whittx
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RE: Who's the biggest "loser" in conference realignment this decade?
(09-20-2019 07:08 AM)ArQ Wrote: (09-19-2019 07:11 PM)whittx Wrote: (09-19-2019 05:25 PM)Stugray2 Wrote: (09-18-2019 11:43 AM)Wedge Wrote: (09-18-2019 11:02 AM)Bull Wrote: You can't have 120 FBS football teams with 10 FBS conferences get laid out so arbitrarily.
Sure you can. College sports are not a pro sports league and never will be. The universities that choose to play FBS football are not NFL team owners; they are not in any way co-equal owners who have bought into a pro league like the NFL. College conferences are and always have been loose, haphazard groupings that have more to do with historical affiliations, or sometimes marriages of convenience.
College sports are and always will be messy. Maybe it's not the best choice for the kind of sports to follow for fans who can't stand anything that isn't perfectly neat, orderly, and organized.
This is the best post in all seven pages. Wedge has it right it's not about equality or fairness.
If you want a comparison, the closest we have is the promotion and relegation system in European Soccer. Except that such promotion (to P5) and relegation (to G5 or FCS or oblivion) are not part of an annual ritual, but rather in slow motion of a glacier advance and retreat. And further factors other than simply athletic performance are at stake.
The irony is, the bigger athletics becomes, the higher the profile involved the less of a factor athletics alone is in the decision making. Because the money is so large, the decisions are removed from the AD and pushed up to the President/Chancellor office. This means being blue blood, not just athletically but also institutionally is key to admission.
Flagships: 11 B1G, 11 SEC, 7 P12, 4 B12, 2 ACC = 35 (33 states plus Texas A&M and UCLA)
Blue Blood Privates: 1 SEC, 1 B1G, 2 P12, 2 B12, 7 ACC = 13 (counting ND with ACC)
Land Grant U's (not also Flagships): 2 B1G, 2 SEC, 2 P12, 3 B12, 3 ACC = 25 (note Purdue, Mich St, Iowa St are all AAU schools).
Only Baylor, TCU, Wake and OK State are R2 schools, but the first three are all very high AI larger private schools.
What's left are Arizona State, Florida State, Texas Tech, Georgia Tech (AAU) and Louisville.
Georgia Tech is so specialized you can almost throw it in with the blue blood privates. Purdue is a Land Grant otherwise they would pretty much fit the same category. Arizona State and Florida State developed into the large institutions they are after Land Grant designation was given to their State flagships, Arizona and Florida, but they resemble the other land grants schools (Clemson, Auburn, Washington State, Oregon State, Virginia Tech). You could arguably throw Texas Tech in with the likes of Virginia Tech and Clemson, although their AI is closer to "open access" than that.
Louisville is the only regional school in the list. They are the one gatecrasher. But they are also the model of hope for other regional schools, some with low AI like Louisville, such as Memphis, SDSU, UNLV, Boise State, Fresno State, ECU and those with better AI like Temple, Cincy, Houston, UCF and USF.
So if one goes on the above criteria, and not the Louisville exception only 7 schools in G5 meet one of the first three criteria:
Flagships of larger states: UConn, UMass
High AI Privates: BYU, Rice, Tulane, Tulsa
Land Grant from Larger States: Colorado State
It's hard to argue late to start FBS football UMass belongs on the list; and the lack of emphasis and prominence on sports by Rice, Tulane and Tulsa explains their absence -- as does their smaller size. Colorado State is more of an emerging school, due to the rapid growth of the State of Colorado, and only at the beginning of it's rise, so not there yet; they perhaps belong in the better AI regional aspirants USF, UCF, Cincy and Houston grouping. (Memphis, UNLV, Fresno State, Boise State, ECU have the large mountain of academic stature to climb first). None of these aspirants can yet be called losers, as they are still in the climbing phase.
So you are left with BYU and UConn as the only logical ones who could be "shafted" by the criteria of the P5 -- and conversely Louisville the sole winner whose Athletics overcame the lack of pedigree (well their athletic budget is nearly double UCF's). Of the two UConn's failure to develop Football as an FBS power, and coming so late to the table is what doomed them.
But I can't call BYU the loser, because their door is still not shut for P5, even though timing worked against them with the B12 (LGBT and the T9 problems from Baylor that became prominent at the wrong time). Conclusion, UConn is the big loser because they spent a huge amount of money on a dead end path.
You missed the AAU flagship of a large state that is in G5 (Buffalo). Not that they are going anywhere but if you are going to include UMass and UConn...
New York's flagship is really Stony Brook because it is near NYC and got a lot of research projects from the nearby IBM's Watson Laboratory. However, Stony Brook University is only interested in baseball, not football.
Anyone from outside of NYC will tell you otherwise. At worst, UB is a FSU equivalent. Being near NYC doesn't mean much in SUNY land and the Land Grant school (Cornell) is much more impressive in NYC than Stony Brook.
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