(10-28-2025 09:36 AM)stechs02 Wrote: (10-28-2025 08:20 AM)Lurker Above Wrote: (10-28-2025 08:14 AM)Big Frog II Wrote: The SEC adds NC, UVA, FSU, and Clemson. The Big adds Miami and Duke or GT.
Why would ESPN and the SEC let Miami and GT go to the B1G?
Do ESPN and the SEC even have a say if certain universities ultimately prefer the Big Ten? Conference realignment decisions still rest with university presidents and governing boards, not networks or conferences. The closer we get to 2030 without definitive movement, the more evident it becomes that institutional alignment and long-term academic and financial strategy will drive outcomes.
Some schools may simply view the Big Ten as a better fit than the SEC. That may sound like heresy on this board, which often treats SEC expansion as inevitable and universally desired, yet it remains a valid and realistic possibility grounded in governance dynamics and institutional preference.
I stepped away from this board because the SEC-centric narrative and accompanying groupthink have become increasingly difficult to engage with in a constructive way. This will again be my last post for some time.
Initially, what you said was the case, it was driven by presidents. In 1990 and again in 1992 and in the latter 90's it was absolutely driven by presidents. Even in 2010-11 the case could be made for that in some instances. Since that time, it has been driven by corporate interests. If in 2022 it had been driven by presidents would Cal and Stanford be in the ACC? Or would they have been in the Big Ten. There are things that the SEC wants, but that wouldn't be as relevant if ESPN didn't want them as well. I started pointing out how corporations were taking over the pastime of college sports, particularly football way back in the early 2000's. I just didn't do it on this site until my first post here. Since then, I've seen nothing to indicate otherwise. Money became the primary motivator for movement and presidents became more and more susceptible to its draw. The financial crisis in 2006-8 cemented it. All that can be said in support of your statement is that presidents give the approval along with the support of their trustees. But money is the motivator and in any business transaction the one that controls it is the one who pays.
You don't like the narrative because you fear it to be the reality and because it doesn't fit the narrative that you want. But you are a businessman, and you know very well what is driving most of the realignment. Ease of travel and culture are minor factors. Opportunity for larger payouts the primary lure. Why did Maryland join the Big Ten in 2011-12? They needed money. Why did Missouri do the same with the SEC? They needed to keep up with Nebraska who left the Big 12 for the fit of the Big Ten but also because they needed to keep pace in a world where more money was needed to remain competitive. All of the realignment of 2021 and 2022 was driven by the need of more revenue and the Alston case and the transfer portal sealed that motivation in place.
The ACC was extremely cohesive, or they would not have lasted this long. Maryland was desperate and acted early. Did Virginia or Georgia Tech leave with them? No. These schools which are considering moves now would not be considering them if the fear of losing status because of a deficit in revenue was not their primary motivation, and they wouldn't be considering the SEC or Big Ten without looking at projections given them by those conferences detailing their future revenue streams.
What their financial officers and attorneys comb through is what their projections are for total overhead and total revenue. Athletic fit, and cultural fit are way down the line from revenue, donor desires, fan desires (which are the customer base for their products) and network exposure.
My stances are based on those factors because presidents now only ceremonially have the final say. Money and exposure are the first two considerations. But you should know this. Why else would FSU be a priority for the AAU loving Big Ten and not Stanford? Money, as derived from market penetration! Why else would FSU consider the Big Ten? Money, sold as the expectation that such a relationship would get them into AAU. And that sir we both know is not how AAU membership works! They may get there one day as they are doing the necessary work themselves to improve their standing in the areas which AAU prioritizes, but it's the money and exposure they most require right now, and should the SEC have another priority they would be quite willing to entertain the Big Ten advances for money and exposure. Money helps your chances to win, and exposure appeals to lots of high school seniors especially at a time the baby bust is being felt most palpably.
if you don't like the narrative, it's because you can't stand the truth!
As long as the two primary players in college sports are FOX and ESPN/Disney the latter will likely continue to amass what it wants. FOX has the money to be a tough competitor. Disney is willing to commit it. Until that changes, my world view of the outcome in college sports will not change. The SEC and Big Ten are proxies in the corporate struggle for control of the sport. And between the two of them the SEC continues to out earn the Big Ten when all lines in the accounts receivable are counted, instead of just media money, and that one ledger line will close next Spring.
ESPN extended the ACC's contract until 2036. It signed the SEC until 2034. It set the ACC's self-reducing buyout for 2031. And all of it gives them the final say in movement which would happen between the two conferences. Technically it meets the letter of the law. Sure, an ACC school could choose to leave for the Big Ten. But it would happen while they were still under contract to ESPN and therefore ESPN would have the ability to pay the SEC to offer them more and it places them in a position to cover exit fees as needed to ensure they keep the product they want. That the SEC requires much less travel and is the better cultural fit for their consumers doesn't hurt the potential outcome either. Neither does the SEC policy of full financial inclusion on Day 1 of membership, or its exposure to the broader market.
If you can't grasp or won't accept the reality of that situation it's not the fault of this board or its posters.