(08-07-2020 02:17 AM)invisiblehand Wrote: (08-06-2020 08:08 PM)TripleA Wrote: (08-06-2020 05:54 PM)pesik Wrote: (08-06-2020 05:19 PM)invisiblehand Wrote: (08-06-2020 11:26 AM)pesik Wrote: they have Memphis at 30 and arent accounting for either williams or nolley
indepth preview
https://www.three-man-weave.com/3mw/memp...21-preview
If Memphis doesn't get Nolley I don't see them being top 30. Are they arguing that Cisse is so much better than Precious was that they'll be that much improved?
they could be top15 without nolley or williams.. i dont even think nolley or williams will make much of difference, maybe 2-3 more wins ..to me thats not the deciding factor for memphis
and cisse being better than precious is not the reason why...they were the youngest team in the nation last year..not even adding some their older players were also 1st year players
who had little playing time in old schools...next year everyone but cisse has heavy college experience
most players tend to have big freshman to sophomore year jumps...which is what people see with memphis-
on a more technical level-memphis was elite on defense last year--"on paper" got drastically better (cisse is the best shot blocker in the nation..and 5'9 tyler harris transferred out)
the real key factor for memphis- the growth of Boogie ellis and/or Lester Quinones and/or Damion baugh
the weakness of memphis was guard play last year (especially off the dribble)..neither williams nor nolley address that...but those 3 guards i listed are elite recruits who could become that as sophomores with growth (memphis staff already hyping boogie to be that guy)
nolley and dj jeffries are borderline identical players in skillset..why i dont see nolley as vital..
Plus, we added Rand, the 6-9 #1 Juco shot blocker with a 44" standing vertical, and FL transfer Isaiah Stokes, a 4 star C out of HS in 2017.
We will be maybe the best defensive team in the country, with or without Nolley and Williams. As Pesik says, the key is the offense of our guards.
But Nolley and Williams both add offense, and Williams would start at the 4 with DJ at the 3. I guess Nolley could play a big 2 and fight it out with Quinones there, or with DJ at the 3.
Now if somehow Nolley makes it and Williams doesn't (doubtful), DJ would start at the 4, Nolley at the 3 and Lester at the 2.
IMO, Boogie and Lester are the keys to the season.
The offense is what I'm not sold on. That's why I mentioned Nolley. Last year you had Precious to play through and everyone had to be really aware of him as a scorer. I'm not 100% sold that Cisse will be an improvement there. You guys already led the nation in lowest FG%, there's not a ton of room for improvement there. It's going to be you guards getting better on offense that's going to have to get you over the hump. Without Nolley, I'm not sold until I see actual statistical improvement from Quinones, Bough, Ellis.
I don't disagree with most of that. I'm just not sure where Nolley fits in, position-wise. He's not really a 2, he's a 4 who wants to be a 3 or 2. I actually think DJ is a better player, and he should start at the 3, but only if Williams gets a waiver.
I suppose if Nolley gets a waiver, and Williams doesn't (seems unlikely), then he could start at the 3, DJ at the 4, Lester at the 2.
And Lester is not the real problem. He averaged over 10 ppg, although he didn't shoot that well (40% FG, 32% 3, 80% FT). But he hustled everywhere, rebounded and played good D.
Boogie and Baugh shot slightly better from the field, but they can't hit FTs. Boogie 68%, Baugh 56%. Boogie is a liability on D, and Baugh is wildly inconsistent.
But our biggest issue on offense last year was turnovers. Stupid ones, at that.
But let's say both Nolley and Williams get waivers, then it won't matter, and Nolley & Williams will likely be leading scorers, along with DJ. It would likely be a starting lineup of Cisse, Williams, DJ, Nolley and Boogie, with Lester first off the bench. But Nolley would be playing the 2, which I think is out of position for him.
And Cisse will be defense first, not offense. He's raw.
Without either waiver, the hope has to be a big leap for Boogie and Baugh from freshmen to sophs, and to a lesser extent, Lester. Especially with turnovers.
But it'll be more fun for Memphis fans if we get the waivers.