Nameless
All American

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I Root For: UConn
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RE: Bracketology 2026
(01-28-2026 01:56 PM)GoldenWarrior11 Wrote: (01-28-2026 12:56 PM)Nameless Wrote: (01-27-2026 12:26 PM)GoldenWarrior11 Wrote: (01-27-2026 10:05 AM)bill dazzle Wrote: Hypothetically, what is better for the Big East (and assuming UConn wins the league tourney in NYC and is a No. 1 seed):
* Only two at-large teams (Nova and St. John's) but both with 4 or higher seeds
* Three at-large teams (Nova, St. John's and one other) with one No. 4 seed and two rather low seeds (both 8 or below).
* Four at-large teams (Nova, St. John's and two others) with none with a seed higher than a 6.
Tough call for various reasons.
I have never really viewed it as an either/or scenario. At the end of the day, we want the most teams playing into the second weekend and beyond annually. Whether that is one, two, etc., the number of teams and their seeds is not strictly the basis for that. Now, the higher the seed, the more likely that team goes further, but that is no guarantee whatsoever.
I really loved our stretch where we were getting 5, 6 or 7 teams in, even if only one was getting far (Nova). It would have been perfect to get two the F4 in a given year. Our best year, IMO, was 2018:
Villanova and Xavier were both #1 seeds. Creighton (#8), Providence (#10), Butler (#10) and Seton Hall (#8) were our other seeds. Now, with the "other" seeds, it was very unlikely any of those teams were getting more than a single win, at best. But I'd rather have the quantity of lower seeds, while have two top-2 seeds, to maximize the likelihood of having two, maybe three, playing deep into the second weekend (Elite Eight or better). That was our best year getting two seeds into the Final Four, IMO.
It remains a crap shoot. Look at the Big Ten - still looking at the evasive NCAAT Championship since 2000 (Michigan State).
Great points here. I'm with you, I would take a 3 bid league if every team is playing into the 2nd weekend and at least one makes it to the Final Four.
I also do wish the league was still getting 6-7 bids each year. I remember looking back at the league when UConn was in The American and being envious of what could have been had the league not split. I'm not saying it wasn't the right move to split --it was-- but I believe 2018 or 2019 was one of the years The American got 4 bids, and it was always a multibid league despite UConn struggling. I just always thought with 9 football playing members + the Catholic 7 we could have still been a 10-11 bid league some years with 16 teams, and I don't think the league ever would have gotten less than 8. Plus, with more regional opponents UConn probably wouldn't have struggled as badly as it did and may have increased that number of bids some years. I do realize Xavier, Butler and Creighton don't join in this scenario so maybe the numbers work out a bit differently, but you get the point.
I think another interesting thought would be:
1) was the Big East "lucky" in non-con those stretches (where we were cleaning up in non-con) and there wasn't really much cannibalization in conference play that led to the 6 or 7 bids in a given year?
2) or is the Big East now experience some unluckiness with how some teams have fared in non-con and there not really being a separation for that 3rd or 4th spot in the league?
I think the truth is in the middle and the expectation should be getting 5 or 6 teams in annually, while still accounting for the off-year for a program having a really bad season (I.e. this year's Marquette). The league continues to hire some really phenomenal coaches and the fan support and resources continue to be there for much of the league (we know the ones that will always be a step behind and need to compete more with less).
I think for all college basketball teams is the reality that all coaches are still evolving and learning to use the portal effectively and efficiently. It is the easiest thing in the world to throw hands up and just say we will get a new team next year. Any coach will say that is not sustainable (and it isn't). However, there are literally hundreds of players available in a given cycle - and one or two may make the difference from winning 20-plus games and making the tournament and missing the tournament and having a losing season.
Player evaluation is the most prized resource a staff can have today (followed by player development). And when you miss on an entire class of players (either through HS or the portal) look out - you could be out of the job.
I think the league is healthy and in strong shape moving forward (especially with a locked-in near-term TV deal). Villanova will only get better with Willard; Pitino will continue to have St. John's nationally relevant. Marquette will be back next year (young kids look strong). DePaul continues to get better with Holtmann. And let's see what Providence and Georgetown do with English and Cooley, respectively. UConn will be the class with Hurley until he chooses to depart (possibly for the NBA).
That is an interesting take, honestly I'm not sure how much luck had to do with the league's success. There probably was some luck that factored in to the league's success OOC (crazy 2018 was almost a decade ago, time flies.) I do think some of our lack of success currently is because of NIL/the portal, other leagues have just gotten stronger because they can openly buy players. Whereas 8-10 years ago I think the league could sell itself as the best basketball conference; it was before the split and still had some years (I think 2018 was one) where it was the #1 or 2 rated conference overall based on the NCAA's main seeding metric (obviously no NET so RPI back then.)
Your point about coaching rings true as well. I think the top of the league in my eyes going forward will be Nova, UConn, St Johns and Marquette most years specifically because of their coaches. But I think part of the issue in terms of lack of bids is losing these coaches as well. If teams don't make the right hire, they may struggle. Nova with Neptune is an obvious example, but I think Providence with English and Georgetown with every hire they've made since JT3 are good examples as well. Xavier was a tournament caliber team every year under Miller, they've struggled in year 1 with Pitino (though I think he will eventually figure it out.) Will Creighton suffer a similar fate once McDermott retires? I'm hoping having a successful coach from HPU that has a chance to learn from him for a couple years before taking over mitigates the chance that happens, but you never know.
Regardless, if those top 4 are tournament caliber 90% of the time, we only need 2 teams to step up each year to get back to being a 6 bid league. I don't think that is unlikely, every team in this league cares about basketball and wants to be successful. Just need to nail coaching hires and roster construction each year, which admittedly can be tricky.
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