The unofficial online home for fans of the UAB Blazers. Part of Collegiate Sports Nation (CSN).

(12-06-2021 04:56 PM)Marathon Blazer Wrote:  

(12-06-2021 02:35 PM)WesternBlazer Wrote:  

(12-06-2021 02:22 PM)DuelingDragon Wrote:  Amazing what just a couple of upgrades in the schedule can do.
But my question is whether that's the highest mark we can get to this season ...

Will take a hit when we get into conference play...

35 UAB
96 Louisiana Tech
104 North Texas
116 Middle Tenn.
150 FIU
185 Western Ky
193 Marshall
199 Rice
201 Charlotte
226 Fla. Atlantic
232 UTEP
241 Old Dominion
313 UTSA
315 Southern Miss

For comparison, thanks to @TulsaHop:

AAC 2.0 NET rankings
UAB 35
Memphis 65
Wichita 66
UNT 104
SMU 131
ECU 144
Temple 183
Tulane 186
Rice 199
Charlotte 201
Tulsa 216
FAU 226
USF 279
UTSA 313

Ouch. This is, uhhh, only marginally better

(12-06-2021 03:58 PM)demiveeman Wrote:  

(12-06-2021 03:27 PM)DuelingDragon Wrote:  Old Dominion and UTEP shouldn’t be so low.

To be fair, I don't think we should be so high.

Agreed.

(12-06-2021 04:58 PM)Engblazr Wrote:  

(12-06-2021 04:56 PM)Marathon Blazer Wrote:  

(12-06-2021 02:35 PM)WesternBlazer Wrote:  

(12-06-2021 02:22 PM)DuelingDragon Wrote:  Amazing what just a couple of upgrades in the schedule can do.
But my question is whether that's the highest mark we can get to this season ...

Will take a hit when we get into conference play...

35 UAB
96 Louisiana Tech
104 North Texas
116 Middle Tenn.
150 FIU
185 Western Ky
193 Marshall
199 Rice
201 Charlotte
226 Fla. Atlantic
232 UTEP
241 Old Dominion
313 UTSA
315 Southern Miss

For comparison, thanks to @TulsaHop:

AAC 2.0 NET rankings
UAB 35
Memphis 65
Wichita 66
UNT 104
SMU 131
ECU 144
Temple 183
Tulane 186
Rice 199
Charlotte 201
Tulsa 216
FAU 226
USF 279
UTSA 313

Ouch. This is, uhhh, only marginally better

Average is 186 (current conference) vs 167 (future conference)

(12-06-2021 04:58 PM)Engblazr Wrote:  

(12-06-2021 04:56 PM)Marathon Blazer Wrote:  

(12-06-2021 02:35 PM)WesternBlazer Wrote:  

(12-06-2021 02:22 PM)DuelingDragon Wrote:  Amazing what just a couple of upgrades in the schedule can do.
But my question is whether that's the highest mark we can get to this season ...

Will take a hit when we get into conference play...

35 UAB
96 Louisiana Tech
104 North Texas
116 Middle Tenn.
150 FIU
185 Western Ky
193 Marshall
199 Rice
201 Charlotte
226 Fla. Atlantic
232 UTEP
241 Old Dominion
313 UTSA
315 Southern Miss

For comparison, thanks to @TulsaHop:

AAC 2.0 NET rankings
UAB 35
Memphis 65
Wichita 66
UNT 104
SMU 131
ECU 144
Temple 183
Tulane 186
Rice 199
Charlotte 201
Tulsa 216
FAU 226
USF 279
UTSA 313

Ouch. This is, uhhh, only marginally better

It's a flawed look at it though. It's based on what those teams rating would be in C-USA. The variables would change in the AAC 2.0. I don't know how different it would be, but it would be different. For instance, strength of schedule would be better in the AAC and since (right now) it's pretty self-referential, that's an important variable that cascades through the ratings. That's just one of those types of variables that are factored into the NET rankings.

(12-06-2021 05:47 PM)demiveeman Wrote:  

(12-06-2021 04:58 PM)Engblazr Wrote:  

(12-06-2021 04:56 PM)Marathon Blazer Wrote:  

(12-06-2021 02:35 PM)WesternBlazer Wrote:  

(12-06-2021 02:22 PM)DuelingDragon Wrote:  Amazing what just a couple of upgrades in the schedule can do.
But my question is whether that's the highest mark we can get to this season ...

Will take a hit when we get into conference play...

35 UAB
96 Louisiana Tech
104 North Texas
116 Middle Tenn.
150 FIU
185 Western Ky
193 Marshall
199 Rice
201 Charlotte
226 Fla. Atlantic
232 UTEP
241 Old Dominion
313 UTSA
315 Southern Miss

For comparison, thanks to @TulsaHop:

AAC 2.0 NET rankings
UAB 35
Memphis 65
Wichita 66
UNT 104
SMU 131
ECU 144
Temple 183
Tulane 186
Rice 199
Charlotte 201
Tulsa 216
FAU 226
USF 279
UTSA 313

Ouch. This is, uhhh, only marginally better

It's a flawed look at it though. It's based on what those teams rating would be in C-USA. The variables would change in the AAC 2.0. I don't know how different it would be, but it would be different. For instance, strength of schedule would be better in the AAC and since (right now) it's pretty self-referential, that's an important variable that cascades through the ratings.

Those schools will take a hit losing top 60 Houston, Cincinnati, and UCF though, by that logic. This league isn’t looking like much of an upgrade until UTSA and FAU pull it together

(12-06-2021 05:49 PM)Engblazr Wrote:  

(12-06-2021 05:47 PM)demiveeman Wrote:  

(12-06-2021 04:58 PM)Engblazr Wrote:  

(12-06-2021 04:56 PM)Marathon Blazer Wrote:  

(12-06-2021 02:35 PM)WesternBlazer Wrote:  Will take a hit when we get into conference play...

35 UAB
96 Louisiana Tech
104 North Texas
116 Middle Tenn.
150 FIU
185 Western Ky
193 Marshall
199 Rice
201 Charlotte
226 Fla. Atlantic
232 UTEP
241 Old Dominion
313 UTSA
315 Southern Miss

For comparison, thanks to @TulsaHop:

AAC 2.0 NET rankings
UAB 35
Memphis 65
Wichita 66
UNT 104
SMU 131
ECU 144
Temple 183
Tulane 186
Rice 199
Charlotte 201
Tulsa 216
FAU 226
USF 279
UTSA 313

Ouch. This is, uhhh, only marginally better

It's a flawed look at it though. It's based on what those teams rating would be in C-USA. The variables would change in the AAC 2.0. I don't know how different it would be, but it would be different. For instance, strength of schedule would be better in the AAC and since (right now) it's pretty self-referential, that's an important variable that cascades through the ratings.

Those schools will take a hit losing top 60 Houston, Cincinnati, and UCF though, by that logic.

Of course, only further supports what I was saying.

(12-06-2021 02:35 PM)WesternBlazer Wrote:  

(12-06-2021 02:22 PM)DuelingDragon Wrote:  Amazing what just a couple of upgrades in the schedule can do.
But my question is whether that's the highest mark we can get to this season ...

Will take a hit when we get into conference play...

35 UAB
96 Louisiana Tech
104 North Texas
116 Middle Tenn.
150 FIU
185 Western Ky
193 Marshall
199 Rice
201 Charlotte
226 Fla. Atlantic
232 UTEP
241 Old Dominion
313 UTSA
315 Southern Miss

Almost halfway through conference schedule 7/18 games, and UAB is 37 with UNT and LaTech also making significant improvements.

If we hop above 30, which likely will not happen without some good chaos above, that’ll give Rice and South Carolina Quad 1 wins, and UNT and LaTech a Q1 loss instead of Q2 loss. Will that cause the algorithm to adjust all of us higher?

(01-23-2022 11:35 AM)Engblazr Wrote:  

(12-06-2021 02:35 PM)WesternBlazer Wrote:  

(12-06-2021 02:22 PM)DuelingDragon Wrote:  Amazing what just a couple of upgrades in the schedule can do.
But my question is whether that's the highest mark we can get to this season ...

Will take a hit when we get into conference play...

35 UAB
96 Louisiana Tech
104 North Texas
116 Middle Tenn.
150 FIU
185 Western Ky
193 Marshall
199 Rice
201 Charlotte
226 Fla. Atlantic
232 UTEP
241 Old Dominion
313 UTSA
315 Southern Miss

Almost halfway through conference schedule 7/18 games, and UAB is 37 with UNT and LaTech also making significant improvements.

If we hop above 30, which likely will not happen without some good chaos above, that’ll give Rice and South Carolina Quad 1 wins, and UNT and LaTech a Q1 loss instead of Q2 loss. Will that cause the algorithm to adjust all of us higher?

I think that would be correct. But we really need Saint Louis to keep winning. Their 72 so 3 spots away from falling out of a quad 1 for us.

It's a long shot, but it would also help if Rice can go on a decent run and potentially move out of being a quad 3 loss for us. They're 164 and would need to be 135 for it to become a quad 2 loss.

(01-23-2022 11:48 AM)hooverblazer Wrote:  

(01-23-2022 11:35 AM)Engblazr Wrote:  

(12-06-2021 02:35 PM)WesternBlazer Wrote:  

(12-06-2021 02:22 PM)DuelingDragon Wrote:  Amazing what just a couple of upgrades in the schedule can do.
But my question is whether that's the highest mark we can get to this season ...

Will take a hit when we get into conference play...

35 UAB
96 Louisiana Tech
104 North Texas
116 Middle Tenn.
150 FIU
185 Western Ky
193 Marshall
199 Rice
201 Charlotte
226 Fla. Atlantic
232 UTEP
241 Old Dominion
313 UTSA
315 Southern Miss

Almost halfway through conference schedule 7/18 games, and UAB is 37 with UNT and LaTech also making significant improvements.

If we hop above 30, which likely will not happen without some good chaos above, that’ll give Rice and South Carolina Quad 1 wins, and UNT and LaTech a Q1 loss instead of Q2 loss. Will that cause the algorithm to adjust all of us higher?

I think that would be correct. But we really need Saint Louis to keep winning. Their 72 so 3 spots away from falling out of a quad 1 for us.

It's a long shot, but it would also help if Rice can go on a decent run and potentially move out of being a quad 3 loss for us. They're 164 and would need to be 135 for it to become a quad 2 loss.

Agreed but at the same time, LaTech keeps winning and they are a Q1 for us