(09-22-2024 06:04 PM)green Wrote:  

(09-22-2024 04:07 PM)Native Georgian Wrote:  I still think Trump has the inside track.

I would honestly be shocked if he lost North Carolina, Georgia, or Arizona. Those 3, plus all other states he got in 2020, would put him at 262.

So then it boils down to the same 3 “Big Ten states” as ’16 and ’20 — Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. Harris would have to sweep all 3; Trump would only need one, and it wouldn’t matter which one. I like his chances.

excellent analysis ...
nv/ne-2 or va do the trick ...
yes, virginia, there is a santa claus ...
I'll just add ...
if you're ahead in homestretch ...
funny way of showing it ...
self-labeling as underdog ...
pleading for another debate ...
running from your record ...
by pretending to be someone else ...

WHY WHY WHY

https://twitter.com/TheInsiderPaper/stat...5813087655

SHOCKED TO FIND GAMBLING GOING ON HERE

(09-23-2024 06:41 AM)green Wrote:  

(09-22-2024 04:07 PM)Native Georgian Wrote:  I would honestly be shocked if he lost North Carolina, Georgia, or Arizona. Those 3, plus all other states he got in 2020, would put him at 262

Sounds about right to me.

I know — here in metro Atlanta — there are lots of Biden ’20 voters who are not voting for Harris this time. Wait until the final returns are in and we can all compare.

(09-23-2024 08:41 AM)Native Georgian Wrote:  

(09-23-2024 06:41 AM)green Wrote:  

(09-22-2024 04:07 PM)Native Georgian Wrote:  I would honestly be shocked if he lost North Carolina, Georgia, or Arizona. Those 3, plus all other states he got in 2020, would put him at 262

Sounds about right to me.

I know — here in metro Atlanta — there are lots of Biden ’20 voters who are not voting for Harris this time. Wait until the final returns are in and we can all compare.

What you say is proven in the NYTimes/Sienna poll. Those polled in GA, which shows Trump over Kamala 49%-45% voted Biden 52%-45% over Trump in 2020. THAT is the type of numbers the Harris camp are seeing. The poll oversampled 2020 Biden voters by nearly 7 points and STILL shows Trump favored over Kamala by 4. That is an 11 point difference from the last election. HUGE.