something hopeful to ponder, transative property-wise (this post's for you OATM):

Rice > Houston > WVU > Pitt > Louisville > ND > USC



oops! Loki beat me to it:

(10-20-2023 03:31 PM)loki_the_bubba Wrote:  Rice > Houston > WVU > Pitt > Louisville > Notre Dame

Rice > Houston > WVU > Pitt > Louisville > Georgia Tech > Miami FL > Texas A&M

and even better:

(10-23-2023 08:22 AM)loki_the_bubba Wrote:  Rice > Houston > UTSA > UAB > South Florida > Rice

well done, sir!


let's see: Rice < Texas > Alabama > Ole Miss > Tulane, therefore, Rice < Tulane. Rats!

(10-23-2023 04:39 PM)GoodOwl Wrote:  something hopeful to ponder, transative property-wise (this post's for you OATM):

Rice > Houston > WVU > Pitt > Louisville > ND > USC



oops! Loki beat me to it:

(10-20-2023 03:31 PM)loki_the_bubba Wrote:  Rice > Houston > WVU > Pitt > Louisville > Notre Dame

Rice > Houston > WVU > Pitt > Louisville > Georgia Tech > Miami FL > Texas A&M

and even better:

(10-23-2023 08:22 AM)loki_the_bubba Wrote:  Rice > Houston > UTSA > UAB > South Florida > Rice

well done, sir!


let's see: Rice < Texas > Alabama > Ole Miss > Tulane, therefore, Rice < Tulane. Rats!

I dunno bout the transitive property, but I will break out DeMorgan’s Law if I need to.

and even better:

(10-23-2023 08:22 AM)loki_the_bubba Wrote:  Rice > Houston > UTSA > UAB > South Florida > Rice

That must be Schrödinger's owl!

(10-23-2023 11:02 AM)OptimisticOwl Wrote:  

(10-22-2023 07:09 PM)ExcitedOwl18 Wrote:  Rice +12.5, O/U 55 on my book to open. Implies a 34-21 Tulane victory, or thereabouts.

Now Rice + 11.5.

I'll take Rice and the over.

ESPN now showing Rice +10.5 with the O/U at 54.5. By no means an expert in wagering, but doesn’t this mean more bettors are taking the Owls plus the points?

(10-25-2023 03:54 PM)Tomball Owl Wrote:  

(10-23-2023 11:02 AM)OptimisticOwl Wrote:  

(10-22-2023 07:09 PM)ExcitedOwl18 Wrote:  Rice +12.5, O/U 55 on my book to open. Implies a 34-21 Tulane victory, or thereabouts.

Now Rice + 11.5.

I'll take Rice and the over.

ESPN now showing Rice +10.5 with the O/U at 54.5. By no means an expert in wagering, but doesn’t this mean more bettors are taking the Owls plus the points?

For a game like Rice vs. Tulane, yes. The books will try to stimulate equal action on both sides of the line and profit no matter the result.

For games with bigger action where the book thinks they might have an edge vs. the general population, they might hold the line even when bettors are heavily on one side. Obviously this has risk-but also reward.

(10-25-2023 04:57 PM)ExcitedOwl18 Wrote:  

(10-25-2023 03:54 PM)Tomball Owl Wrote:  

(10-23-2023 11:02 AM)OptimisticOwl Wrote:  

(10-22-2023 07:09 PM)ExcitedOwl18 Wrote:  Rice +12.5, O/U 55 on my book to open. Implies a 34-21 Tulane victory, or thereabouts.

Now Rice + 11.5.
I'll take Rice and the over.

ESPN now showing Rice +10.5 with the O/U at 54.5. By no means an expert in wagering, but doesn’t this mean more bettors are taking the Owls plus the points?

For a game like Rice vs. Tulane, yes. The books will try to stimulate equal action on both sides of the line and profit no matter the result.
For games with bigger action where the book thinks they might have an edge vs. the general population, they might hold the line even when bettors are heavily on one side. Obviously this has risk-but also reward.

Unfortunately, I have seen several analyses over the years suggesting that when the line moves one way, the other way is the better bet.

(10-25-2023 06:59 PM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote:  

(10-25-2023 04:57 PM)ExcitedOwl18 Wrote:  

(10-25-2023 03:54 PM)Tomball Owl Wrote:  

(10-23-2023 11:02 AM)OptimisticOwl Wrote:  

(10-22-2023 07:09 PM)ExcitedOwl18 Wrote:  Rice +12.5, O/U 55 on my book to open. Implies a 34-21 Tulane victory, or thereabouts.

Now Rice + 11.5.
I'll take Rice and the over.

ESPN now showing Rice +10.5 with the O/U at 54.5. By no means an expert in wagering, but doesn’t this mean more bettors are taking the Owls plus the points?

For a game like Rice vs. Tulane, yes. The books will try to stimulate equal action on both sides of the line and profit no matter the result.
For games with bigger action where the book thinks they might have an edge vs. the general population, they might hold the line even when bettors are heavily on one side. Obviously this has risk-but also reward.

Unfortunately, I have seen several analyses over the years suggesting that when the line moves one way, the other way is the better bet.

Nice to at least be popular though

(10-25-2023 06:59 PM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote:  

(10-25-2023 04:57 PM)ExcitedOwl18 Wrote:  

(10-25-2023 03:54 PM)Tomball Owl Wrote:  

(10-23-2023 11:02 AM)OptimisticOwl Wrote:  

(10-22-2023 07:09 PM)ExcitedOwl18 Wrote:  Rice +12.5, O/U 55 on my book to open. Implies a 34-21 Tulane victory, or thereabouts.

Now Rice + 11.5.
I'll take Rice and the over.

ESPN now showing Rice +10.5 with the O/U at 54.5. By no means an expert in wagering, but doesn’t this mean more bettors are taking the Owls plus the points?

For a game like Rice vs. Tulane, yes. The books will try to stimulate equal action on both sides of the line and profit no matter the result.
For games with bigger action where the book thinks they might have an edge vs. the general population, they might hold the line even when bettors are heavily on one side. Obviously this has risk-but also reward.

Unfortunately, I have seen several analyses over the years suggesting that when the line moves one way, the other way is the better bet.

Kind of a commentary on the ignorance of the average football bettor, since that is who moves the lines.

Just saw KPRC at a practice, with preview of the Tulane game and comments by Bloomgren. Bloomgren said Rice expects a big crowd Saturday.

Happy to share a conference with y'all again, and hope for a great game tomorrow!

Roll Wave!

(10-27-2023 04:39 PM)Sophandros Wrote:  Happy to share a conference with y'all again, and hope for a great game tomorrow!

Roll Wave!

Hell yeah man! It'll be a great game! Love the rivalry!

(10-27-2023 04:39 PM)Sophandros Wrote:  Happy to share a conference with y'all again, and hope for a great game tomorrow!

Roll Wave!

Wait what? We made the Premier League?! Sweet!

(10-26-2023 06:31 PM)ESE84 Wrote:  Just saw KPRC at a practice, with preview of the Tulane game and comments by Bloomgren. Bloomgren said Rice expects a big crowd Saturday.

Maybe 13k real fans

(10-25-2023 03:54 PM)Tomball Owl Wrote:  

(10-23-2023 11:02 AM)OptimisticOwl Wrote:  

(10-22-2023 07:09 PM)ExcitedOwl18 Wrote:  Rice +12.5, O/U 55 on my book to open. Implies a 34-21 Tulane victory, or thereabouts.

Now Rice + 11.5.

I'll take Rice and the over.

ESPN now showing Rice +10.5 with the O/U at 54.5. By no means an expert in wagering, but doesn’t this mean more bettors are taking the Owls plus the points?

Now Rice +10

I can get Rice O 10.5 first half pts at -102 on BetRivers. Tempting!

Predictions (because I am so good at this)

Rice 42, Tulane 31.

(10-27-2023 10:31 PM)Ourland Wrote:  

(10-26-2023 06:31 PM)ESE84 Wrote:  Just saw KPRC at a practice, with preview of the Tulane game and comments by Bloomgren. Bloomgren said Rice expects a big crowd Saturday.

Maybe 13k real fans

I think we definitely have more fans in the seats this year, but Rice is probably announcing attendance as tickets sold/distributed.

Looking forward to a big crowd today.

(10-28-2023 01:05 PM)ESE84 Wrote:  

(10-27-2023 10:31 PM)Ourland Wrote:  

(10-26-2023 06:31 PM)ESE84 Wrote:  Just saw KPRC at a practice, with preview of the Tulane game and comments by Bloomgren. Bloomgren said Rice expects a big crowd Saturday.

Maybe 13k real fans

I think we definitely have more fans in the seats this year, but Rice is probably announcing attendance as tickets sold/distributed.

Looking forward to a big crowd today.

EVERYBODY-- all college and all pro teams-- report attendance as tickets sold/distributed. Nothing new there.

Just looking back over the season and thinking, if Rice were well coached, the record would be 6-1 instead of 4-3.

1st play for Tulane goes 40+ yds straight up the middle.

Owls’ defense stiffens and forces a FG. 0-3.