(11-28-2016 01:20 AM)_C2_ Wrote: (11-27-2016 02:42 PM)quo vadis Wrote: By Sagarin, OU has played the #17 schedule, Navy has played the #70 schedule.
That's a BIG gap.
Isn't Sagarin the one that rewards and punishes teams based on previous years' performance? If so, that explains a lot.
Not this late in the season, so that wouldn't explain the SOS difference ... including previous year's performance is only early in the season when it is needed to get a complete network for the algorithm.
(... and, yes, the
correct way to cope with that is to hold off the ranking until there are enough games played this year to run the algorithm, but OTOH, there's a newspaper that runs those rankings, so previous year fill-ins it is, until the network is completed ...)
It would be more that the mean Conference power rating of the Big12 is about 76 and the mean Conference power rating of the AAC East is about about 67, and the OOC schedules line up:
#40 (77) Notre Dame / #2 (100) OhSU
#68 (70) Air Force / #26 (81) Houston
#88 (64) Army / ... 9th Big12 Game, avg ~76
#163 (48) Fordham / #154 (49) ULM
If anything, the Sagarin rating ought to be a bit kind to the Navy SOS, since Sagarin seem to over-rate FCS schools a bit.