hannibalDawg
Bench Warmer
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I Root For: Louisiana Tech,
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RE: ****W8: So. Miss 4-2 @ La. Tech 5-1 2:30, NFLN****
(10-17-2019 09:38 PM)SoMs Eagle Wrote: (10-17-2019 06:01 PM)hannibalDawg Wrote: (10-17-2019 01:27 PM)TTT Wrote: (10-17-2019 12:03 PM)hannibalDawg Wrote: (10-16-2019 08:10 AM)hannibalDawg Wrote: Sure, taking out the FCS Schools, and Comparing opponents since Watkins' return, the Massey Composite has SoMiss's Opponents as (L to #53 MSST before the return):
#2 Alabama L @
#101 Troy 5pt W @
#104 UNT 18pt W home
#128 UTEP 18pt W home
Your most impressive win is 2-4 Troy. Troy has beaten #129 Akron + FCS. UTEP has beaten FCS. UNT has beaten #121 UTSA + FCS. So no one you've beaten has been impressive, nor have they beaten anyone impressive.
As for us, we've lost @#15 Texas, but picked up wins over:
#92 FIU 12pt W home
#117 BGSU 28pt W @
#120 Rice 3pt W @
#130 UMass 48pt W home
Our most impressive win is 3-3 FIU. FIU has wins over #116 Charlotte, #130 UMass, + FCS. BGSU has wins over #76 Toledo + FCS. Rice has no wins. UMass has a win over #129 Akron.
Our opponents that we've beaten have played and won games against better opponents (your best is UNTs win over #121 UTSA, while BGSU beat #76 Toledo [4-2], while FIU beat #116 Charlotte). We've also beaten a team with the better record (FIU 3-3 vs Troy & UNT @ 2-4). Also, Troy's best win was also beaten by UMass (Akron).
I'll say this though, in conference, while you've played two home games and we've played a road and home game, you've beaten your opponents more decisively (18pt average vs 7.5pt average for us).
Should be a great game, and I wish SoMiss finishes the year ranked at 10-3 with a bowl win over Ole Miss and a loss to us
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Update, 3-4 Troy beat #125 South Alabama last night.
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Troy is actually a decent team. If they can get their defense going they are a dangerous team. They are 3-3. Two of their losses were by 7 points or less. They might mess around and could win the SB this year.
you're right, they're 3-3 (I assumed most teams would have played their 7th game by this Saturday, maybe Troy has already taken 2 biweeks?)
If you look at the pic/table below, it gives some data on yds/attempt and yds/completion on passing offense and defense for all of our FBS opponents, conference teams, and ArkSt. I included ArkSt because they beat Troy in a similar fashion to you.
Look at the green parts for conference, and yellow is OOC. I'm copying this information from a message I posted on our pay site, so it will include us (Tech):
Cool notes:
SoMiss has 13th ranked Defense for passes allowed, pass/attempt, and pass/completion in conference (#105 nationally)
We have the 10th, 2nd, and 1st respectively (3rd-Alabama and UAB- and 2nd -Alabama, respectively) with 6.38 pass yds/attempt and 10.17 pass yds/attempt.
Alabama appears to play a similar bend-don't break 3-4 pass defense to ours... Alabama limited Jack to ~170yds passing, while averaging 202yds/game at 44th. 30yds difference...
Troy, SoMiss's best win according to the Massey Composite (beating #125 SoAlabama and #129 Akron) has close losses to SoMiss and ArkSt. SoMiss has the top in pass-yds/attempt and 2nd (behind UAB) in pass-yds/completion. ArkSt. Would rank 3rd and 5th respectively. Troy has an elite rush defense (93yds/game), but a suspect pass defense (287, 9.13, 14.63), and these stats show why SoMiss was able to win there.
UNT is SoMiss's 2nd best win. Their pass defense is more respectable (227, 7.43, 11.78), but their rush defense is suspect (181yds/game). SoMiss miraculously had their best rushing game of the season vs UNT. I'd say that opened them up for easier passing.
With both more than an extra yds/attempt and yds/completion better pass defense than UNT, it should be interesting to see how we match up.
FIU, our best win, has a better passing defense (190, 6.79, 12.13), and roughly the same rushing defense as UNT (187yds/game). We exceeded both stats, but SoMiss only exceeded the passing (but by 200yds, vs ~100 for both pass and run each for us)
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Just how well does the teams you’ve play pass the ball? I know how well the teams we have played passed the ball. But I guess that doesn’t have any effect on the passing defense numbers though does it? You see, I don’t know if you have played anyone who throws the ball as well as we do.
That's a bit of a difficult answer. The two closest we've played are Texas and FIU. FIU's numbers are a bit skewed, so I'll try to just use Morgan's numbers (he missed 1.5 games when injured midway through the FIU game, replacement Wiggins is more of a running QB who had 185yds rushing vs FCS).
Texas has #20th ranked passing offense with 7.8 yds/pass attempt (just below 3rd in CUSA, and 3yds/pass attempt below you) and 11.3 yds/pass completion (below 10th in CUSA). We all know Texas's SOS (LSPoo, Rice, WVU, OkST, Oklahoma). Big12 defenses aren't as bad as previous years, FYI.
In our game, Texas had 7yds/pass attempt, and 9.8yds/pass completion, so we held them to 0.8yds below average pass attempt, and 1.5yds below average pass completion.
FIU with Morgan has 1050yds passing on 83/133. That's 7.9yds/pass attempt and 12.65 yds/pass completion (5th and 5th in conference, respectively). Their passing offense in games he's finished (i.e. excluding WKU injured in 1st half and NH) is 265yds per game, which is 5th in conference. FIU's SOS with Morgan playing the full game (Tulame, UNCC, UMass)
In our game, FIU had 9.6yds/pass attempt and 13.58yds/pass completion, so he had better on 1.7yds/pass attempt and 0.93yds/completion.
So middle of the road. I will say that our defense has been a work in progress, as we've installed a new system (more 3-4, like you guys, more bend don't break, watching the replay of your Alabama game, it seems like we play similarly to them).
Plus, our depth on our DL has been weak, only getting back to full strength with UConn GradTransfer DT Murphy (Former UConn HC & Broyles award winner DC Diaco's recruit at UConn; Murphy and Diaco were part of the only team to beat that 13-1 Houston team that beat chOKlahoma in 2017, Coogin' it; reminds me of us blowing the 34-7 lead vs Houston in the 4th Q 2011, then you guys gave them their only loss in the CUSA Champ game) returning from a fall camp injury. Our DL is definitely our weakest link, but hopefully with the added depth from Murphy, we'll get more pressure on QBs and stops in the run game.
Murphy slowly got worked in vs UMass, and should be a larger contributor this week
Anyways, 1.5 more days, looking forward to a good game, and hoping we get the W in the Rivalry in Dixie. GOOOO DAWGS!! ^_^
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(This post was last modified: 10-17-2019 10:54 PM by hannibalDawg.)
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