(08-13-2024 02:48 PM)Gamenole Wrote: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/poli...770114007/
Interesting new poll out of Florida, which could reshape the electoral map if the Sunshine State is truly ready to regain its status as the most important swing state of all. Even if Trump prevails in November, a closer election may have important downballot implications for the Scott vs. Murcasel-Powell Senate race and multiple House races.
Here's the difference between why Florida is less likely to become a swing state than Texas. (yes I could see Texas becoming a swing state sooner).
When New Yorkers move to Florida.. they move to get AWAY from Liberal Policies, typically. They tend to NOT try to bring their policies with them,
they've learned how bad Communism is.
When Californians move to the liberal enclaves in Texas, they try to bring their even-more liberal policies with them, because typically they're moving to try to get BACk with the company that left California to go to Texas,
because they haven't learned how bad Communism is.. they just think it needs to be refined to work still.
This is why for instance why Colorado went from a regularly red state to Blue. Californians moved there, and as there were no liberal "enclaves" in which to hide (except maybe Aspen, remember denver used to be a moderate red city), they moved out into the smaller public and changed more, faster.
Thankfully Texas still has a larger population of conservatives, so liberals still have larger numbers to make their liberal enclaves LARGER than the general population. Which will take longer, but communists are okay with the "long game".
Why do you think Democratic mayors made their cities Sanctuary cities? Not because they wanted to help.. . They want enough numbers to "engulf" the rest of their state (aka, Illinois.. you've got Chicago and one other liberal enclave, but that's enough to make the entire state a Democratic state)
But back to the original point. will there be outlier years in Florida? Yep, I can see an occasional Democrat win for Florida, but I don't think it's as often as pollsters say.
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