(03-12-2020 06:15 PM)rileylives Wrote:  Think about this. Hypothetically, If the entire world caught the flu...using a worldwide population of around 6.8 billion people...

27,000,000 million people would perish.

Using the mortality rate of coronavirus, which seems to spread at a pretty high rate...and a 3.5% mortality...

238,000,000 million people would perish.

It has a 3.5% mortality rate because we have a limited number of tests. We are only testing the sickest patients. As we get more tests and testing becomes more widespread we will find that the mortality rate is actually much lower.

(03-12-2020 07:55 PM)Hilltopper2K Wrote:  

(03-12-2020 06:15 PM)rileylives Wrote:  Think about this. Hypothetically, If the entire world caught the flu...using a worldwide population of around 6.8 billion people...

27,000,000 million people would perish.

Using the mortality rate of coronavirus, which seems to spread at a pretty high rate...and a 3.5% mortality...

238,000,000 million people would perish.

It has a 3.5% mortality rate because we have a limited number of tests. We are only testing the sickest patients. As we get more tests and testing becomes more widespread we will find that the mortality rate is actually much lower.

I would hope you're right. But this roughly 3.5% average has been pretty consistent all the way since the beginning.

Take a look at the closed coronavirus thread. I figured out really early on that seemed to be the rate, and it's hovering there still to this day.

(03-12-2020 07:55 PM)Hilltopper2K Wrote:  It has a 3.5% mortality rate because we have a limited number of tests. We are only testing the sickest patients. As we get more tests and testing becomes more widespread we will find that the mortality rate is actually much lower.

South Korea is finding the mortality rate to be about 0.77%.
Both South Korea and China are finding the mortality rate < 40 years of age to be 0.1% or so...

Source: https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavi...outh-korea

(03-12-2020 01:09 PM)MAN4UAB Wrote:  

(03-12-2020 01:05 PM)69topper Wrote:  Truthfully I'm not agreeing with this. These are outdoor sports where the players are not continually in close proximity to each other. Indoor sports maybe because the air doesn't get dispersed as quickly as outdoors and is therefore more dense and suspended. Just saying.

They are in close proximity in the dug outs and dressing rooms.

And traveling to and from

I have been thinking about the cancellation of spring sports and the student-athletes. So if they can't play the rest of the season, they should probably get that season back. Obviously, some of the seniors might have post graduation plans, and can't come back, but if they do you might run into scholarship limit problems. Coaches have been recruiting to fill those spots, so the NCAA is going to have to wave the limits or the new kids can't have scholarships. And if you have a sophomore who has been sitting on the bench, waiting their turn to start, and now you tell them they need to wait another year, what happens with them? With the new Transfer Portal rules, if these kids want to transfer to a better situation, can they go to a school that is already at the scholarship limit (or the old limit I guess). Would the new school be able to absorb them? We are talking about a net increase in scholarship athletes across the NCAA for a year. Schools are also going to have to pay for something approaching 25% more to fund these athletes than they have in the past. Can your school do that? Do you have a choice? Chaos!

(03-12-2020 09:28 PM)Nugget49er Wrote:  I have been thinking about the cancellation of spring sports and the student-athletes. So if they can't play the rest of the season, they should probably get that season back. Obviously, some of the seniors might have post graduation plans, and can't come back, but if they do you might run into scholarship limit problems. Coaches have been recruiting to fill those spots, so the NCAA is going to have to wave the limits or the new kids can't have scholarships. And if you have a sophomore who has been sitting on the bench, waiting their turn to start, and now you tell them they need to wait another year, what happens with them? With the new Transfer Portal rules, if these kids want to transfer to a better situation, can they go to a school that is already at the scholarship limit (or the old limit I guess). Would the new school be able to absorb them? We are talking about a net increase in scholarship athletes across the NCAA for a year. Schools are also going to have to pay for something approaching 25% more to fund these athletes than they have in the past. Can your school do that? Do you have a choice? Chaos!

New legislation was proposed before the season to give returning seniors full scholarships in baseball. This was from October of 2019.

https://d1baseball.com/news/new-legislat...suffering/

I don't see why the NCAA couldn't waive the roster size of 35 for one season for returning seniors. Baseball currently only gets 11.7 scholarships anyways so many of the seniors are on a fraction of a scholarship to begin with.

(03-12-2020 09:28 PM)Nugget49er Wrote:  I have been thinking about the cancellation of spring sports and the student-athletes. So if they can't play the rest of the season, they should probably get that season back. Obviously, some of the seniors might have post graduation plans, and can't come back, but if they do you might run into scholarship limit problems. Coaches have been recruiting to fill those spots, so the NCAA is going to have to wave the limits or the new kids can't have scholarships. And if you have a sophomore who has been sitting on the bench, waiting their turn to start, and now you tell them they need to wait another year, what happens with them? With the new Transfer Portal rules, if these kids want to transfer to a better situation, can they go to a school that is already at the scholarship limit (or the old limit I guess). Would the new school be able to absorb them? We are talking about a net increase in scholarship athletes across the NCAA for a year. Schools are also going to have to pay for something approaching 25% more to fund these athletes than they have in the past. Can your school do that? Do you have a choice? Chaos!

New legislation was proposed before the season to give returning seniors full scholarships in baseball. This was from October of 2019.

https://d1baseball.com/news/new-legislat...suffering/

I don't see why the NCAA couldn't waive the roster size of 35 for one season for returning seniors. Baseball currently only gets 11.7 scholarships anyways so many of the seniors are on a fraction of a scholarship to begin with.

Baseball is in a tricky spot with the MLB draft. A lot of high school teams have cancelled seasons already so scouts haven't had a good look at the high school talent either. I think you could see more high school kids go undrafted or drafted lower then they would have been drafted in previous years. Many of these kids will attend college that likely wouldn't have prior which will put additional burden on scholarship splits. Hopefully that is offset by more college kids being drafted and leaving early but who knows how it will shake out.

The Big Ten today stepped back from their outright cancellation of spring sports. Now, they are suspending until April 6th and will re-evaluate. Hopefully calmer heads will prevail and other conferences will take this same wait and see attitude.

Quote:"The Big Ten will use this time to work with the appropriate medical experts and institutional leadership to determine next steps for moving forward in regard to the COVID-19 pandemic."

https://www.si.com/college/2020/03/13/bi...oronavirus

Kentucky Derby postponed until September

(03-13-2020 03:27 PM)blazerjay Wrote:  The Big Ten today stepped back from their outright cancellation of spring sports. Now, they are suspending until April 6th and will re-evaluate. Hopefully calmer heads will prevail and other conferences will take this same wait and see attitude.

Quote:"The Big Ten will use this time to work with the appropriate medical experts and institutional leadership to determine next steps for moving forward in regard to the COVID-19 pandemic."

https://www.si.com/college/2020/03/13/bi...oronavirus

Second paragraph:

Quote:There is no change, however, to what the conference announced Thursday regarding the cancelation of conference and non-conference competition until the end of the year.

So team activities could theoretically resume early next month but that's exceedingly unlikely with schools across the board closed for the semester and the NCAA cancelling spring championships. Unless the leaders of the world and everyone who has or had COVID-19 stands in unison on 4/1/20 and screams APRIL FOOLS! then there's really no point in trying to gin up a salvaged spring college sports season. Sports at any level in April won't be happening, and May is highly unlikely. There's a better chance that the NBA and NHL give up on their seasons than there is college baseball and softball happening next month.

(03-13-2020 09:07 AM)Mr. Bojangles Wrote:  

(03-12-2020 09:28 PM)Nugget49er Wrote:  I have been thinking about the cancellation of spring sports and the student-athletes. So if they can't play the rest of the season, they should probably get that season back. Obviously, some of the seniors might have post graduation plans, and can't come back, but if they do you might run into scholarship limit problems. Coaches have been recruiting to fill those spots, so the NCAA is going to have to wave the limits or the new kids can't have scholarships. And if you have a sophomore who has been sitting on the bench, waiting their turn to start, and now you tell them they need to wait another year, what happens with them? With the new Transfer Portal rules, if these kids want to transfer to a better situation, can they go to a school that is already at the scholarship limit (or the old limit I guess). Would the new school be able to absorb them? We are talking about a net increase in scholarship athletes across the NCAA for a year. Schools are also going to have to pay for something approaching 25% more to fund these athletes than they have in the past. Can your school do that? Do you have a choice? Chaos!

New legislation was proposed before the season to give returning seniors full scholarships in baseball. This was from October of 2019.

https://d1baseball.com/news/new-legislat...suffering/

I don't see why the NCAA couldn't waive the roster size of 35 for one season for returning seniors. Baseball currently only gets 11.7 scholarships anyways so many of the seniors are on a fraction of a scholarship to begin with.

Ditto.

(03-12-2020 08:00 PM)CoachMaclid Wrote:  

(03-12-2020 07:55 PM)Hilltopper2K Wrote:  It has a 3.5% mortality rate because we have a limited number of tests. We are only testing the sickest patients. As we get more tests and testing becomes more widespread we will find that the mortality rate is actually much lower.

South Korea is finding the mortality rate to be about 0.77%.
Both South Korea and China are finding the mortality rate < 40 years of age to be 0.1% or so...

Source: https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavi...outh-korea

But can u truly take at face value anything the Chinese put out there? Just saying.