(08-13-2021 05:11 PM)Wedge Wrote: I'll just leave this here so that all of our resident conspiracy theorists can freak out over nothing...
When some of the ostriches around here get their heads out of the sands of meaningless articles by beat writers and bloggers and psuedo personalities and actually look at what's happening in the world maybe they'll get some things right.
2009: Realignment is a hostile corporate takeover of college sports.
Response: Conspiracy Theory, Presidents are in control, yada yada yada.
Now: A fairly widely accepted premise.
2009-12: Market footprint models are just used by networks to split the major draws in large states which gives the networks more ad leverage over conferences. The real money is in content.
Response: You don't understand the market model.
Now: Content is not just king again, it was always king! Rutgers, Maryland, Missouri, etc.
2012: Major demographic shifts are coming which will result in massive downsizing in higher ed.
Response: Nonsense, conspiracy theory!
Now: Now it is evident, as is the demographic shift. Denial Wedge! Denial.
2009-Date: The SEC will expand with top brands, optimally Texas and Oklahoma
Response: Nonsense, Texas will never....., Oklahoma will never.....
Now: Fait Accompli While I am surprised we didn't have to take baggage to make it happen Texas had been in talks with the SEC since '87 and had remained in talks since and initially OU communicated through Texas until 2011 when Boren wanted an SEC with one slot with A&M in to take both OU and OSU so Missouri got the nod.
Lucky guess? Hardly I had family in the loop since 1987 and through 2012. There were just a crap load of fans who didn't want to believe it because nobody else was saying it.
Now This: The statements from Michigan and Minnesota are on record, as are the hard feelings over Warren's handling of COVID by several of the universities I listed as likely to take a different path. We are clearly going to have a bifurcated path moving past NIL and stipends. I see the Rose Bowl as a deliberate cart before the horse intended to test the resolve of the ESPN crowd's desire to leave the NCAA and to serve as an excuse to bifurcate the path moving forward. And how that can be denied in a nation becoming ever divided over all matters of culture is excessively obtuse.
But hey, I'm use to the howls of ridiculous, nonsense, and conspiracy only none of you who howl that have the guts to later admit you were wrong. I'm used to that as well.
So yet again, as I've said thousands of times, we'll see.
BTW a thread which is several year's old called "What if Texas..." laid out clearly their motives a few years ago. And, "Time, Monetary Disparity and Pressure clearly laid out the future dilemmas to be faced by the ACC.
Most of my value in my endeavors leading to my 2 retirements were centered around an ability to analyze data in real time and project future conditions. Of course like anyone I can be wrong, but sports is softball compared to business and politics and knowing the right people doesn't hurt either.
All of life is a conspiracy, it's just that not all of them are criminal, or bad in effect. We have a divergence of priorities in the P5 and compromise negatively impacts both visions. Sooner or later we diverge and hopefully both pathways thrive. We'll see!