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RE: Temple
(07-18-2013 03:32 PM)lumberpack4 Wrote: (07-18-2013 02:07 PM)Melky Cabrera Wrote: (07-18-2013 12:42 PM)lumberpack4 Wrote: Mr. Smith makes good points to counter the madness in this thread.
I'll add some more:
1. The ONLY three schools that have ANY chance of gaining an ACC invite have to be able to get the votes of 12 of the 15 school presidents and chancellors. That means any 4 can blackball your application.
2. Any addition to the ACC has to move the money meter in a huge way. The only schools that COULD do that for the ACC would be Ohio State, Penn State, Michigan, Alabama, Tennessee, LSU, Florida, and Texas. No one is leaving the SEC. The B10 took steps to retain Penn State by adding Rutgers and MD in an attempt to shore up their relationship with PSU. Who does that leave - only Texas.
3. Only Texas - keep that in mind.
4. Again - only Texas.
5. UNC, UVa, Wake, and Duke, have a lot of professional and cultural connections to Villanova - none of these four will cut Nova's throat in favor of Temple. Do the math.
6. The ACC would better off dumping money into Stoneybrook's FCS team on Long Island, or cajoling St. John's into starting a program, or even attempting to get the University of Toronto to join the NCAA, than to add Temple to the ACC.
7. The ACC does not make dumb decisions. The took a weak hand back in the 1990's and have over the course of the last two decades, ensured itself a spot at the top - not bad for a conference that in 1990 only consisted of MD, UVA, Wake, Duke, UNC, NC State, Clemson and GT.
Nice analysis. Let me quibble with a few points if you don't mind.
Regarding #2, do you really think that the B1G added Rutgers and Maryland as steps to retain Penn State? Seriously? Penn State wasn't going anywhere and the B1G knew that.
The importance of that is that the B1G added Rutgers and Maryland for another reason and it wasn't for their stellar athletic programs. It wasn't for their markets.
If markets moved the B1G into Nj and MD, the same principle could move the ACC into Philadelphia. It isn't whether the individual new member can add enough value by themselves. The analysis by the conferences is more complex than that. What they want to know is whether the conference as a whole can generate an increase in revenue by being introduced into a new market.
What's in Temple's favor? As much as Philly is a pro town for football and baseball, it's a great college basketball town. The ACC is a big time college basketball conference. As much as some want to believe that all decisions come down to football, the ACC makes a lot of its money from basketball. If their analysis leads them to believe that they can increase their revenues from the combination of basketball and football in Philly, then they will seriously consider it.
Another factor is that the ACC apparently has interest in moving its postseason basketball tournament into New York City. Possibly Madison Square Garden. Currently the ACC doesn't have a member within 200 miles of NYC. Temple doesn't give the ACC a presence in NY, but it does give them a presence less than 100 miles away. There's some advantage to that for the conference if it is serious about MSG.
Regarding point #5, I don't buy for a second that any ACC members have the slightest qualm about pursuing the conference's best interests if that means injuring Villanova in some way. No way do Villanova's interests calculate in their decision making at all.
Regarding #6 and #7, exactly the same things could have been said about the B1G adding Rutgers. But they did. Or about the Pac XII adding Utah. But they did. Or about the Big XII adding West Virginia. But they did.
Sometimes the conferences have a game plan that's not obvious to the outsider. I'm not predicting that the ACC will add Temple. I think they won't. But if they did, I wouldn't be shocked.
Yes, the B10 was afraid. And several of their folks stated so. They pissed PSU off with the additional sanctions and there are other issues that are cultural in play. The Maryland and NJ markets are okay markets but they are already saturated with pro teams. That was Maryland's problem sandwiched between 8 NFL, NHL, MLB and NBA teams within 50 miles. I'm not saying the B10 will be losing money adding MD and Rutgers, but they wont gain big money as the ACC has with it's additions. Even the B10's revenue model may not survive ala carte.
Look, Temple is not an ACC-type school. They barely have an endowment - it's in the $200,000,000 range. That's smaller than ACC's schools campaigns. The ACC office and some of the schools have specific and long standing reasons to hate Philly and avoid Philly. The reasons have NOTHING to do with Temple. The reasons have to do with the unsavory side of Philly and that side bit UNC and NC State a number of decades ago and it's not forgotten.
The ACC's institutional memory is ancient and it's older than the ACC itself, it goes back to the begining of the Southern Conference in 1921, it remembers why the SEC left in 1933 and why the ACC had to leave in 1953. You can't get into the ACC with more than 3 blackballs. UNC, UVa, VT, NC State, Wake and Duke will not vote for Temple on reasons that have very little to do with Temple. FSU and Clemson will not vote to add Temple to their football schedule. It's that simple. The votes are not there.
There are 12 votes in the ACC to add just two schools - Texas and Penn State, and there will be 12 votes in the near or distant future. NO one else has 12 votes.
I have no idea what supposed incident you are talking about but absolutely no one will vote against a school because of something that happened in a city decades ago. You seem to have personal animus against Temple and Philadelphia which is fine but it's clearly clouding your judgment. Philadelphia is one of the great cities in the whole country with one of the best downtowns and has the 4th biggest media market in the country. If the Ivy League can deal with Philadelphia, I'm pretty sure the ACC can stoop down to its level.
A few other things: ACC schools have zero connection with Villanova. Villanova is a small, regional catholic school that has almost nothing in common with national universities like Duke and UVA (it's not even in the national university rankings). It's more like Holy Cross or Providence. To say the ACC schools would block Temple because of Villanova is laughable.
Second, Temple is a good school that is higher ranked than many of the other candidates including Cincy, West Virginia, and recently admitted Louisville. It also very good grad programs including the 56th ranked law school in the country, 51st best medical school, 58th ranked business school etc. It may be left out for other things but it will not be left out because of its academics.
All that said, I don't think they're getting an invite any time soon because their football program has sucked for so long but some of the things you are saying make absolutely no sense. Just to note, this is coming from someone that has zero connection to either school.
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