Quote:They are in no position to bargain. A NY6 bowl is about as good as it's going to get for the g-5. I personally wish they would go to 8 and let in a g-5 but I don't think it will happen
I agree. The playoffs would have to go the Size of NY6 to get in (12 teams) to get into any playoff for any G5. I don't buy the whole "but history shows" stuff as evidence that a G5 would get into an 8-team playoff. In order for "what history shows" as leverage to Legally insist a G5 get into an 8-team -- they'd have to show the top G5s who did play in BCS/NY bowls were Clearly Under-ranked. History has not shown that.
And even if a G5 were to make it in an 8-teamer, as you point out, it would likely be a Boise or a top-end AAC -- but rarely, the way things have been going lately. In the end, you're going to at best get a "compromise" of a G5 in the Top 12 if they're as ranked as the bottom-level P5 Champ -- or if said G5 is maybe like in the Top 10 regardless.
Chances of That? The Last 10 years in College Football of G5 Rankings:
2016: #15 WMU, #23 Temple, #24 Navy
2015: #18 Houston, #20 Navy, #24 Temple
2014: #20 Boise State
2013: #20 Fresno St, #23 Northern Illinois
2012: #15 Northern Illinois, #22 Utah State
2011: #7 Boise State, #11 TCU*, #19 Houston, #21 Southern-Miss
2010: #3 TCU*, #10 Boise State, #15 Nevada, #19 Utah*, #24 Hawaii
2009: #4 TCU*, #6 Boise State, #23 Utah*
2008: #9 Boise State, #11 TCU*, #12 Cincinnati, #22 Ball State
2007: #10 Hawaii, #21 South Florida, #22 Cincinnati, #24 Boise State, #25 Connecticut
Thing is, the last 5 years, the G5 Champs haven't come close to Top 10 -- where they'd be viable for an 8-team playoff. But the 5 years before that -- they Were! But only by 2 different current G5 teams -- Boise 4 out of those 5 times due to having Chris Peterson as their coach which they do Not have anymore -- and Hawaii as a one-timer.
To be generous, how things have settled in recent history, but assuming it'll shake up too -- I would expect once every 5 years a G5 to be in the Top 10 -- thus, able to make an 8-team playoff.
The problem with an 8-team playoff is -- it becomes the "NY4" not the "NY6". So a G5 would not make a "Big Bowl" every year anymore. And a few less P5 teams, too.
That's why I advocate just jumping into making the NY6 into a 12-team playoff, and skipping the whole 8-team thing. It'd just add an extra week (with half teams that week, while regular G5 bowls go on that week).
* = No Longer a G5 Team