(04-01-2020 01:24 PM)RiceLad15 Wrote: Yes, experts can make mistakes, which is why not cowtowing to their opinions on internet message boards doesn’t mean someone isn’t listening...
Says the guy who dismissed mine because it didn't jive with the experts he's read, and has used articles with agendas somewhat misrepresenting what they DID say.
(04-01-2020 06:41 PM)greyowl72 Wrote: (04-01-2020 05:16 PM)ruowls Wrote: Here is your ventilator lesson for the day:
Just a few things to kick around (that's for Hambone).
Thanks, ru. Very well explained.
I can see it being useful in a situation where all the conventional ventilators are in use and you’re up against the wall. Or in the OR in a closely monitored situation if all the anesthesia machines have been commandeered for the ICU. Maybe in 3rd world hospitals or field hospitals.
That would be my thought. These would be best used by patients with less need, saving the more involved machines for the more delicate patients in the US... or in the field where 'anything' is better.
(04-02-2020 01:49 AM)mrbig Wrote: We can just agree to disagree. Obama's response was proportional to the threat. Trump's response has not been proportional to the threat. The threats themselves are so vastly different that it makes comparing them tough. It would have been an insane overreaction for Obama to call for anything like what is happening in most of the country with the stay at home and extreme social distancing. And it would be likewise insane for Trump to not call for it.
To argue that Trump's response hasn't been an order of magnitude more than Obama's is just flat wrong.
(04-02-2020 01:54 AM)mrbig Wrote: Well here is a significant difference between you and me. I have long thought that the threat of pandemic disease caused a far greater threat to american life and prosperity that anything else. By a long shot. More pandemics will come too and while this one is tough, it is easy to imagine something even worse (longer incubation, higher fatality rate, etc.). I have worried more about pandemic disease in the last decade than Russia, Iran, and North Korea combined.
Then why not even a PEEP from you over Obama 'ending' the 10yr research partnership with China specifically on pandemic diseases originating there? You guys list every POSSIBLE link between the 2018 budget and China, and you won't even acknowledge that ending a two-party partnership on that specific issue from that specific part of the world COULD have played a part? I'm not saying it specifically did... because I don't believe Trump's moves did either... but you can't reasonably say 'cutting budgets' DID impact them, but ending pandemic research programs in China DIDN'T.
Quote:1,833 people died from Hurricane Katrina. 2,977 people died from the 9/11 attacks. We are up to 5,137 for Covid-19 and obviously we are going to end up much, much, much higher than that despite the extreme mitigation measures many of us have been taking the last few weeks.
12,500 died from H1N1... a virus that killed 500,000 Americans (on a much smaller population) 100 years earlier.
You're calling Trump's response 'not proportional' (of course that's not even a definable number... is Covid twice as bad? 10 times? Is our response twice as much? 10X?) and of course it could easily and likely WILL surpass Swine's numbers.... but we have a long way to go before we've reached those numbers
(04-02-2020 02:09 AM)mrbig Wrote: For the people who keep bringing up H1N1, was their a single hospital in the USA overwhelmed by H1N1 patients that required critical care?
Of course there were. A number of them.
60mm people were symptomatically infected and 275,000 required hospitalization.
Being 'overwhelmed' now has as much to do with the disproportional response that you dismiss. Under H1N1, we would transfer someone perhaps hundreds of miles away via standard ambulance if a hospital didn't have beds. Now we're requiring only certain specially equipped and designated services and vehicles are allowed to transfer Covid patients (as would have been done under Ebola) and only if vitally necessary to avoid spreading a disease to somewhere where it 'isn't..... that's a proportional response to pandemic that can CAUSE a hospital to be overwhelmed.
If you're suggesting that we should have had tens of thousands more healthcare workers and more hospitals and more beds etc etc etc... I agree with this and have been saying so since 2008 when we put a number of hospitals out of business by increasing demand, holding supply steady (actually losing, imo but why argue) and decreasing reimbursements. No responsibility there though. that's snark... sorry
But what difference does THAT comparison make? You've already said that this is worse... and we're clearly doing more already and have all along. So of course, in a 'worse' pandemic, you're going to have overwhelmed services that weren't overwhelmed before even without the regulations related to a proportionally greater response.
The message from the left in 2016 was Climate change, not pandemic response.... so while you may have been 'all over this issue' (and I don't question that)... Lad was voting based on something completely different. I don't remember one question during any debate about pandemic response. Maybe you do. So despite the overwhelming majority of the nation being consumed elsewhere, you think Trump, even more than Obama should have seen this coming? I do agree that we need to change our culture to one that treats easily spread diseases more seriously, but that wasn't ANYWHERE in the conversation until just a few weeks ago.
Let's be realistic here.
This is a VERY easily transmitted disease. Tens of millions of Americans will likely become infected, just as before. It is also apparently more aggressive than H1N1 meaning that even if we have half the infections, we could have double the hospitalizations.... and 10 times the deaths.
That is a function of the disease, not any administration or any activity of any administration.
To this point... the point where you are saying we haven't had a proportional response... we are not nearly there.
What more EXACTLY do you think should be done TODAY.... and more importantly, show me which party is supporting such activities but can't get enough votes to enact it.
Don't talk about 'research dollars' or any of the other stuff you guys have been talking about... that you HOPE could have made a difference. (Why didn't Rice engineers think of this ventilator sooner?) Talk about things like barring interstate travel... enabling cell phone tracking on all persons without a warrant... more city cameras... you know, the things that those nations debatably doing 'better' than us do... things that would actually contain (or mitigate) a pandemic. If all you have is what should have been done over the past decade or more, then all you have is perception and opinion... and we can certainly agree to disagree on that.