(04-25-2020 01:50 PM)Hambone10 Wrote: (04-25-2020 01:13 PM)Redbanksdog Wrote: Thanks for the reply Hambone. I know tensions are high with the lock down and I think we have turned the corner on the Bug going around. I just hope everyone learns something from all of this and we are better prepared for the next time this happens.
The first and foremost thing that I hope we learn is that the reason we were so badly unprepared is that we don't make being prepared in advance to deal with such situations a priority, even though we know they are going to happen.
We have this, "locals respond, states direct, federates support," to emergencies, but most locals don't have the resources to be prepared, so what inevitably happens is that we get off to a slow start until we form some sort of
ad hoc group to deal with it. Look at our history of emergencies:
Katrina in New Orleans - Blanco and Nagin screwed the pooch with their "shelter in place" approach, when school buses and other vehicles that could have carried people to safety sat idle and unused.
The BP blowout - Nobody had any idea what to do, and response efforts were frankly pathetic.
Maria in Puerto Rico - The island was totally unprepared to deal with the problem, and so disaster ensued.
CV-19 - We needed massive testing early to define the problem, but we had nobody to do the tests, nowhere to do them except overloaded hospitals, doctors' offices and ER's, and most importantly, no tests. So we resorted to a massive shutdown that threatens to do far more damage to our economy and society than 0.015% of our population dying could possibly do.
What we need to do is to create an emergency response mission and identify, equip, and train people to do it. That's not FEMA--they are a management (
i.e., administration) agency, not a response (action) agency. That's clearly not CDC, FDA, or NIH--they have different missions, and they lack the staff, the equipment, or most tragically the mindset to do emergency response.
My idea, and I've repeated many times, is to repurpose the National Guard from a backup army reserve to a civil defense and emergency response agency. They have the people in numbers, they could be given the equipment in place of their tanks and artillery, and they are part-time so you don't have to pay for the capacity 24/7/365.
In this case, as soon as CV-19 appeared to be a potential major problem, you could have mobilized the Guard, had them set up mobile testing tents in Walmart, Target, and shopping mall parking lots, and had their medical personnel administer tests on a large volume basis (as soon as somebody told CDC and FDA to quit being bureaucrats and start acting like emergency responders and either give us some damn tests or let us get them elsewhere). That would have gotten us way ahead early. Then as hospitals started to fill up, they could have erected field hospitals in the hardest hit areas to cover that need.
The one disaster that doesn't exactly fit for the NG is the BP blowout. But the solution there is also clear. We could have a Sea Guard component equipped with oil cleaning equipment like the German Bottsand class clean-up boats and the SeaClean barge developed by Herman Schellstede of Lafayette (do an Internet search if you are unaware of each, and I think you will be surprised to learn that we haven't already done this), and they could have been activated and dispatched to the scene and removed probably 90+% of the oil that was spilled.
As long as we keep acting like disasters don't need to be prepared for, even though they keep happening, we will keep having the same problem with slow starts to response. Given the tools available, I think Trump has actually done a pretty decent job with this. The problem is not Trump (or Obama or Bush or any of their predecessors) except in their failure to prepare for the next one. Let's change that going forward.
What is the saying, insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results? Our failure to be prepared is insane.