(03-12-2014 06:34 AM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote: (03-12-2014 01:19 AM)Bay Area Owl Wrote: If Karlgaard is going to fire Braun, I figure he would do so very soon, but I don't think he will. I don't think he can afford to cover the two years of the buyout. Even putting together one year of the buyout may require some fundraising over the next year.
It's the more shrewd move, in my opinion, for Karlgaard to focus on how to improve MBB and make the right hire next year, while allowing Braun to serve out another year of his expensive contract. MBB requires more attention than just a coaching change; the whole marketing and promotion philosophy requires work. Dumping Braun right now might feel good, but it only burdens the program with debt and a very limited pot to spend on the next coach. If Rice can hold on to the talented youngsters -- and I think that's reasonable to assume -- keeping Braun for another year isn't going to worsen the situation. It's just prolongs the inevitable, but at least Rice can make a hire next year from a stronger position.
The very fact that MBB hasn't been drawing many in attendance or generating much revenue for a long while now suggests Braun will stay. If Rice and Karlgaard thought making a change would dramatically improve attendance and revenue next year, the buyout would make some sense, but a new coach isn't likely to make an immediate impact on attendance. I think Karlgaard will take the longer view.
I tend to agree. Basketball's problems are much deeper than Braun and will take more than a new coach to fix. If some alum steps up with the buyout money, fire him. In any event, focus on getting some of the other things right. Firing Braun makes sense if and only if he can be replaced by someone better. Where this program finds itself, I'm not sure that can be done until some other changes are made.
There may be reasons to keep Braun. The buyout may be an issue. There may be extenuating factors.
But I don't get people stating the problems are so big that even a new coach couldn't fix them. What problems does Braun have that Willis did not have? He has less, because he had/has a brand new facility to use in recruiting.
While it's true that Willis didn't make the NCAA's ever, he did produce some NBA level talent, his players stuck around. The argument was that we could get someone better.
Well, the team has actually been worse, at least in terms of RPI and record.
Many here were convinced we could get someone in better than Willis. We're so bad now that we are implying that we may not be able to find a coach that could do better until other things change (while we do have new facilities). And people are questioning whether we can get someone better than Braun? We can't get someone better than the coach we hired to do better than Willis, while in fact our performance has been worse?
Again, there may be reasons to keep Braun, but the logic here escapes me completely. If we believed we could hire someone better than Willis, I'd think we'd believe also that we could hire someone who could do better than Braun, who has produced worse results.
Bay Area may be 100% right about the buyout money. But that's it, period. It's not 'we need other fixes more'.
I'll allow that it's also possible that none of this is Braun's fault (I agree with Tiki about FT shooting.), that he's a better coach and that he'll show it one day. That's a different argument than, we need other things fixed, or that we quite possibly couldn't hire someone better.