MplsBison
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RE: Sun Belt Expansion Backfills
(08-25-2015 10:44 AM)chrisattsu Wrote: (08-24-2015 01:10 PM)Cyniclone Wrote: (08-22-2015 08:18 AM)DavidSt Wrote: (08-17-2015 04:51 PM)chargeradio Wrote: (08-17-2015 12:49 AM)DavidSt Wrote: Problem with that is that MWC could be picked apart with their top programs. Sacramento State, Eastern Washington, Montana, Montana State, Cal-Poly, Cal-Davis, SFA, Sam Houston State, Lamar and McNeese State all could go to FBS.
Long Beach State and Wichita State also looking to join MWC including in adding football if they had to.
Seattle was rumored that they could start a football program up.
Grand Canyon U. could start sports programs soon as well.
Utah Valley could add women's soccer and add football at the same time.
UTRGV said they would look into football after they get their new name and look in place.
New Orleans got into the Southland because they were supposed to start football this year. It is in a holding pattern right now with a start date tbd.
Texas A&M-C.C. said they might start football as well.
Now, the issue with your idea would not work when several schools could be joining the FBS ranks in the future.
D2 call ups could fit in the scenerio like Humboldt State, Azusa Pacific (top football in the west at D2.), Western Oregon, Dixie State, Simon Fraser, Western Washington, Montana State-Billings, Mary's ND, Colorado Mines, Clorado-Mesa, Colorado State-Pueblo, New Mexico Highlands, West Texas A&M, Western Washington, NW Nazarene Idaho, Chaminade to the Big West, Central Washington, Washburn, Midwestern State, Metro State, Angelo State, Texas A&M-Kingsville, Tarleton State, Texas-A&M-Commerce, Central Oklahoma, Fort Hays State, Nebraska-Kearney, Western State, Adams State (Revenge of The Nerds reference), Fort Lewis, Westminster, Concordia Oregon, St. Martin's and so forth. I would like to see NCAA give a waiver to OKCU since they were former D1 and now in the NAIA because of money issues. They were looking into adding football, and filed paperwork to join D1 before the new rules took place.
Where are these Mountain West schools going to go? Boise State is the only one with any serious consideration for a P5 conference.
No more than one of those Division II schools with football will be moving up in the next 10 years. The ones that are most capable, Central Washington and Central Oklahoma, have shown zero interest in Division I. Most of them are simply too small to be Division I. There is also not enough room in the Southland and Big Sky to accommodate any meaningful number of move-ups - something like the plan I proposed would need to be implemented so you don't have 16 teams fighting for one bid to the Big Dance and one bid to the FCS playoffs.
Schools like Utah Valley and Grand Canyon would need the WAC to steal Big Sky and Southland schools to be able to start FCS football themselves - there is no room at the inn elsewhere, until the WAC builds a new inn.
With the FCOAs kicks in? I think the NCAA will relax some rules for any D2 to move up. Big West and WAC could restart football which could take in some schools like Central Oklahoma, GNAC and so forth. Western Oregon would be smart to move with Central Washington as a pair. The three southern GNAC schools like Humbolt State, Azusa Pacific and Dixie State could join Big West in football only, and join the WAC for the rest.
Big West:
Cal-Davis
Cal-Poly
Southern Utah
Dixie State
Sacramento State
Northern Arizona
Long Beach State (could add football)
Fullerton State and Northridge State are having students asking when they will have football at those schools.
Central Washington and Western Oregon could slid into the Big Sky then.
WAC:
Grand Caynon U.
Utah Valley
West Texas A&M
Washburn
UTRGV
Simon Fraser?
Mary, ND?
Western Washington
South Dakota Mines
Colorado Mesa
Colorado State-Pueblo
Central Oklahoma
I am thinking of a 4 tier D1 conference. 1 and 2 for bowl games with a NIT like playoffs.
Tiers 3 and 4 be FCS. Tier 4 will be schools that play no scholarships which if you think D3 schools and the club teams that could fill out that tier. Johns Hopkins could play at tier 4 level.
Adding football or moving up in classification isn't as simple as moving their name on a spreadsheet.
You keep saying things like "Random University could start football" and "Random State could move to Division I," but you never show your work, or even the remotest basis for your reasoning.
So here's my challenge: I'm going to pick a school from above at random. Let's go with South Dakota Mines (I like to imagine the entire campus is actually in mines). Your mission: Lay out your argument for how South Dakota Mines can reasonably move to Division I and join the WAC. Provide evidence that a) they're considering a move, and/or b) they have the ability to make a move. It can be school documents, newspaper articles ... basically, anything that rises above the level of random speculating on a message board. Don't just say "well, they could do this"; I could sprout wings and gills and turn into an aquabirdman, but the smart money says that in an hour, I'll still be sitting in front of my computer, no more likely to fly or breathe underwater than I am now.
South Dakota Mines to Division I and the WAC. You say they can do it. I say "prove it"
Tarleton State looked at moving up in 2004. They put a bid into the Southland and the league chose Central Arkansas instead because of facilities.
Since that time, The Lone Star Conference (D2) has lost ~10 members in the past 6 years. Abilene Christian and Incarnate Word's departure to the Southland has put the rest of the league in a bind. There are only 7 football schools in the league and it is forced to play a "in-conference playoff" at the end of the season just to make sure its members have enough games on the schedule.
After ACU's departure, caused several schools to make contingency plans just in case a D1 conference came sniffing around. Nobody wanted to be the school left behind if the others left.
Tarleton approved a $20/credit hour athletic fee and the president and AD are onboard. They are top basketball team in the league with multiple deep playoff runs (including a Final Four appearance last year) and were in the football playoffs a few years ago. They are just waiting on an invitation.
http://www.texannews.net/to-d-1-or-not-t...-question/
In 2011, Angelo State hired a consulting firm to determine if they could go Division I. It was ultimately determined that it would cost prohibitive at that time because they would have to increase their athletic budget from $4.5M to $10M. http://www.gosanangelo.com/news/angelo-s...-d-i-move.
Since that time, they have increased their athletic spending to $8M per the Department of Ed's website. --http://ope.ed.gov/athletics/GetOneInstitutionData.aspx
Now for the No Homework time,
West Texas A&M has stated that they are interested in staying Division II. However they already have a $10M budget, 20k stadium, 6k Arena, a history of D1 football and they would be the lone school in the Amarillo media market. They've already lost one of the major rivals (ACU) to D1, if Tarleton and Angelo made the jump WT would like to attempt to go with them.
If those 3 moved up, that leaves 4 schools in the league. TAMU-Commerce, TAMU-Kingsville, Eastern New Mexico, and Midwestern State. That leaves those 4 with a choice, ramp up or get left behind.
Eastern New Mexico is close enough to the RMAC schools that they could probably find a home
Midwestern State is on the Oklahoma border. It has 3000 students and a $4m budget. If the Lone Star dissolved they might be able to find a home in the Great American Conference (Oklahoma/Arkansas schools).
Texas A&M Commerce just revamped their stadium and arena, they are riding high on their recent football success and their location (just outside of Dallas). They have a $7m budget.
The question would they move up to keep pace with Tarleton/Angelo/WT and play OOC against nearby SFA and Sam Houston or look at staying at D2 in the Great American Conference. Like Midwestern, they are close to the GAC schools and were division mates with Oklahoma schools during the LSC-North Days.
Texas A&M Kingsville is the only with an issue. They have a stellar history but their budget isn't great ($5M) and their location doesn't make them a fit for any other D2 conferences. The southland already has two south Texas schools (Incarnate Word and A&M-Corpus) so it is unlikely for them to take them. However, The WAC could be interested because they are close to UT-RGV and would give them a travel partner for Olympic sports.
Would Kingsville be willing to go the no-football DI route, to be UTRGV's travel partner?
Seems like UTRGV should move down, if anything.
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