Quote:There are just too many reasons why that won't happen unless it is a full blow dissolving of the conference. All the lawsuits as well as political repercussions alone make it nearly impossible.
I agree. The B12 dissolving isn't going to happen. They're not going to take all 10 and send 2 to the B1G, 2-4 to the SEC, and 2 to P12 or something, and the rest to G5 conferences. That'd really screw things up for basketball, too. B12 won't dissolve.
Quote:Kinda like the p-5 breakaway. Sounds good to say it but when you look at what it would take to make that happen it's clearly unlikely. g-5 schools are not going to quietly go form their own league outside the p-5.
Well, I think the conspiracy theory is that FBS would Isolate P5 and G5 -- not the G5 "leaving" to make their own (I don't think they could do that beyond lobbying the NCAA and pushing for it). But there has been growing P5 support amongst coaches (who are not marketing people) to do so. Nothing has indicated that the G5 conferences want to band together to leave! They want to be Included in with P5 as much as possible! :)
But I think the P5 isolating itself and NOT playing G5 teams, or even limiting to 1 OOC G5 game a year (and 2 others against other P5s; 9 conf games), won't happen. It'll take a lot for the SEC not to play FCS teams due to their hard Conf schedules and many southern smaller teams wanting a chance to get into the spotlight. The SEC definitely has a lot of pull in NCAA football. But that mood could weaken over the years, sure.
But the the bottom line is, making G5 a "D1-G5", with the P5 "D1-P5" and FCS "D1-CS" -- sounds good, although to me, doesn't sound good without question marks, which soon takes away from the sounds-good part. Especially if all 3 OOC games (assuming they limit to 3 due to conferences expanding a bit taking in BYU, Boise, and several others, making 9 Conf games the standard) are ONLY between P5 conferences, which many coaches are wanting.
It'd kill the underdog concept, kill bits of the concept of what makes the NCAA tourney in basketball so great, that football still somewhat has -- and Big Stacked conferences will make it less exciting.
Conferences too big, with too many teams making more teams never playing each other is going to have conference champs more based on schedule within (luck) combined with home-field and all that.
It's best to have a P6, IMO. There's 65 P-5 teams (64 in-conference + 1 ND; NO BYU, you are NOT P5).
But to add one, with a minimum of 10, you'd get the 10 best G5s. It'd make for a weaker, but P5-level conference -- but the geography combined with the viewer $$ they bring in wouldn't be so easy to pull off.
- (WEST) BYU, Boise State, Utah State, Colorado State, Air Force, Houston; (EAST) Marshall, Cincinnati, ECU, Northern Illinois, Memphis, Navy*
Due to there being no Indiana, Vandy, Kansas, or Colorado (CSU is better) of the conference, it'd be hard to say "Oh, no, this is just a Good mid-major conference."
You could end up adding a couple more G5s if B12 wanted to be actually 12 teams, which I'm assuming they will within 5 years (Temple, W. Kentucky, Ohio, Buffalo, GA-Southern as options).
With 77-79 P-Level teams, able to crop up to over 80 if all conferences were to expand to 14 teams -- it'd be hard to say they'd be "isolating" from G5. A MUCH more fan-acceptable separation.
But then with 40-something G5s left, a lot would be re-done, and IMO, would merge the top conference FCS with the G5s (like Missouri Valley) + better ones of some other conferences combined into another conf. And in that league, to have a 8-team playoff. But for an expanded P-Level Division, with 6 conferences? IMO, do what FCS does -- a 12 team playoff, with the top 4 getting a bye, and the bottom 8 having a 1st round to reduce it to 4, and go 4 x 4.
*Navy to make ND willing to go with the P-Level-Only level which is the main reason why they previously said they didn't want to go strictly P-Level only