The unofficial online home for fans of the University of Cincinnati Bearcats. Part of Collegiate Sports Nation (CSN).

(01-11-2018 12:35 PM)Recluse1 Wrote:  

(01-11-2018 12:31 PM)payday Wrote:  Why are you wasting so much effort trying to over analyze this? We’re only 3-4 games into the conference schedule. Much can happen and none of the top half of the conference is out of it yet.

I WASN'T!!!1
I was making a stupid off-hand remark about how the worse teams beat the supposedly decent ones. Then you had to go off, with crap about analytics and RPI when SOS and RPI aren't going to help if everyone is dropping games left and right to crappy teams come March

In a thousand words or less. I WASN’T!!!1

(01-11-2018 04:14 PM)payday Wrote:  In a thousand words or less. I WASN’T!!!1

I still say SMU losing to Temple at Moody is a bad thing....
Please feel free to spin it into a positive.

All I know is if ECU beats WSU tonight, it will be absolute Black Hole of Chaos Mind Warp for us all.

AAC turning out to be a pile of turds this year. My bet is 2 bids bc the acc and big 10 will get 12 bids each.

(01-11-2018 05:21 PM)Bearcatbdub Wrote:  AAC turning out to be a pile of turds this year. My bet is 2 bids bc the acc and big 10 will get 12 bids each.

^^^^^^
This

Great comments from Evans and Gary:

Comments from Mick:

Man it sure seems like this season has a had a ton of long breaks. Makes it hard to get interested

(01-11-2018 05:21 PM)Bearcatbdub Wrote:  AAC turning out to be a pile of turds this year. My bet is 2 bids bc the acc and big 10 will get 12 bids each.

I think SMU gets it together and gets a bid, I also think Houston is a bubble tteam that makes it in

Houston up 40. They took care of business tonight. Any guesses what WSU will do to ECU?

So OSU is pretty good this year?

Good crowd and scrappy Pirates thus far...

(01-11-2018 06:48 PM)CincyBro Wrote:  

(01-11-2018 05:21 PM)Bearcatbdub Wrote:  AAC turning out to be a pile of turds this year. My bet is 2 bids bc the acc and big 10 will get 12 bids each.

^^^^^^
This

Not even close. The Big Ten is at best a four or five bid league and that might be generous. Same with the PAC-12. Those are leagues ranked 5 and 6 in most models. The American is 7th and still likely a three to five bid league. Teams that finish 3 through 6 are going to win 13 to 10 league games. I can almost tell you that Houston is going to win at least 12 conference games and have a top 45 RPI and Kenpom ranking. Temple only needs 10 league wins to be on the right side of the bubble this based on their quality wins. If SMU, UCF, or UConn finish in the top six they are likely still in the mix for an NCAA tournament bid as well.

The three problems hurting AAC's March resume...

1) All the WTF losses?! Houston to Drexel, SMU to WKU and N. Iowa, and Temple to GW and Lasalle. These teams all have some really nice OOC wins, but then they go and drop eggs against scrubs

2) The bottom dwellers... and how they decide to.suddenly turn it on in conference play. Tulsa, ECU, and USF will all probably winning a couple against the Temples and SMU type teams hurting their resume more

3) Memphis and UCONN's mediocrity. These are 2 of the 4 4 or 5 brand names in this league and they are in the bottom half of the conference.

(01-11-2018 08:53 PM)rtaylor Wrote:  So OSU is pretty good this year?

I don't rub shoulders with a ton of tOSU fans on a daily basis, but most of the ones I do that reside in this area are just t-shirt football fans. Do the Columbus area ones give a sh*t about basketball, or are the same as the SW OH fans.

(01-10-2018 09:53 PM)JackieTreehorn Wrote:  

(01-10-2018 09:16 PM)RealDeal Wrote:  As far as basketball goes no team has been a bigger winner in realignment than Villanova. They were a borderline top 5 program in the conference before the breakup and now they're a top 5 national program. Get to play a bunch of good teams without anyone near good enough to challenge them for the top spot. No longer have to play the BE football schools with bottom feeder hoops. Break up of the BE is the best thing that ever happened to them

BE football schools with bottom feeder hoops? You mean like UConn, Pitt, UL, UC, WVU, Syracuse? The only marginal hoops football schools were Rutgers and USF.

Well apparently we were a football school all along! Who knew! #Themoreyaknow!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

(01-11-2018 09:18 PM)UCGrad1992 Wrote:  Good crowd and scrappy Pirates thus far...

Like I said, sparse crowd and WSU dominating 320 RPI ECU.

Houston's 33 point win over Tulsa much more impressive. The Coogs are now 3-1 in conference play. They lost at WSU. So will a lot of teams.

Updated conference standings with RPI/Kenpom:

WSU (4-0) 14-2 18/9
Cincinnati (3-0) 14-2 33/8
Houston (3-1) 13-3 54/35
UCF (3-2) 12-5 54/71
Tulsa (3-2) 10-7 107/144
Tulane (2-2) 11-5 94/123
Memphis (2-2) 11-6 119/171
UConn (2-2) 9-7 118/143
SMU (2-3) 12-6 66/38
Temple (1-4) 8-8 45/78
ECU (1-4) 7-9 322/316
USF (0-4) 7-10 292/308

More than half of the conference teams have <100 RPIs. If you throw Tulsa in there that makes 8 of 12. 5 are hovering at or below top 50.

Where did you get those? Few of those are pretty far off.

SMU is 91 in RPI heading into games tonight.

http://www.rpiforecast.com/live-rpi.html