 1 or 2 loss team. Tulsa if undefeated has 2 P4 wins but probably needs Arkansas to win a few SEC games to boost up that win. Assuming Tulsa wins

The conversation will change weekly and will focus on undefeated and 1-loss teams. If a G6 has 2+ losses, they are effectively out unless only 2-loss G6 teams win their conference championship games.

We have 11 undefeated G6 teams through Week 2. Here's how I'd rank them:

1. Tulsa (Oklahoma St, Sam Houston St)
2. Massachusetts (Rutgers, Sacred Heart)
3. North Dakota St (Jacksonville St, Fordham, Air Force)
4. South Florida (Florida International, Army)
5. Appalachian St (Maine, East Carolina)
6. James Madison (Liberty, Wagner)
7. Colorado St (Wyoming, Southern Utah)
8. UTSA (Texas - Rio Grande Valley, Texas St)
9. Troy (Sam Houston St, Alabama St)
10. New Mexico (Central Michigan, Mercyhurst)
11. Georgia St (North Carolina A&T, Kennesaw St)

(09-14-2026 12:53 AM)BePcr07 Wrote:  The conversation will change weekly and will focus on undefeated and 1-loss teams. If a G6 has 2+ losses, they are effectively out unless only 2-loss G6 teams win their conference championship games.

We have 11 undefeated G6 teams through Week 2. Here's how I'd rank them:

1. Tulsa (Oklahoma St, Sam Houston St)
2. Massachusetts (Rutgers, Sacred Heart)
3. North Dakota St (Jacksonville St, Fordham, Air Force)
4. South Florida (Florida International, Army)
5. Appalachian St (Maine, East Carolina)
6. James Madison (Liberty, Wagner)
7. Colorado St (Wyoming, Southern Utah)
8. UTSA (Texas - Rio Grande Valley, Texas St)
9. Troy (Sam Houston St, Alabama St)
10. New Mexico (Central Michigan, Mercyhurst)
11. Georgia St (North Carolina A&T, Kennesaw St)

Doesn't matter anymore, its the highest ranked team from the G6.

(09-14-2026 12:18 AM)46566 Wrote:  Sadly what kills UMass is the second FCS game next week. I struggle to see them being ranked higher then a 1 or 2 loss team. Tulsa if undefeated has 2 P4 wins but probably needs Arkansas to win a few SEC games to boost up that win. Assuming Tulsa wins

UMass is only a serious threat to make a bowl game at this point.

WMU is the playoff candidate out of the MAC. Coming into the season they were the MAC favorite.

I would surely think either James Madison or AppState might have a shot to rep the Belt.

And North Dakota State for the Mountain West, and Western Michigan for the MAC

There are so many variables and scenarios.

(09-14-2026 12:53 AM)BePcr07 Wrote:  The conversation will change weekly and will focus on undefeated and 1-loss teams. If a G6 has 2+ losses, they are effectively out unless only 2-loss G6 teams win their conference championship games.

We have 11 undefeated G6 teams through Week 2. Here's how I'd rank them:

1. Tulsa (Oklahoma St, Sam Houston St)
2. Massachusetts (Rutgers, Sacred Heart)
3. North Dakota St (Jacksonville St, Fordham, Air Force)
4. South Florida (Florida International, Army)
5. Appalachian St (Maine, East Carolina)
6. James Madison (Liberty, Wagner)
7. Colorado St (Wyoming, Southern Utah)
8. UTSA (Texas - Rio Grande Valley, Texas St)
9. Troy (Sam Houston St, Alabama St)
10. New Mexico (Central Michigan, Mercyhurst)
11. Georgia St (North Carolina A&T, Kennesaw St)

It's silly to rank only undefeated teams. Especially this early in the season where beating North Carolina A&T + Kennesaw State or Central Michigan + Mercyhurst gets you on this list.

(09-13-2026 11:48 AM)quo vadis Wrote:  The way I look at it is who is the front-runner? IMO right now it clearly is Boise, they have the ball and someone has to knock it out of their hands. As long as they keep winning, it will be them. Of course it is very early in this race, but that's where we are now.

I do think USF is in the running, we're in the closest "chase group" so to speak, but we need help. Our biggest problem is our schedule is just so bad, both OOC and in conference, that we just cannot afford even the slightest trip up, and even that may not be enough.

I would not be surprised if Oregon State ended up being a Pac8 spoiler. Yes---I know selecting an 0-2 team as a dark horse sounds odd, but they played very solid games in back to back kick offs against ranked P4 schools. I could see them coming into their own and being a real force during conference play.

(09-14-2026 12:53 AM)BePcr07 Wrote:  The conversation will change weekly and will focus on undefeated and 1-loss teams. If a G6 has 2+ losses, they are effectively out unless only 2-loss G6 teams win their conference championship games.

We have 11 undefeated G6 teams through Week 2. Here's how I'd rank them:

1. Tulsa (Oklahoma St, Sam Houston St)
2. Massachusetts (Rutgers, Sacred Heart)
3. North Dakota St (Jacksonville St, Fordham, Air Force)
4. South Florida (Florida International, Army)
5. Appalachian St (Maine, East Carolina)
6. James Madison (Liberty, Wagner)
7. Colorado St (Wyoming, Southern Utah)
8. UTSA (Texas - Rio Grande Valley, Texas St)
9. Troy (Sam Houston St, Alabama St)
10. New Mexico (Central Michigan, Mercyhurst)
11. Georgia St (North Carolina A&T, Kennesaw St)

I bet the dozens of fans at Georgia St are ecstatic right now!