(11-08-2021 12:32 PM)Frank the Tank Wrote: (11-08-2021 11:27 AM)johnbragg Wrote: (11-08-2021 10:40 AM)Frank the Tank Wrote: The MAC has leverage, but that doesn't mean that it can just throw out bad faith proposals and expect to get anywhere. That's why I don't buy the GoR rumor discussed in another thread.
I disagree that the MAC proposing a GOR for MTSU and WKU is insulting. It's a reflection of the reality of the situation.
In some thread, CSNBBS posters joked with youtube links.
MTSU, WKU: "Should I Stay Or Should I Go Now"
MAC: "Will You Love Me Forever?" (From MEatloaf PAradise by the Dashboard Light)
Middle Tennessee and Western Kentucky are, relative to the MAC schools, serious flight risks. And the MAC schools have been on this merry-go-round with Marshall and UCF and Temple and UMass.
If the MAC isn't MTSU and WKU's destination conference, then it's not a worthwhile move for the MAC to make. The MAC is just fine without them.
Minor point: I can't imagine that it would be a GOR just for Middle Tennessee and Western Kentucky, it would be a MAC-wide GOR, either for the length of a new ESPN deal or just for 15 or 20 years to protect the MAC. But as I said in some other thread, if me and you and Brad Pitt sign a pledge not to bed any Oscar-winning actresses in the next five years, it's equal on paper but Brad Pitt is the only one making any kind of concession.
I guess I'm not understanding the concern about WKU and MTSU being flight risks any more than anyone else in the MAC
Because nobody (else) in the MAC has anywhere to go. The 12 MAC schools have been together for 20+ years. 9 of the 12 MAC schools have been there since 1973.
The Big Ten ain't calling. The ACC ain't calling. The SEC ain't calling. The American might call Buffalo, maybe, but the AAC isn't what it was a year or two ago. Who knows what happens to the Big 12 in another 10 years, but if they're reduced to calling MAC schools, then are they worth jumping to?
The MAC schools are who they are, they are what they are. They're stable. You understood this when it was the C7, why is it hard to understand when it's Miami-O and Western Michigan? The current MAC schools are off the conference realignment merry-go-round. I know that you believe that the merry-go-round is about to stop for 20-30 years, but that's not something the MAC schools can bank on.
Adding schools means getting back on that merry-go-round. Unless you have pretty ironclad commitments that the new schools aren't going anywhere else.
Quote:or G5 in general. Neither of those schools fit the profile of the AAC, so that's not a realistic option.
The AAC has changed a lot in a short time. Who's to say that they don't change again? And two FBS schools in southern states, not too far from a top 30 city? That's a stone's throw from "the AAC profile."
Quote:Maybe the Sun Belt would be interested eventually in them, but that's a lateral move at best.
But in 5 years, if the Sun Belt is ranked above the MAC? MT and WKU might listen to a Sun Belt offer. Miami-O, Ball State, Toledo? They're not picking up the phone.
Quote:And even if the MAC is worried about WKU and MTSU being flight risks, there's a much simpler deterrent: raise the exit fees for them.
If an exit fee is big enough to be a deterrent to an otherwise-reasonable move, then it won't hold up in court. Exit fees can only be for "liquidated damages", not designed as a penalty.
Quote:That's a clear unambiguous way to achieve what the MAC wants *without* looking like they're going overboard.
Why is a Grant of Rights going overboard? A Grant of Rights is only a problem if you're looking to upgrade conferences. And if you're looking to upgrade conferences, the MAC doesn't need you.
EDIT: A Grant of Rights, which nominally applies to all 14 MAC schools, not just the newcomers, is a lot less "overboard" than the special exit fee clause the Big East imposed on UConn if they leave the Big East.
Quote:Maybe it's because I'm looking at this like a lawyer, but the GoR is one of those clauses that would be so insulting in this particular situation (e.g. we're not talking about a Big Ten invite) that I'd tell my client that it's not even worth talking to the other side. That's what I mean by a bad faith proposal - it's so insanely one-sided that the immediate reaction is that it's not even worth talking to the other party. Having leverage is one thing, but I strongly believe that even proposing a GoR would tank any type of deal and the MAC would reasonably know that here.
Middle Tennessee is looking at its 3rd conference move in 30 years if they go to the MAC. IF you've had 3 divorces, you can't complain too much if the family wants you to sign a prenup.
EDIT: And, an hour or two later, we get the tweet from McMurphy that Western Kentucky (which is very much not an AAC profile school) is ready and willing to sign with the MAC, while Middle Tennessee (who maybe sees themselves as a possible AAC-type school half-an-hour-from-a-big-airport) is hesitant.