(09-11-2016 08:37 PM)chargeradio Wrote: [ -> ]I think if the Belt gets back into Florida, it will be one of the following:
1) FAU/FIU (reshuffle with C-USA, or C-USA collapse)
2) Florida Gulf Coast
3) North Florida
4) Jacksonville - unlikely they would go to full allotment of scholarships at the FCS level in the short or medium term, but if they do take that plunge, what's another 22 scholarships?
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Jacksonville doesn't have the enrollment to sustain FBS football. They have 3,200 students and they are private.
Does anyone really want FIU or FAU back? Does anyone in this conference recruit down there? FIU has a circus clown as an Athletic Director who seems to make boneheaded decision after boneheaded decision (and I think that most of CUSA and probably some of FIU's fans will agree with that assessment). FAU is a bit better, but still, did they really fit with us? And besides, they're not going to come back to us unless they've been rejected by every other conference in FBS. In other words, the only way they come back to us if the suck really bad. Under those conditions, I doubt any of us would want them back
UNF - has an 'okay' and growing enrollment, but they don't have a big alumni base because they're kind of new. They also have virtually no history in D1, and don't even have a football team. And I don't think there's any plans to start one. I suppose Ga Southern recruits down there, but do they even want them in the conference?
FGCU - has a very small local alumni base. They also don't have a football team, no real plans for one, and I'm not sure that there's even a place for them to play.
There aren't any real options in Florida. And won't be any for a long, long, long time.
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By the way, the conference shuffle thing is just a fantasy. It really is almost impossible to pull off because every member of at least the adding conference has to be happy with how things happen or they'll start suing. You're not going to kick a few unwilling members out of conference A so conference A can raid conference B. Its very hard to pull off in practice.
A merger can happen, but even that's difficult. What needs to happen in that case is for there to be two conference that can merge in whole pieces. The Sun Belt did that with the American South. Other than that, I can't think of any other example.
So, this break all the conferences apart and put them back together again thing is exceedingly unlikely. Especially when the both conferences have a full or (more than full) complement of members.