(03-14-2020 04:12 PM)schmolik Wrote: (03-14-2020 04:02 PM)AllTideUp Wrote: I've come to think Texas' current plan A is to see if they can crack the PAC 12. I don't think a merger works or waiting until the respective GORs expire and agreeing to remove dross from both leagues. It's more expedient to try and add a few key properties that might be disgruntled. That way they keep most of what they value and maybe even convince Oklahoma to stick around.
It's not the most profitable option, but it's more profitable than their current situation and they don't have to make any sacrifices other than a little extra travel here and there. Of course, they'd have to do that in any league they moved to so it's really a negligible difference.
You're assuming the Pac-12 has any incentive to remove any "dross" (I'll admit I've never heard of that word until you said it). If ESPN and/or FOX pays them enough maybe "they" will give Oregon State and Wazzu the boot (meaning they will disband and restart the conference like the Catholic 7 did). The other issue is what Texas considers is dross and what isn't dross and what most other people do. I'm sure my ideal Pac-12/Big 12 isn't Texas's and probably isn't anyone else in the Pac 12's either.
I don't think you understood what I said.
There is an idea that members of the PAC 12 and the Big 12 could simply wait until their respective end of their GORs and subsequently merge. At that point, they could negotiate on the most economical combination of the two leagues. In other words, a few members from each current league would be left out in the final product.
Each league possesses "dross" in the sense that some members really don't add to the bottom line. People can debate on who specifically those members are in a given scenario, but the point is some schools would be unnecessary if the PAC 12 and Big 12 were to merge.
I don't think this is a workable scenario no matter who the lineup is because there are too many moving parts and probably a fair bit of disagreement(among the actual leaders who make the decisions, not commentators) on who should be included in this hypothetical version of the merged leagues. So I don't think it would work.
Also, I'm not saying the PAC 12 will break up. I'm just saying there are probably parties that would be interested in breaking it up. I think Texas would be chief among them because they could invite maybe 4-6 PAC schools into the Big 12 and maintain their privileged position while also upping their TV revenues.
I can see ESPN being interested in that as well because they could acquire the best parts of the PAC 12 and maintain influence over the Big 12 powers simultaneously. In this hypothetical scenario of mine, ESPN would have virtual control over 3 Power leagues...the SEC, the ACC, and a Big 12 that contains some big hitters from the current PAC 12. They could probably do this and maintain a lower overhead when it comes to payments as well.
In times past, I would not have really considered that a possibility, but we have the athletic director of USC saying publicly that leaving the conference is on the table. I don't think anyone in the PAC 12 really wants to break that league up, but if USC and a few others don't get a more favorable scenario then they may very well benefit from joining Texas.