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JP Morgan Election Analysis
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Billy_Bearcat Offline
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Post: #21
RE: JP Morgan Election Analysis
(10-16-2020 10:26 AM)EverRespect Wrote:  Looks like Trump has moved ahead in Michigan now.

How is that possible? Fox just said at the bottom of the hour that Biden leads in Michigan by 7. Did Trump score a TD and convert the 2pts?
10-16-2020 12:34 PM
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stinkfist Online
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Post: #22
RE: JP Morgan Election Analysis
(10-16-2020 12:34 PM)Billy_Bearcat Wrote:  
(10-16-2020 10:26 AM)EverRespect Wrote:  Looks like Trump has moved ahead in Michigan now.

How is that possible? Fox just said at the bottom of the hour that Biden leads in Michigan by 7. Did Trump score a TD and convert the 2pts?

good golly....more of #muhpoles....lmmfao

@neverTiring


2020 USA Presidential Election - Winning Party (All in)
200.00 / 250.00
[87002] Republican +125
Sport: Specials
Selection: Politics
Risk/Win: 200 / 250
Accepted: Aug 01, 2020 11:40 AM - Internet
Scheduled: Aug 03, 2020 9:00 AM
Ticket Number: 93524023
Outcome: Pending

2020 USA Presidential Election - Winning Party (All in)
300.00 / 315.00
[87002] Republican +105
Sport: Specials
Selection: Politics
Risk/Win: 300 / 315
Accepted: Jun 16, 2020 8:31 AM - Internet
Scheduled: Jun 22, 2020 9:00 AM
Ticket Number: 92497466
Outcome: Pending

Odds To Win - 2020 Presidential Election
450.00 / 300.00
[86596] Donald Trump -150
Sport: Specials
Selection: Politics
Risk/Win: 450 / 300
Accepted: Aug 11, 2019 5:26 PM - Internet
Scheduled: Aug 12, 2019 8:00 AM
Ticket Number: 76323394
Outcome: Pending
10-16-2020 12:38 PM
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GrayBeard Offline
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Post: #23
RE: JP Morgan Election Analysis
(10-16-2020 12:38 PM)stinkfist Wrote:  
(10-16-2020 12:34 PM)Billy_Bearcat Wrote:  
(10-16-2020 10:26 AM)EverRespect Wrote:  Looks like Trump has moved ahead in Michigan now.

How is that possible? Fox just said at the bottom of the hour that Biden leads in Michigan by 7. Did Trump score a TD and convert the 2pts?

good golly....more of #muhpoles....lmmfao

@neverTiring


2020 USA Presidential Election - Winning Party (All in)
200.00 / 250.00
[87002] Republican +125
Sport: Specials
Selection: Politics
Risk/Win: 200 / 250
Accepted: Aug 01, 2020 11:40 AM - Internet
Scheduled: Aug 03, 2020 9:00 AM
Ticket Number: 93524023
Outcome: Pending

2020 USA Presidential Election - Winning Party (All in)
300.00 / 315.00
[87002] Republican +105
Sport: Specials
Selection: Politics
Risk/Win: 300 / 315
Accepted: Jun 16, 2020 8:31 AM - Internet
Scheduled: Jun 22, 2020 9:00 AM
Ticket Number: 92497466
Outcome: Pending

Odds To Win - 2020 Presidential Election
450.00 / 300.00
[86596] Donald Trump -150
Sport: Specials
Selection: Politics
Risk/Win: 450 / 300
Accepted: Aug 11, 2019 5:26 PM - Internet
Scheduled: Aug 12, 2019 8:00 AM
Ticket Number: 76323394
Outcome: Pending


A'ight Stinky, you post this sort of thing all the time, and since I'm not a betting man, I have no idea what it means...can you fill a guy in?
10-16-2020 12:45 PM
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fsquid Offline
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Post: #24
RE: JP Morgan Election Analysis
He bet in August that Trump would win the election and he's a favorite that's why its a negative. Bet 150 to win 100
10-16-2020 12:46 PM
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GrayBeard Offline
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Post: #25
RE: JP Morgan Election Analysis
(10-16-2020 12:46 PM)fsquid Wrote:  He bet in August that Trump would win the election and he's a favorite that's why its a negative. Bet 150 to win 100

So wait, if he loses he loses 150, but if he wins he gets a whole $100. Was that bet placed in August of 2019?
(This post was last modified: 10-16-2020 12:49 PM by GrayBeard.)
10-16-2020 12:48 PM
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JRsec Offline
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Post: #26
RE: JP Morgan Election Analysis
I think the non radical left is alienated and doesn't trust Harris. Trump may win on election night but if there's one thing we should have learned from 4 years of constant attacks on the president it's that the Radical Dems aren't going to concede. They'll stall and keep pumping fraudulent ballots in as found absentee and mail in ballots until they can claim seats just like they did in '16 and '18 and if the Republicans don't investigate each ballot and get dirty with them it could be costly like it was in those two years. They easily stole 5 house seats in '16 and more in '18 out West and in some key areas in the East by such tactics.

So even if Trump repeats his numbers in the electoral college this is not going to be conceded and the violence will start again on election night and continue to try to intimidate the people into giving in. I've seen no reason to doubt their willingness to make this ugly.
(This post was last modified: 10-16-2020 12:57 PM by JRsec.)
10-16-2020 12:55 PM
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stinkfist Online
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Post: #27
RE: JP Morgan Election Analysis
(10-16-2020 12:45 PM)GrayBeard Wrote:  
(10-16-2020 12:38 PM)stinkfist Wrote:  
(10-16-2020 12:34 PM)Billy_Bearcat Wrote:  
(10-16-2020 10:26 AM)EverRespect Wrote:  Looks like Trump has moved ahead in Michigan now.

How is that possible? Fox just said at the bottom of the hour that Biden leads in Michigan by 7. Did Trump score a TD and convert the 2pts?

good golly....more of #muhpoles....lmmfao

@neverTiring


2020 USA Presidential Election - Winning Party (All in)
200.00 / 250.00
[87002] Republican +125
Sport: Specials
Selection: Politics
Risk/Win: 200 / 250
Accepted: Aug 01, 2020 11:40 AM - Internet
Scheduled: Aug 03, 2020 9:00 AM
Ticket Number: 93524023
Outcome: Pending

2020 USA Presidential Election - Winning Party (All in)
300.00 / 315.00
[87002] Republican +105
Sport: Specials
Selection: Politics
Risk/Win: 300 / 315
Accepted: Jun 16, 2020 8:31 AM - Internet
Scheduled: Jun 22, 2020 9:00 AM
Ticket Number: 92497466
Outcome: Pending

Odds To Win - 2020 Presidential Election
450.00 / 300.00
[86596] Donald Trump -150
Sport: Specials
Selection: Politics
Risk/Win: 450 / 300
Accepted: Aug 11, 2019 5:26 PM - Internet
Scheduled: Aug 12, 2019 8:00 AM
Ticket Number: 76323394
Outcome: Pending


A'ight Stinky, you post this sort of thing all the time, and since I'm not a betting man, I have no idea what it means...can you fill a guy in?


last year, I laid 450.00 to win 300.00....hence -150....(denominator/numerator)

this year I jumped on +bets....still the same formula...

it's easiest to work in units of 1...+105.00 wins l
105.00 when laying 100.00...+125.00 wins laying 100.00...

chief, you should see me fire hedge plays at the craps table.....that's real time action...

fyi....last nights plays.. see if you can figure out the 'why'... #popquiz

hint: pay att'n to the time stamps....we call that "the middle"

129.37
Atlanta Braves +259 (LIVE)
Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sport / League: Baseball
Selection: Game Money Line
Risk/Win: 50 / 129.37
Accepted: Oct 15, 2020 7:48 PM - LB Internet
Scheduled: Oct 15, 2020 7:08 PM
Ticket Number: 98503426
Outcome: Win


-55.97
Atlanta Braves - Los Angeles Dodgers u7½ -112 (LIVE)
Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sport / League: Baseball
Selection: Game Total
Risk/Win: 55.97 / 50
Accepted: Oct 15, 2020 7:48 PM - LB Internet
Scheduled: Oct 15, 2020 7:08 PM
Ticket Number: 98503439
Outcome: Loss

-50.00
Los Angeles Dodgers +264 (LIVE)
Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sport / League: Baseball
Selection: Game Money Line
Risk/Win: 50 / 132.15
Accepted: Oct 15, 2020 8:56 PM - LB Internet
Scheduled: Oct 15, 2020 7:08 PM
Ticket Number: 98507953
Outcome: Loss

63.33
Atlanta Braves - Los Angeles Dodgers o7½ +127 (LIVE)
Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sport / League: Baseball
Selection: Game Total
Risk/Win: 50 / 63.33
Accepted: Oct 15, 2020 9:00 PM - LB Internet
Scheduled: Oct 15, 2020 7:08 PM
Ticket Number: 98508098
Outcome: Win

net = +87.00

edit: why make the live plays late??? hint: couldn't lose
(This post was last modified: 10-16-2020 01:10 PM by stinkfist.)
10-16-2020 01:03 PM
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rath v2.0 Offline
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Post: #28
RE: JP Morgan Election Analysis
(10-16-2020 10:26 AM)EverRespect Wrote:  Looks like Trump has moved ahead in Michigan now.

Trafalgar Group out of Atlanta...were the only ones to nail Michigan and PA in 2016.

Tend to be consistently an outlier for Trump...they allege that they use some secret sauce to reach the “shy” Trump voters.
10-16-2020 01:07 PM
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