frogman Wrote:Been doing some reading on the BTN. Apparently, ESPN gets something like the first and second choice of what games to air, the BTN takes the rest. But if you want to watch Northwestern play Northeastern, you probably want to join the network.
Yes. ABC/ESPN is 'paying' the Big Ten $100 million annually for the next 10 years for the privilege of the agreed upon pecking order. Although, it is my understanding, half of that is really 'play' money.
As for your point about Northwestern playing Northeastern, it really is more than that. Unless you're ND, all of your favorite teams games are not going to be on a national broadcast network whether that be ABC/CBS/NBC/FOX or ESPN/ESPN2. A good number of them, even for the likes of Wisconsin and Iowa were being shown on Big Ten Regional or through ESPN Gameplan.
I currently shell out $99.00 for Gameplan and then an additional fee starting in December for ESPN Full Court - mainly for Syracuse away football games, Syracuse bb games, then Big East games (both fb and bb), then other games from other conferences that I might be interested in.
Believe me, I'd much rather be charged less than $20 annually for the privilege of having any game available to me from any of the 6 BCS conferences on basic cable while still getting to see the 'pre-determined' games of national interest on ESPN or one of the broadcast networks than paying ABC/ESPN a king's ransom for that privilege.
Now, I'm quite sure there are many more that would not be willing to pay that amount. But, for me, that's their problem. I'm not too keen about paying almost $26 annually for YES, not to mention paying whatever I am paying for the Golf Channel, the Food Network, the Shopping Network, Bravo, Lifetime and more than two dozen other channels I never watch. And to those who enjoy those channels, I'm sure they feel that's MY problem.
Quote:In addition, they are looking at 20 million cable subscribers currently in their footprint. Or $260 million, providing everyone joins the network. No presale figures have been released. Wonder why?
Likely because at this point in time they realize without Comcast, Time Warner, and Dish TV on board, they don't have even a third of the subscribers in their states receiving the BTN as launch date approaches. Good estimate on the amounts if they did have everyone on board. I have it as a little less than 22 million subscribers in their current region and if all within it were paying the $13.20 annually the BigTen/FOX would gross close to $290 million to be split in half between the two.
Quote:Anyways, the potential money is off the chain- I have to admit.
The amount of $$$ is insane.
Quote:But what stops the Big East from forming the Big east Network in it's region that already has more than 20 million cable subscribers in its footprint.
Quote:How long will it take to set up a BENetwork in the northeast. This is why the BE targets Maryland and BC (Benedict College). No need for Rutgers to leave if we're doing the same deal. We'll have twice the money of the BTN footprint easily.
I'll address these two points together.
First, no conference can do it until their current TV contracts run out.
In terms of negotiated conference contracts, the order would be:
Big Ten (already negotiated and set to launch with 2007-08 season)
SEC (current contract ends with 2008-09 season)
ACC (current contract ends with 2010-11 season)
Pac-10 (current contract ends with 2011-12 season)
Big East (current contract ends with 2012-13 season)*
Big 12 (current contract ends with 2015-16 season)
*Note: The BEast could possibly jump ahead of ACC and follow the SEC if a split or significant conference re-shuffling were to occur.
More importantly than the above, for conference networks to have any hope of coming to fruition, the Big Ten and the SEC have to be the first two conferences to pull it off successfully. Let's face it, they are the top two conferences in terms of perception. The Big East, perception wise, still isn't even on some people's radar for developing its own network.
It's the reason why the Comcast spokesman can state with impunity that 5 Conference Networks would cost subscribers $1.5 billion annually. You can bet the conference not included in that figure is the Big East.
The main reason this perception persists for the Big East remains that the sport that is pushing this trend is football, and for its region, the two most popular college football programs do not play that sport in that conference.
Lastly, even including all of Pennsylvania (something that would be an extreme stretch without Penn State), the number of cable subscribers in the Big East region (all of New England and the mid-Atlantic states of NY,NJ, and PA) are slightly less than the Big Ten with PA. So the $$$ is potentially greater there, especially when adding a twelfth member.
How the BEast is different from the Big Ten is it has shown in the past the willingness to grant privileges to 'special' programs if it is a matter of survival. So, while the money is indeed insane (assuming a successful BTN and SEC Network get up and running the next two years), for the BEast, it doesn't necessarily have to be evenly distributed. Perhaps a portion of it could be used to try and lure one, two, or maybe even three of these 'special' programs into (or back into) the conference.
Of course, the athletics money is only part of the issues. There are other institutional concerns that would need to be addressed to make the league attractive enough to get these programs to at least consider joining (re-joining) - but without the $$$, the conversation isn't even going to get started.
Again, a Big East Network is going to need either Penn State or Notre Dame (preferably both) to even have a chance at launching.
Quote:Once again the big loser becomes the ACC. Why, Because they are fighting the southeast market with the SEC. The BE has a lock on the the north east if we can keep the Big10 and the ACC out of our pockets. And we can by taking back what's ours. The talk should not be of expanding, it should be of forming the BE Network and then going after BC and maryland and UCF to keep USF happy.
If the BTN and SEC Networks are successful within the next two years, then I believe it will be a dogfight between the Big East and the ACC for East Coast supremacy.
But don't count Swofford and the ACC out. They are already in an all-sports conference and have the edge in terms of perception and academic prestige.
The original plan was a good one. Virginia and North Carolina politics screwed the pooch slightly, but not necessarily irrevocably. But they will have some tough, hard decisions ahead of them. And after the last go-round, I'm not sure they are capable of making them.
Of course the BEast has a different problem. Will they 'see' the changes coming and be proactive (whether it proves successful or not) - or will they remain inert and tell us how they were blind-sided again?
Time will tell.
Cheers,
Neil