(04-26-2022 11:21 AM)random asian guy Wrote: (04-25-2022 10:44 PM)TerryD Wrote: (04-25-2022 10:23 PM)random asian guy Wrote: (04-25-2022 08:49 PM)TerryD Wrote: Jack knows that ND has to join the Big Ten in full to play Tier One college football in the P2 future, breakaway or not.
Everything not in the Big Ten or SEC will be considered Tier Two football, a step down.
The money disparity between the two will determine the tiers.
He is letting the ND fan base know this. That was who his audience was. He wasn't just spewing hot air to hear himself talk.
ND has to decide which way to go.
The administration will lean towards the Tier Two academic side, the big donors, alumni and fan base will push hard to keep ND football at Tier One.
ND may or may not have enough clout if in Tier Two to remain a football independent and cut some kind of deal for the rest. If in Tier One, its all in.
My guess is that ND will re-sign with NBC for a five year deal, let the dust settle and will make a move around 2030 if necessary.
Which side wins? Jack is just teeing this up with his statements. I don't think that debate has even begun at ND.
I think the side that wants ND to stay with Tier One football will win. Time will tell.
I agree that events may well force ND football to join a conference. I just think that, if so, it is more likely to be the Big Ten than the ACC.
If ND has to sell its independence, I don't think it will go to the lowest bidder and not for Tier Two status.
As much as I hate the idea, I think ND moves to join the Big Ten in full around 2030 and challenges/pays off the GOR. Just my prediction.
Woo! Is this real TerryD?
A quick question.
Let’s say the BIG and the SEC are Tier I and the ACC and the Pac are Tier II (you can include the B12 and G5 in the Tier II; it doesn’t matter)
What if both Tier I and Tier II adopt the pay for play model and ND decides not to go with it? Then, ND is going to stay independent and play Ivy and Patriot league schools? I think that’s certainly a possibility.
I don't.
I think that ND joins the Big Ten in full and makes about $100 million or so a year in TV/conference payouts and plays in a Tier One /P2 league.
I think that ND will adopt pay for play, ultimately, if that is what the P2 do.
We shall see.
Understood.
I just have to point out that this is a complete reversal of your previous position that ND won’t surrender the football independence except for champ only playoff and ND is institutionally different from others.
Well, as a lawyer, I have often changed my opinions when the facts change.
Texas/Oklahoma to the SEC, NIL and the coming pay to play are changed facts.
A "caste system" of two conferences in Tier One and everyone else in a lower level of football is a seismic change for college football.
The entire landscape of college football is about to shift and change, hence my changed opinion.
It may well be that ND chooses the academic Tier Two route. But, I have serious doubts about that.
If it does, then ND may stay independent and use its clout/money/influence to stay independent forever. So, even in that event ND football will not join the ACC.
(ND will have even more relative clout in Tier Two if the Big Ten/SEC move on without it and ND stays with the Tier Two schools)
But, will it want to do that or play Big Boy Football? In a P2 Tier One, I doubt ND can stay football independent.
I just think it will ultimately choose to remain in Tier One for money and status reasons. That will be the expectation of ND fans.
(So, to answer the OP, yes, Jack Swarbrick is getting ND fans ready for the possibility of leaving the ACC and joining the Big Ten in full when it is best able to do so.)