(12-23-2019 04:26 PM)10thMountain Wrote: This officially ends the talk of little brother Tagalongs like Okie lite and tech
With the bar now at 100 million value to add, not even OU or UT can justify their inclusion
Kansas is now the only viable “+1” in the B12 if they come with say OU as a pair
The Travis twee said that the new contract would be over 350 million. That tells me that we got what we were after and that the final total will probably be around 356 million because if CBS doesn't agree to sell the remaining four years of our contract that covers what we would lose by having to stay with them. If they sell out early the best thing that could happen is for our contracted amount to just start early or even at a gradated rate for the next four years.
But as to your remark 10th, I do think that's an accurate assumption. I don't think Tech or Oklahoma State can be priced in at those levels and I made such a comment on an OU board when discussing this.
I pretty much believe that this limits remaining possible targets to pretty much Oklahoma and Texas. Notre Dame could make the grade but we don't want them and they don't want us.
It opens up an interesting question as to who a #2 might be should we land Oklahoma or Texas but not both. I do think Kansas would be viable as a #2 for either. I also think (although it seems momentarily out of reach) that North Carolina, Florida State, or Virginia Tech could be a viable #2. I say momentarily because ESPN could help with internal moves between two conferences they completely own rights to.
Texas wants to take friends with them. The partial deal may still be applicable to Texas provided that ESPN could (a) accommodate their buddies and (b) pay them off by keeping the LHN so that UT's revenue could approximate that of an SEC school. That would keep ESPN from having to elevate the revenue of the ACC to make room for Texas.
If this is the case there is a lot that I wouldn't rule out.
The simplest thing to do would be for the SEC to take Oklahoma and Kansas and call it a day.
Texas could take a partial with the ACC, and Xlance seems to think the price of that would be the ACC taking Baylor too. That would give the ACC would leave the ACC with 15 full members and two partials. To elevate their pay a bit I wouldn't be surprised if T.C.U. or Tech would be their 16th full member.
But, back in 2011 the plan was for N.C. State and Virginia Tech to move to the SEC and Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas and Notre Dame to join the ACC in full elevating their status to be 2nd only to the SEC.
It would not floor me if we wind up expanding with a pair like N.C. State and Virginia Tech and some kind of deal like that for the ACC were to take place. That would elevate them to a level of pay competitive with the Big 10 and SEC.
I do know something needs to be done because otherwise come 2024 the SEC and Big 10 will dwarf the ACC in revenue and Clemson and Florida State will be in conniptions trying to figure a way out come 2035. I strongly suspect the rub to a package of Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas and Notre Dame going all in would be UT's inability to bring along a Texas entourage.
What would happen if UT goes all in with the ACC in exchange for taking Baylor, T.C.U. and Tech with them? That's when I think you might see a Clemson and Florida State wanting to leave to head to the SEC and Oklahoma and Kansas being the offering to the Big 10 to appease them for ESPN's 49% of their rights in the upcoming deal.
So 10th, how would you feel if the latter happened?
What if the new SEC looked like this:
Auburn, Florida, Georgia, Vanderbilt
Clemson, Tennessee, South Carolina, Kentucky
Alabama, Florida State, Mississippi, Mississippi State,
Arkansas, L.S.U., Missouri, Texas A&M
And the ACC became:
Boston College, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Syracuse
Duke, North Carolina, Virginia, Virginia Tech
Georgia Tech, Louisville, N.C. State, Wake Forest
Baylor, Texas, T.C.U., Texas Tech
And the Big 10 became:
Maryland, Ohio State, Penn State, Rutgers
Indiana, Michigan, Michigan State, Purdue
Illinois, Minnesota, Northwestern, Wisconsin
Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, Oklahoma
I think from a fit and happiness standpoint that gives Texas and Notre Dame the easy path they both crave.
It gives the SEC two remaining SEC caliber programs.
It gives the Big 10 a solid geographical grouping.
And it leaves the PAC alone and enhances the AAC with OSU, ISU, KSU, and WVU.