(01-19-2019 08:38 PM)Fort Bend Owl Wrote: More bad news today is that Middle Tennessee and Charlotte both won. Thursday is pretty much a must win to stay out of the bottom pod (and even a win Thursday might not be enough).
WKU hosts Marshall on Monday. If Marshall wins that game (they beat WKU by only 1 in Huntington on Jan 12), then Rice will be tied with four other teams with 2-4 conference records -- WKU, FAU, Charlotte, MidTenn -- who would be one game ahead of UTEP (1-5).
The bottom pod will have the bottom 4 teams (#11-14).
Our 2 conference wins to date are at home vs two teams with 3-4 records (USM & LaTech). Our remaining home games are vs MidTenn, UAB (4-2), WKU & Marshall (5-0). Our remaining away games are @Charlotte (which beat visiting LaTech by 15 tonight!), @ODU (4-2), @FIU (3-3) and @FAU.
I agree that Thursday's game with MidTenn is pretty much a must-win contest. To make the middle pod of 5 (#6-10), I'd guess that we'd probably also need to win at least an additional two more ... such as our home game vs. WKU, and at least one of the away games @Charlotte and @FAU ... to give us a 5-9 (0.357) record.
Looking at recent years' final conference standings, a comparable percentage out of 18 games (7-11/.389) was good enough for 10th place in the past 2 years and tied for 9th-11th in 2016. However, in 2015, Charlotte & Marshall tied for 11th at 7-11.
Go Owls!! Win a bunch more than the bare minimum!